Hurricane Rita thread

  • #141
Shadow205 said:
Holy crap, they are now saying that there is a good possibility that Rita will become a Cat. 5 before making landfall. Could be a Cat. 4 or possibly even a Cat. 5 when it makes landfall. This is one scary storm. I hope that everyone gets out of the way.

I am not comfortable, we are looking at Cat 4 the rest is mother nature, and she hasn't been particurlarly benevolent lately.
 
  • #142
HURRICANE RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

...RITA RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING AS IT PASSES SOUTH OF DRY TORTUGAS...
...CHANGES MADE TO FLORIDA WARNINGS..
.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO
KEY WEST AND DRY TORTUGAS.

AT 11 PM EDT...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
FLORIDA KEYS HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EAST AND NORTH TO OCEAN REEF...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY.

AT 11 PM EDT...ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND LA HABANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF PINAR DEL RIO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...70
KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DRY TORTUGAS...ABOUT 95 MILES... 150 KM...
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 80 MILES... 130 KM...
NORTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHICH WILL
TAKE RITA AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS AND WESTERN CUBA AND INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

DATA FROM THE KEY WEST NOAA DOPPLER RADAR AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
NOW INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA
IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
RITA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE WEDNESDAY
MORNING... AND REACH CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM. DURING THE PAST HOUR...A GUST TO 61 MPH WAS
REPORTED AT THE KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...AND A SUSTAINED
WIND OF 51 MPH WITH A GUST TO 64 MPH WAS REPORTED AT DRY TORTUGAS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY IN ALL AREAS.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN CUBA
AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...24.1 N... 83.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB.


AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART

Hurricane Rita Position
http://tinyurl.com/7ju9l

Hurricane Rita Projected Path
http://tinyurl.com/c4fym

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy


The above links will update automatically, so if someone wants to include them in their future posts, they will be valid for that time.

Category Two Hurricane:
Winds 96-110 mph
(83-95 kt or 154-177 km/hr). Storm surge generally 6-8 feet above normal. Some roofing material, door, and window damage of buildings. Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some trees blown down. Considerable damage to mobile homes, poorly constructed signs, and piers. Coastal and low-lying escape routes flood 2-4 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Small craft in unprotected anchorages break moorings. Hurricane Frances of 2004 made landfall over the southern end of Hutchinson Island, Florida as a Category Two hurricane. Hurricane Isabel of 2003 made landfall near Drum Inlet on the Outer Banks of North Carolina as a Category 2 hurricane.

Category Three Hurricane:
Winds 111-130 mph
(96-113 kt or 178-209 km/hr). Storm surge generally 9-12 ft above normal. Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings with a minor amount of curtainwall failures. Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off trees and large trees blown down. Mobile homes and poorly constructed signs are destroyed. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by battering from floating debris. Terrain continuously lower than 5 ft above mean sea level may be flooded inland 8 miles (13 km) or more. Evacuation of low-lying residences with several blocks of the shoreline may be required. Hurricanes Jeanne and Ivan of 2004 were Category Three hurricanes when they made landfall in Florida and in Alabama, respectively.

Rita will be a Category 3 Hurricane in less than an hour.
 
  • #143
Shadow205 said:
Holy crap, they are now saying that there is a good possibility that Rita will become a Cat. 5 before making landfall. Could be a Cat. 4 or possibly even a Cat. 5 when it makes landfall. This is one scary storm. I hope that everyone gets out of the way.
Yes, Cat 5 is a possibility:

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/regions.asp?partner=accuweather&myadc=0&area=atlantic

Maybe we should start a new Hurricana Rita thread, as this one will get awfully long before it's done with?. Just a thought.
 
  • #144
My young son is stationed in Houston. I am getting very very worried. He called me today, and was telling me about it. I am getting afraid for his safety.
 
  • #145
lilpony said:
My young son is stationed in Houston. I am getting very very worried. He called me today, and was telling me about it. I am getting afraid for his safety.

I have a lot of family in Houston, and they are very nervous. I'm hoping they hit the road!!!! Have family too in Bryan who aren't sure whether they should leave or not.....I said YES...go to Dallas...they of course are welcome here......Austin area. I think Dallas will be safer.
 
  • #146
Sassygerl said:
I have a lot of family in Houston, and they are very nervous. I'm hoping they hit the road!!!! Have family too in Bryan who aren't sure whether they should leave or not.....I said YES...go to Dallas...they of course are welcome here......Austin area. I think Dallas will be safer.
I am very nervous, he is in the Coast Guard, and just cannot pick up and leave. I never even thought about something like this happening to him.
 
  • #147
lilpony said:
I am very nervous, he is in the Coast Guard, and just cannot pick up and leave. I never even thought about something like this happening to him.

I'm sorry :( I can understand your concern, but thankfully he's not right on the Gulf Coast and things will be fine (I know, it's too close for you!). Tell him to keep his cell phone on......I'm sure you'll hear from him!
 
  • #148
Sassygerl said:
I'm sorry :( I can understand your concern, but thankfully he's not right on the Gulf Coast and things will be fine (I know, it's too close for you!). Tell him to keep his cell phone on......I'm sure you'll hear from him!
If it hits any where near Galveston, Houston is in serious danger also. Houston floods big time.
 
  • #149
For anyone in the danger areas, don't wait, leave as soon as possible, traffic crawls when you wait too long. Sitting in traffic, doing 20 miles an hour, for 12 hours is extremely stressful. Gas Stations close, theres not bathrooms open, and you among thousands of strangers. Leave early.
 
  • #150
Sassygerl said:
I have a lot of family in Houston, and they are very nervous. I'm hoping they hit the road!!!! Have family too in Bryan who aren't sure whether they should leave or not.....I said YES...go to Dallas...they of course are welcome here......Austin area. I think Dallas will be safer.

Sassy

My youngest son lives in Austin. Do you think it will be dangerous there?

What worries me is he loves storms and has never been in a hurricane. He's adventurous enough to want to hang around and watch the *fireworks*. :doh: I was in Nova Scotia when Hortense hit. (I think it was 1996 or 1997.) Never again!

dani
 
  • #151
dani said:
Sassy

My youngest son lives in Austin. Do you think it will be dangerous there?

What worries me is he loves storms and has never been in a hurricane. He's adventurous enough to want to hang around and watch the *fireworks*. :doh: I was in Nova Scotia when Hortense hit. (I think it was 1996 or 1997.) Never again!

dani

Hey Dani......ours news is just saying to prepare for tropical storm conditions, and of course tornadoes. I think he'll be fine..heck I'm stayin and I wouldn't if it was scary :D We might lose power and have some tree debris flying around, but I feel pretty safe. I am going to clear out my closet under the stairs should this thing stay on path, but I feel ok here. Keep in mind they are saying for evacuees from Houston, etc. to come to Austin.....he'll be ok :)

ETA: all of Texans are use to the tornado warnings...to be honest I hardly pay attention because the chances of you being hit are so slim! I will this time though only because there will probably be many, but with tornadoes you always hear those crazy stories with the house being wiped out but the tub or closet still intact......with Earthquakes you have no where safe to go but UP!!!!! That's why I've never gone to CA!!!! That to me is SCARY! It's all what you're use to!
 
  • #152
Rita is beginning to "shape" up. A distinct definite eye, and a tightening circle.

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
 
  • #153
HURRICANE RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2005

...RITA BECOMES FIFTH MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE 2005 SEASON AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS...


AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PORTION OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO THE DRY TORTUGAS HAS
BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

AT 2 AM EDT..ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

AT 2 AM EDT...ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR CUBA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130
KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DRY TORTUGAS...ABOUT 145 MILES... 235 KM...
WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 130 MILES... 210 KM...NORTHWEST
OF HAVANA CUBA.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHICH WILL
TAKE THE CENTER OF RITA INTO THE OPEN SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DATA FROM THE KEY WEST NOAA DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE NOW INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND RITA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE SOMETIME LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM. THE AUTOMATED STATION AT THE DRY TORTUGAS
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH AND A GUST TO 87 MPH BEFORE
CONTACT WITH THE STATION WAS LOST.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY IN
ALL AREAS.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN CUBA
AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...24.2 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB.


THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

Hurricane Rita Position
http://tinyurl.com/7ju9l

Hurricane Rita Projected Path
http://tinyurl.com/c4fym

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy


The above links will update automatically, so if someone wants to include them in their future posts, they will be valid for that time.

Category Three Hurricane:
Winds 111-130 mph
(96-113 kt or 178-209 km/hr). Storm surge generally 9-12 ft above normal. Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings with a minor amount of curtainwall failures. Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off trees and large trees blown down. Mobile homes and poorly constructed signs are destroyed. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by battering from floating debris. Terrain continuously lower than 5 ft above mean sea level may be flooded inland 8 miles (13 km) or more. Evacuation of low-lying residences with several blocks of the shoreline may be required. Hurricanes Jeanne and Ivan of 2004 were Category Three hurricanes when they made landfall in Florida and in Alabama, respectively.
 
  • #154
Buzzm1 said:
Rita is beginning to "shape" up. A distinct definite eye, and a tightening circle.

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsyhttp://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
Yeah, the eye is looking almost as clearly defined as Katrina's was, with radar imaging showing some strong storms surrounding it. And it still has a couple days to go. :eek:
 
  • #155
  • #156
Amazing, isn't it! This Ms Rita looks most intimidating to me as it is so huge already. I remember when I saw Katrina heading up towards La, when the eye was about half way up there from the Florida Keys, it filled up almost the whole gulf water area. I had never seen a storm so big. This one could be devestating! Someone should do something like we talked about last year where they seed the hurricane with something to make it fall apart.

You know Dark Knight, I don't usually post about religion, but I gotta tell you when I heard that 3 casino's looked were like they were lifted up and thrown, landing right side up and a distance away from where they were, I thought of Sodom and Gomora. Could this be God's way of cleaning up a major place of sin in our world today? I said no, that's a far stretch of my imagination, but now I wonder what's up Texas way with the creation of this new storm!


Scandi

PS: Now I'll worry you're gonna think I'm :crazy: LOL
 
  • #157
ABC Radio News is reporting Rita is now a Category 3, already, as of 2am.
 
  • #158
scandi said:
Amazing, isn't it! This Ms Rita looks most intimidating to me as it is so huge already. I remember when I saw Katrina heading up towards La, when the eye was about half way up there from the Florida Keys, it filled up almost the whole gulf water area. I had never seen a storm so big. This one could be devestating! Someone should do something like we talked about last year where they seed the hurricane with something to make it fall apart.

You know Dark Knight, I don't usually post about religion, but I gotta tell you when I heard that 3 casino's looked were like they were lifted up and thrown, landing right side up and a distance away from where they were, I thought of Sodom and Gomora. Could this be God's way of cleaning up a major place of sin in our world today? I said no, that's a far stretch of my imagination, but now I wonder what's up Texas way with the creation of this new storm!


Scandi

PS: Now I'll worry you're gonna think I'm :crazy: LOL
I've heard several people theorize the same thing, Scandi.
 
  • #159
scandi said:
You know Dark Knight, I don't usually post about religion, but I gotta tell you when I heard that 3 casino's looked were like they were lifted up and thrown, landing right side up and a distance away from where they were, I thought of Sodom and Gomora. Could this be God's way of cleaning up a major place of sin in our world today? I said no, that's a far stretch of my imagination, but now I wonder what's up Texas way with the creation of this new storm!


Scandi

PS: Now I'll worry you're gonna think I'm :crazy: LOL
I wouldn't get my hopes up for that wish. I've been watching the radar and packing for a quick evac if necessary sometime Wednesday or Thursday...my guess is that Crawford, TX will be spared by Hurricane Rita when it turns back to the East.
 
  • #160
Sassygerl said:
Hey Dani......ours news is just saying to prepare for tropical storm conditions, and of course tornadoes. I think he'll be fine..heck I'm stayin and I wouldn't if it was scary :D We might lose power and have some tree debris flying around, but I feel pretty safe. I am going to clear out my closet under the stairs should this thing stay on path, but I feel ok here. Keep in mind they are saying for evacuees from Houston, etc. to come to Austin.....he'll be ok :)

ETA: all of Texans are use to the tornado warnings...to be honest I hardly pay attention because the chances of you being hit are so slim! I will this time though only because there will probably be many, but with tornadoes you always hear those crazy stories with the house being wiped out but the tub or closet still intact......with Earthquakes you have no where safe to go but UP!!!!! That's why I've never gone to CA!!!! That to me is SCARY! It's all what you're use to!

Thank you Sassy! :blowkiss: Now I'll sleep tonight. But, I heard that Joe Bastardi (I think he's from N.O.A.A) say that Rita will be bigger than Hurricane Carla, and Carla did damage all the way to Dallas! :eek:

As for earthquakes…I grew up in California, and all my kids were born there, and have been thru tons on them. The son that now lives in Austin was still there in college when the Northridge quake hit. He knew I would worry, so he drove all the way to Santa Barbara until he found a payphone that worked so he could call me. We were living in Arizona at the time and felt the quake. (I knew it had to be a doozie if we felt it in AZ.) My husband had always said that California will never fall into the ocean because *Arizona sucks*. My son said, "I hope Arizona keeps on sucking!" They were getting up to 1000 aftershocks per day for a while.

Thanks again, Sassy! May God protect you all.

dani
 

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