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Thanks to @Incoherent for the images. Tricia has approved them as is (without links).
View attachment 623110
There were protective casings on what I assume to be blood stains, outside of the Irie house too.
I hadn’t seen this angle before or in enough quality to spot them.
This perhaps means the ones in the genkan of the Miyazawa house, on their steps, and outside the Irie’s, are all Haruko’s after she ran back. We haven’t had any reports on what or whose they are.
But would the blood in the house still be wet enough to cause this almost 12 hours later? I suppose so.
Thoughts?
I suppose if she stepped in a pool area it might still be tacky or sticky. I imagine the girls had a pool around themView attachment 623110
There were protective casings on what I assume to be blood stains, outside of the Irie house too.
I hadn’t seen this angle before or in enough quality to spot them.
This perhaps means the ones in the genkan of the Miyazawa house, on their steps, and outside the Irie’s, are all Haruko’s after she ran back. We haven’t had any reports on what or whose they are.
But would the blood in the house still be wet enough to cause this almost 12 hours later? I suppose so.
Thoughts?
I would expect that since this is Japan she took her shoes off in the entrance, hence the adult bloody foot (not shoe) print on the second floor. From the entrance the house looked a mess but she wouldn’t have seen any bodies yet. Perhaps she didn’t put them back on as she ran out again and that’s what has been left at the house entrances.It coagulates. However, if there was raining outside, so her shoes were wet, and there was a lot of blood inside, it could happen, to a degree. My first question would be, was any of the adults in the house prescribed anticoagulants/aspirin for a specific condition? That could explain more.
From crime scene photos yes the blood around Yasuko and Niina was significant, so perhaps it was still transferable to a foot or a shoe even almost 12 hours later.I suppose if she stepped in a pool area it might still be tacky or sticky. I imagine the girls had a pool around them
If thin and spread out it would likely dry but maybe a thick pool of blood would too? Not sure. There would be an awful lot of blood so might not dry that quick?
Obviously, the number one question I have is "Whodunnit??" But my SOLID number 2 is, "Wazz going on next door?' Why did 'An Irie' and the rest of the family stone cold leave Yaruko in the house next door to live alone for all these years?View attachment 623110
There were protective casings on what I assume to be blood stains, outside of the Irie house too.
I hadn’t seen this angle before or in enough quality to spot them.
This perhaps means the ones in the genkan of the Miyazawa house, on their steps, and outside the Irie’s, are all Haruko’s after she ran back. We haven’t had any reports on what or whose they are.
But would the blood in the house still be wet enough to cause this almost 12 hours later? I suppose so.
Thoughts?
The fact the killer's clothes were covered in blood and that he took some clothes from within the house has been already confirmed by the police and it is also a known fact: the killer took some of Mikio's clothes (a sweater or possibly something else I'm forgetting right now) and the police never found them again.I’m not an expert at all — I only recently started studying cold cases and I’m still learning how to connect puzzle pieces properly. But after going through the Setagaya case details again, one small theory made some sense to me, so I’m sharing it humbly in case it adds anything.
If the newer DNA interpretation is correct and the killer was actually in his 30s, it fits a certain pattern: not a reckless teenager, but also not a trained professional — someone capable of basic planning but still careless in major ways.
One thought is that his clothes may have gotten completely soaked in blood during the attack. That would explain why he left behind items like the jacket, hat, scarf, and gloves. But he obviously couldn’t walk out without clothes, so maybe he grabbed something from the Miyazawa family wardrobe just to escape the house.
Ill-fitting or unfamiliar clothing could attract attention, though. That might be why he took the small amount of cash — not as theft, but to buy cheap clothes quickly or pay for transport, then dump whatever Miyazawa clothing he had on.
It doesn’t address every part of the case (like the sand, bathroom behaviour, ice cream, etc.), but as a single thread, this idea seemed somewhat practical to me.
Just sharing it as my personal theory — please don’t copy or repost without credit.
And if anyone here feels this line of thinking makes sense (or notices weak points or missing angles), please feel free to add on or point it out. I’m still learning, and any corrections or additions would actually help improve the theory.
Just sharing it as my personal theory — please don’t copy/repost without credit.
Apologies for the radio silence, thread friends. I promised I'd return with news when/if there was any. As such: an offer has been made from a major audio platform for another Miyazawa murder podcast written / hosted by your humble narrator.
All being well, we should be out in time for the 25th anniversary of the murders.
What do you think actually happened in this case? I’m studying it right now and I want to understand different perspectives. You seem experienced, so your theory or logical explanation would really help meThe fact the killer's clothes were covered in blood and that he took some clothes from within the house has been already confirmed by the police and it is also a known fact: the killer took some of Mikio's clothes (a sweater or possibly something else I'm forgetting right now) and the police never found them again.
Nothing has ever been linked to this and the police never commented again so it must mean there was no follow up on it.
As per the money being taken is anyone's guess really, it could be argued it was for this and that but ultimately there is no definitive proof about any angle.
Apologies if this comes out as rude (I'm saying it with the most neutral tone possible, I swear), but I have a lot of opinions and theories about this case that I will not be discussing openly in this thread.What do you think actually happened in this case? I’m studying it right now and I want to understand different perspectives. You seem experienced, so your theory or logical explanation would really help me![]()
Thank you — and really, there’s no need to apologize at all. You didn’t sound rude in the slightest. In fact, you corrected a couple of my assumptions, and that’s exactly why I came to Websleuths: to learn from people who have followed this case for years and can point out where I’m misunderstanding things.Apologies if this comes out as rude (I'm saying it with the most neutral tone possible, I swear), but I have a lot of opinions and theories about this case that I will not be discussing openly in this thread.
However, if you are interested in my stance, what I can tell you is that by reading the past threads (especially around the end of thread 3 when I registered to websleuths, up until this one) you might have a general idea of what I think/what are my opinions about many aspects.
The Setagaya murder is riddled with misinformation and incorrect things that the general audience report as facts and so this is yet another reason why there are many things I prefer not to discuss openly.
Was a big fan of this podcast but never thought to look the case up on here, is this still in the works? Hopefully it’s progressing well, it’d be great to get more quality content on this case.
Very difficult crime to make sense of. My hunch is the perpetrator was very young and/or very mentally unwell. I think even in 2000 a killer being so careless as to leave a lot of DNA at a crime scene was understandable, particularly in a country with very restrictive DNA laws, but to leave fingerprints all over the place? Your common or garden criminal would surely be too clued up to be that lax - unless, I suppose, they thought there was no chance their prints could ever be matched, such as if they were leaving the country? Though if the perp had a military connection they’d no doubt have been fingerprinted at some point, which you’d think would make them a little more forensically aware? But maybe they just didn’t care.
As with a lot of UK cold cases that I follow this one feels so solvable. But I get the feeling that, if we do find out who did it and why, we’ll still be scratching our heads about certain aspects of the crime.
Welcome to Websleuths @SHADOWW7!I’m not an expert at all — I only recently started studying cold cases and I’m still learning how to connect puzzle pieces properly. But after going through the Setagaya case details again, one small theory made some sense to me, so I’m sharing it humbly in case it adds anything.
If the newer DNA interpretation is correct and the killer was actually in his 30s, it fits a certain pattern: not a reckless teenager, but also not a trained professional — someone capable of basic planning but still careless in major ways.
One thought is that his clothes may have gotten completely soaked in blood during the attack. That would explain why he left behind items like the jacket, hat, scarf, and gloves. But he obviously couldn’t walk out without clothes, so maybe he grabbed something from the Miyazawa family wardrobe just to escape the house.
Ill-fitting or unfamiliar clothing could attract attention, though. That might be why he took the small amount of cash — not as theft, but to buy cheap clothes quickly or pay for transport, then dump whatever Miyazawa clothing he had on.
It doesn’t address every part of the case (like the sand, bathroom behaviour, ice cream, etc.), but as a single thread, this idea seemed somewhat practical to me.
Just sharing it as my personal theory — please don’t copy or repost without credit.
And if anyone here feels this line of thinking makes sense (or notices weak points or missing angles), please feel free to add on or point it out. I’m still learning, and any corrections or additions would actually help improve the theory.
Just sharing it as my personal theory — please don’t copy/repost without credit.
<modsnip: Quoted post was edited to correct Rei's age>Just spitballing some ideas here ...
Could be nothing, and I know Setagaya, Tokyo and Nagoya are a couple of hours apart, but in the Takaba murder, the 2 y.o. boy Kohei was left unharmed. In this Miyazawa case, 6 y.o. Rei's killing was different from the rest of his family in that he was not stabbed (so, please excuse me for referring to it as a 'softer' killing). Just hit me that in both cases, the young males were treated differently from the other victims.
Also, at the time of the murder of Namiko Takaba in November 1999, her husband Satoru Takaba (now 69 y.o.) would have been 43 years old at the time. In the Miyazawa murders a year later in December 2000, Nikio was 44 years old so would have been the same age as Satoru.
Based on the ages of both adult males in the two families, just wondering if there's any chance that Nikio had also crossed paths with an insanely jealous Yasufuku in the past (sports, schooling, convenience store or other employment ??)
In both cases, a break and enter, and an unusual 'food' element in both crimes ... in the Takaba murder, a juice or drink box (iirc) that Satoru says did not belong in the home was left behind, and we know of the food related elements in this case of the Miyazawa family.