Sorting through some of my other thoughts…
I now find it even harder to believe that the window was the entry point. It seems now that the intent was a sneak attack rather than a blitz attack, and that bathroom is JUST around the corner of the line of Mikio’s sight.
If Mikio heard anything, he could easily be watching, or even up into the bathroom, by the time the killer made it into the room. (And I know there’s a possibility that the bathroom door was closed, but even then, the killer has to open the door with a decent chance that Mikio will be either looking or standing right there when he does so).
And a thing I’m having a lot of trouble with:
Under normal circumstances, Niina and Rei would have both been sleeping on the bunks, right? And the killer couldn’t have strangled both of them, and attacking both of them at the same time would have almost certainly drawn attention from Mikio and/or Yasuko.
Interesting idea. That night Niina was sleeping with the mother because she was ill. Do you think he came for the kids? To abduct or kill, but solely the kids?
So, supposedly, the perpetrator had been observing the house for a few days? Then, the routine might have looked as follows: In the evening, the kids would take a bath and be sent to bed. After that, Yasuko would take a bath and go upstairs. Mikio, as I suspect, with his obsessive trait to make a “catalogue” of purchases and expenditures, might spend some additional time with his “collection”, but he can’t go upstairs too late, otherwise, the house will be up again. So in 15-20 min or so, he’d switch off his computer, take a bath and go upstairs. Then the light in the loft would be switched off.
So was strangling Rei a snap decision, the original plan WAS a blitz attack, and the killer just got lucky? Or ?????
JMO - what happened this time was different in that Niina and Yasuko went upstairs. The perp might have not known about it. If they switched off the light in the loft and the kids’ room, it could have seemed to the perp as if the “both kids and adults” were asleep. IRL, Mikio was working at the computer. But depending on the light he used, a tiny lamp in the cubicle, for example, may not have been noticeable to someone looking at the bathroom window or at the front balcony. So the killer gets into the house, whatever way he did it, and enters the kids’ room.
Niina is not in her bed. He probably would have started with her, given that Rei might have been a sound sleeper, but he has to improvise. So instead of Niina, he strangles the only person, Rei. I think he planned to strangle both kids.
This is an issue to me regardless of the entry point, but is a much bigger one if the window was used. Sneaking past the most obvious threat to the killer to silently kill one person is one thing, but planning on doing so to loudly kill two is an entirely different one.
Maybe he planned to kill the kids and slide back, through the balcony? The loft could have been closed, and perhaps he hoped that the adults won’t hear?
Obviously, he was rather graceful in movements and could walk quietly. I wonder if the entry point was the bathroom window. I thought it could be a door, but unlikely; maybe from the car to the balcony? The balcony door could have been unlocked; it is the second floor, after all.
Additional thought: old computers won’t switch off momentarily. The screen was usually green on black. Do you remember entering a dark room with several computers in the old time? These were desktops, and their screens would emit soft green light. If Mikio used a small green lamp in his cubicle, the perp could have easily taken it for the computer screen. What he probably saw was no light in the loft and no light in kids’ room. Some green light in the computer area. I think it was dark on the second floor. If Mikio was into saving electricity, maybe he’d switch off the light on the second floor, planning to switch it back on when he’d go upstairs?