Hurricane Rita thread

[poco]

I have seen horses that galloped across three states during one two hour movie.

Yeah, you're right, and I bet there are hotel rooms to be found in Colorado or Kansas!!!! Geez!!!!

 

[Buzz Mills]

Rita hasn't gotten any prettier:

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

 

[poco]

If they walked they could improve their distance by about 700%. In 24 hours they could get about 70 miles further North.

HAHAHAHA, I can see it now, everyone abandons their cars and gets out and starts to walk......

 

[JBean]

Hey Buzz OT but there is a long white streak of light in the sky here in Socal..any idea how I can find out what it is? It's wild!

My son can see it in San Diego too. Looks like a rocket

 

[Beyond Belief]

This is so weird to be watching this on tv and writting about the storm. I am usually one of the people out there on the road. Now I know what everyone else was doing when I was riding and riding and riding at 10 miles an hour.

 

[poco]

This is so weird to be watching this on tv and writting about the storm. I am usually one of the people out there on the road. Now I know what everyone else was doing when I was riding and riding and riding at 10 miles an hour.

10 mph???? How'd you manage to go that fast ---

 

[Buzz Mills]

Hey Buzz OT but there is a long white streak of light in the sky here in Socal..any idea how I can find out what it is? It's wild!

My son can see it in San Diego too.

The only thing, barring a meteor, I can think of, would be a missile launch of some type, but I can't think of anything that flies that way. How is it oriented North to South???

 

[Beyond Belief]

10 mph???? How'd you manage to go that fast ---

The horse idea is starting to get tempting.

 

[scandi]

I bet many of these evacuees are mighty sick of this slow travel by now. Someone asked about how these travelers are going to go tp the bathroom on this exedus!

Remember Tylin? In honor of her memory as a poster here, I think she would say that every passenger in every car would have their own plastic quart bottle to go Pee. LOL

Other than that I don't know, but I know I wouldn't be able to walk a mile when I had to 'go', to get to the bathroom!


:slap:
Scandi

 

[lilpony]

The horse idea is starting to get tempting.

Mr Ed...maybe he can help..

 

[Buzz Mills]

Hey Buzz OT but there is a long white streak of light in the sky here in Socal..any idea how I can find out what it is? It's wild!

My son can see it in San Diego too. Looks like a rocket

Part of the missile defense system occasionally flies out of Vandenburg, out into the Pacific, across the Marshall Islands where an intercept will be attempted. You might be able to read if it was a hit--they haven't been too successful lately, so they will probably publicize a hit. This would be a daylight intercept, which is a step in the right direction.

 

[Details]

I wonder what the real speed is - I know some people have successfully evacuated who post here or know someone who posts here - how long did it really take to get out? I know about the people on the news - but people exaggerate for the cameras, or neglect to mention that they tried a shortcut and it failed and had to backtrack, or that they spent 2 hours at dinner, etc. Given the speeds people are quoting, no one would get out - but people are getting out.

 

[JBean]

Part of the missile defense system occasionally flies out of Vandenburg, out into the Pacific, across the Marshall Islands where an intercept will be attempted. You might be able to read if it was a hit--they haven't been too successful lately, so they will probably publicize a hit.

Thanks .I'm hearing it is a missile out of edwards..it is incredible..sorry for the OT all.

eta; did look like it was heading for the ocean. I could see what looked like a rocket or something very clearly. kind of a north to south arc

 

[Buzz Mills]

I bet many of these evacuees are mighty sick of this slow travel by now. Someone asked about how these travelers are going to go tp the bathroom on this exedus!

Remember Tylin? In honor of her memory as a poster here, I think she would say that every passenger in every car would have their own plastic quart bottle to go Pee. LOL

Other than that I don't know, but I know I wouldn't be able to walk a mile when I had to 'go', to get to the bathroom!


:slap:
Scandi

I've never had a problem. Sometimes, being a guy, has its advantages. A folded 8 1/2 X 11 sheet of paper, and we're all ready to go.

 

[Buzz Mills]

Thanks .I'm hearing it is a missile out of edwards..it is incredible..sorry for the OT all.

eta; did look like it was heading for the ocean. I could see what looked like a rocket or something very clearly. kind of a north to south arc

It may be heading out over the Pacific heading towards the Marshall Islands. It would probably look North South to you, just because of the distance, and altitude--they fly much, much, higher than aircraft.

 

[Buzz Mills]

HURRICANE RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 22 2005

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE RITA CONTINUES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND UPPER
TEXAS COASTS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS TO MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF
LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN....AND
FROM SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE RIO GRANDE.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 350 MILES...
560 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 310 MILES... 495
KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF RITA WILL BE APPROACHING THE
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND UPPER TEXAS COASTS LATE FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RITA IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES...335 KM. ANY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE NEW
ORLEANS AREA ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO A FEW SQUALLS
ASSOCIATED WITH QUICKLY MOVING RAINBANDS.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 917 MB...27.08 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE
LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA COASTS IN THE AREAS AFFECTED BY
KATRINA. TIDES IN THOSE AREAS WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET AND BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES...AND RESIDENTS THERE COULD EXPERIENCE
COASTAL FLOODING.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AS IT MOVES INLAND.
SINCE RITA IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER MAKING
LANDFALL...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN
LOUISIANA. IN ADDITION...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW
ORLEANS.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...26.2 N... 90.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 917 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
CDT.

FORECASTER KNABB


Hurricane Rita Projected Path
http://tinyurl.com/dpgwx

Hurricane Rita Strike Probabilities (Scroll Down)
http://tinyurl.com/dsfp5

Hurricane Rita Satellite Imagery (Patience Required)
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy

Hurricane Rita Tropical Winds Forecast (in % of highest wind speed)
http://tinyurl.com/b9vap

Rita Hurricane Winds Probability
http://tinyurl.com/blayb

Rita Tropical Winds Probability
http://tinyurl.com/b2k6f

Hurricane Rita Position
http://tinyurl.com/7ju9l



The above links will update automatically, so if someone wants to include them in their future posts, they will be valid for that time.

Category Five Hurricane:
Winds greater than 155 mph (135 kt or 249 km/hr). Storm surge generally greater than 18 ft above normal. Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. Some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. All shrubs, trees, and signs blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Severe and extensive window and door damage. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Major damage to lower floors of all structures located less than 15 ft above sea level and within 500 yards of the shoreline. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5-10 miles (8-16 km) of the shoreline may be required. Only 3 Category Five Hurricanes have made landfall in the United States since records began: The Labor Day Hurricane of 1935, Hurricane Camille (1969), and Hurricane Andrew in August, 1992. The 1935 Labor Day Hurricane struck the Florida Keys with a minimum pressure of 892 mb--the lowest pressure ever observed in the United States. Hurricane Camille struck the Mississippi Gulf Coast causing a 25-foot storm surge, which inundated Pass Christian. Hurricane Andrew of 1992 made landfall over southern Miami-Dade County, Florida causing 26.5 billion dollars in losses--the costliest hurricane on record. In addition, Hurricane Gilbert of 1988 was a Category Five hurricane at peak intensity and is the strongest Atlantic tropical cyclone on record with a minimum pressure of 888 mb.

Size Comparison

KATRINA
Wind Speed at Landfall, 140mph-----Maiximum Wind Speed, 175mph
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...923 MB. (at landfall) 902 MB (at its lowest)

RITA
Wind Speed Presently, 140mph-----Maiximum Wind Speed, 175mph
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...917 MB. (presently) 897 MB (at its lowest)
This is the 3rd lowest pressure on record-- Gilbert 888 MB, 1935 LABOR DAY 892 MB

The record low central pressure ever, for a hurricane IN the U.S., is 892 MB (the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane).

 

[Buzz Mills]

Thanks .I'm hearing it is a missile out of edwards..it is incredible..sorry for the OT all.

eta; did look like it was heading for the ocean. I could see what looked like a rocket or something very clearly. kind of a north to south arc

OT:

(CBS 5 NEWS) - Vandenberg Air Force Base in California gave the valley quite a show Thursday night when they launched a test missile.

The base does frequent testing, but it is usally done during daylight, so it's not noticeable. The missile launched at 7:20 p.m.


This carries the REB which will be released over the Marshall Islands, to be intercepted by the interceptor missile launched, probably from Meck Island (one of the Marshall Islands)..

 

[JBean]

It may be heading out over the Pacific heading towards the Marshall Islands. It would probably look North South to you, just because of the distance, and altitude--they fly much, much, higher than aircraft.

you got it Buzz:
Rocket Carrying Military Satellite Launches


VANDENBERG AIR FORCE BASE - A rocket carrying a military research satellite blasted off Thursday, dazzling spectators from California to Arizona with a rainbow of colors as it streaked across the sky at dusk

http://abclocal.go.com/kabc/story?section=local&id=3468860

 

[deanws]

I wonder what the real speed is - I know some people have successfully evacuated who post here or know someone who posts here - how long did it really take to get out? I know about the people on the news - but people exaggerate for the cameras, or neglect to mention that they tried a shortcut and it failed and had to backtrack, or that they spent 2 hours at dinner, etc. Given the speeds people are quoting, no one would get out - but people are getting out.

My best friends have been on the road for more than 24 hours. They still are not to Austin. We just taked to them about an hour ago. No exaggeration.

 

[13th Juror]

This is so weird to be watching this on tv and writting about the storm. I am usually one of the people out there on the road. Now I know what everyone else was doing when I was riding and riding and riding at 10 miles an hour.

Weird is right, Beyond Belief! <LOL> I was just thinking those exact same thoughts when I saw your post.

Just a year ago (doesn't seem nearly that long!) we were hunkering down or evacuating in advance of Charlie, Frances & Jean. 3 brutal hurricanes in a 6 week period that each wreaked some punishing damage to our home, trees, property & so much of Central Florida. Being without *power* (air conditioning, especially!) was the worst part for me. Everything else I could handle as we were pretty well prepared.

Like you, BB - someone who has *been there, done that* and know how it feels to be in a hurricane's path .. my heart really goes out to everyone in Texas & Louisiana. This is another massive & dangerous one - unlike anything I've ever experienced in Florida.

I'm saying "big time prayers" for all you Texas folks!!! Please be smart n' Stay SAFE! :blowkiss:

13th Juror