Is Minnesota a swing state?
Technically speaking, it is not. It has voted blue at least since 1984 as the runner-up against Ronald Reagan was Walter Mondale, a Minnesotan. And before, they voted blue except for Nixon, and before that, they voted blue after Eisenhower.
But, during some elections, the margin has been low. I'd say, that in cases of "charismatic" Democratic candidates, they are "definitely blue", and in cases of "uncharismatic ones", the situation is more complex.
I believe that Michael Moore described the mood and the mentality of his state the best in his 2016 article "I think Trump is gonna win". That year, Minnesota voted for Clinton, but with a very narrow margin.
I lived in Iowa, just below Minnesota, and I can extrapolate, because both are post-industrial Midwestern states. People there are kind, hardworking, and - in sharp difference from Massachusetts or Washington, both states that i consider "mine" - having the concept of "a neighbor". While in MA people will help a lot if you ask and in WA, people are just but tend to help "causes" more, for a Midwesterner noticing when your neighbor is struggling and actively offering free help is the norm. And it is sincere.
So IMHO, this is the worst place to send ICE into because the sense of "neighborhood" is very strong there, and if their neighborhoods are in disarray, it hurts them a lot.
Just my personal opinion.
