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First a little clarity , I was not involved in the investigation, I've just followed her (and many others) for years .
To say WHOM i feel is responsible would be impossible without actual case info , but what I can do is lay out what I feel the offender was like , and whomever fits it Id be digging into
In Molly's case, youre looking most likely at a local who knew that area, I cant say for sure whether or not the man Molly's mom saw was her killer, its a strong possibility , but we just don't know.
A victimology assessment needs to be done to clear Molly's background to see if perhaps someone may have been stalking her or if she had enemies etc....You always start close and work out .
Though most abduction homicides of children are by chance (the offender just happens to come upon the victim) , I feel certain saying this individual planned this at lest partially.
There was no way to know she was alone there unless he survelied the area prior to, or he already knew the schedule, its a high risk offense if he walks down there and theres more than one person, unless hes supposed to be there.
I feel he has most likely been in prison before, probably has a history of sexual offenses, though I feel this was probably his first murder, It might have not been his last though. There a EXTREMELY high propensity for abduction murders to become serial offenders.
NOBODY wakes up one day and suddenly decides to abduct. rape and murder a girl , theres always a path that leads up to it, and in many cases, that path keeps going into the dark, with more victims, though they may not kill all of them
And Im certain SOMEONE knows or strongly suspects someone they know, but just never came forward.
I also feel he was most likely interviewed by police, but theres something that keeps his name on the back burner.
But ill say again i feel whomever it was parked in the Cemetery nearby and walked her out of there , either by ruse, or con such as brandishing a badge, a weapon, or saying someone up near the cemetery needed help .
I do not feel she was dragged out physically , or incapacitated and carried .
Now here's another possibility , .....Its also possible it was someone she was familiar with , kids are abducted only slightly more by strangers than acquaintances, it was a long way to get that girl out of there, if a stranger approaches with a ruse, and she doesn't go with him, he stands the risk that someone may interrupt.
Which brings up another question was Molly a specific target, or was she just a victim of opportunity? was the offender there lying in wait for any girl that happened to be there alone?
Could be either, but I feel he absolutely knew there would be a young girl there alone that day.
SO doing a victimology assessment would tell us more about Molly, was she the type of person that would simply go off with a stranger?, was she a risk taker? , was she altruistic? perhaps to help a stranger in distress? was she cautious? would she go with someone who brandished a badge?, would she fight back against a physical assault ? , was she naive? was she trusting? was she big hearted? would she attempt to help someone she thought needed aid? was she distrustful of people, whoud she refuse to go anywhere with someone she didnt know? what about some "harmless presence" shes seen there and perhaps talked to there before ? what about a co-worker ?
What we want to know is what made her a good target that day?, how would she respond, what elevated her risk?. We want to know what made her a victim.
Now depending on that :
If it were a stranger, I feel whatever the method used was it would most likely have to be something he could abandon had anyone else happened upon the scene, a stranger might know she was there, but not what time anyone else might happen upon the pond area.
An Acquaintance, would have to provide less info, could know who was there, and how much time they would have to get her out of there unseen.
Ruse/Con is also most often used to abduct teenage victims.
In most abduction/murders of children, the offender lives, works, or traverses that area of the abduction regularly, IE they are usually in that area for a legitimate reason.
The mean age of the abduction murder of children is 27, but id put it at slightly older early to mid 30's with this offender, there was some criminal sophistication only gained with experience here.
Though they usually live nearby, there is usually a stronger tie to the offender and where the victim is recovered. They usually know the body recovery area very well as that's where they stand the risk of being caught either raping, killing , or with a deceased victim.
The body recovery site (I hate the term "dump site") is usually within 200 feet from where the murder actually occurred, in many cases, its one and the same.
We never want a suspect list when we do an analysis, because well invariably start to tailor it to whomever is on the list.
But again, I wouldn't put it out of the realm of possibility, shes seen his face before .
I had a question about criminal psychology. If a killer puts a body in an area like Whiskey Hill, and they realize that nobody has discovered the body there for 3 years, is it strange there would be no other victims whose remains would be discovered in that area or close to it? Or would that suggest the killer stopped for at least 3 years?