I keep focusing on the statistical unlikeness that two girls would be abducted and murdered. I've found the following information regarding the likelihood of one child being abducted (not killed):
But how common are what the Justice Department calls “stereotypical” abductions, the nightmare-caliber crime involving a stranger or slight acquaintance who whisks away a child with the intention of holding him for ransom, keeping him or killing him?
Statistics vary, but not by much. Some estimate about 40 such cases occur each year in the United States. The Justice Department report says there were 115 cases in 2002.
Either way, with 60,700,000 children 14 and under in the United States, the odds of your child being the victim of an Adam Walsh-style abduction are roughly
1 in a million.
You’d be wiser to cancel those horseback-riding lessons. Your child is more likely to be killed in an equestrian accident. (Odds in one year for people who ride horses: 1 in 297,000.) Or better yet, pull him off the football team. (Yearly odds of dying for youth football players: 1 in 78,260.) And if you really want to protect them, sell your car. (Lifetime odds of dying as a passenger: 1 in 228. Odds of dying this year alone: 1 in 17,625.)
Or, to put another spin on it,
your child is 700 times more likely to get into Harvard than to be the victim of such an abduction.
snip
And I found this info about the chances of one child being abducted and murdered:
Chances that the kidnapped child will be killed are smaller still. The U.S. Department of Justice says 40 percent of the 115 victims were murdered.
Horrific, yes, but “
almost certain not to happen,” says Stearns.
http://missingchild.wordpress.com/2006/08/17/how-dangerouus-is-childhood-cont/
BBM
If the abduction and murder of one child is "almost certain not to happen", then it is
astronomically more unlikely that TWO children will be abducted together and murdered.
Yes, it happened, but I feel there is much more to the abduction and murders of Lyric and Lizzie than a random abduction by a stranger. JMO.