AZ Nancy Guthrie, 84, (mother of TODAY Show host Savannah Guthrie) missing - last seen in the Catalina foothills area on Jan 31, 2026

  • #841
Thinking out loud...

When a body is taken, common motives (at a high level) include:
  1. Delay discovery / buy time (to flee, establish an alibi, or avoid an immediate manhunt).
  2. Prevent identification of the offender (e.g., the victim knew them or could tie them to the crime).
  3. Control the narrative (staging it as a missing person instead of a murder).
  4. Secondary-location crime (the main event wasn’t the burglary—it was the abduction/assault, and the house was just the first scene).
  5. Panic/irrational decision-making after violence (offenders sometimes do illogical things under adrenaline and fear).

To me this suggests something more targeted than opportunistic theft, such as:
  • the victim may have recognized the offender
  • the offender may have had a prior connection to the home/victim
  • or the intent may have been abduction from the start.
 
  • #842
Can someone help me with a link or source? I’m behind and haven’t read every comment on the thread but I see several comments referencing the family going into the house and calling 911 after an hour. This is not info I have seen elsewhere - just in the comments. I’m sure that you all know where the info came from and it’s probably on this thread somewhere but I can’t find the first comment that references it - just comments from enough of you that make me think I should have found it by now lol. So could one of you help me out and post a link to that source again please?
 
  • #843
Was the dinner at her daughter's home or at a restaurant?
A restaurant would then involve checking indoor security cameras,asking customers if they saw anything/anyone suspicious, checking outside CCTV to see if anyone left the restaurant soon after NG left etc.
imo
 
  • #845
Can someone help me with a link or source? I’m behind and haven’t read every comment on the thread but I see several comments referencing the family going into the house and calling 911 after an hour. This is not info I have seen elsewhere - just in the comments. I’m sure that you all know where the info came from and it’s probably on this thread somewhere but I can’t find the first comment that references it - just comments from enough of you that make me think I should have found it by now lol. So could one of you help me out and post a link to that source again please?
The sheriff mentioned in the press conference that the family got a call from someone at church or something like that when she didn't show so they went over there, looked for a bit themselves and then called police.

12:30 here
 
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  • #846
How could she have walked a dog when she is non ambulatory? How do you know its her dog?
I was thinking this last night.
I also assumed that it was her dog but since a pet has not been mentioned and not being able to walk long distances makes a dog kind of improbable (unless its, perhaps, a service dog?).
It could also be one of her children's pets.
 
  • #848
Can someone help me with a link or source? I’m behind and haven’t read every comment on the thread but I see several comments referencing the family going into the house and calling 911 after an hour. This is not info I have seen elsewhere - just in the comments. I’m sure that you all know where the info came from and it’s probably on this thread somewhere but I can’t find the first comment that references it - just comments from enough of you that make me think I should have found it by now lol. So could one of you help me out and post a link to that source again please?
@17: 49
Sheriff: an hour delay until the family called police.

 
  • #849
I spent a lot of time visiting an elderly friend of mine in a nursing home. First off, the smell from the plug ins gave me a headache and most of the poor people were medicated and nodded out in a wheel chair. Very sad. Yes the family hardly visited her. She had issues with some residents there so she didn't eat in the dining room-and sat in a chair in her room (only one room not an apartment) with a styrofoam container eating her meals, balancing it on her lap. One day, when I got there, I saw a huge soiled area on the carpet under her container -from past meals and I called housekeeping to shampoo the rugs and they did. I hadn’t been there in awhile and it was probably accumulating for weeks. A very depressing place to be.

Some are fabulous places, and some are just horrendous..........
This is why so many seniors are so afraid.
But the costs are just so out of control now too.

The "Long Term Care" Insurance was probably a good investment.... but only if you get it early.... who thinks about these things when in their 50s ???
 
  • #850
So sad to hear there was blood at the scene - what on earth happened to Nancy. LE has to have more information that they aren't sharing. I hope the family are coping as best they can in a terrible situation like this. I can't imagine how they are feeling each day that goes on not knowing where their Mum is :(
 
  • #851
No, I was going in order and was way back 10 pages when I commented this comment. I was referring to people asking why she was living alone. I just wanted us to remember this is not a fall or the case of someone dying because they were alone in their home and nobody checked on them. She was abducted and that can happen to anyone of any fitness level if a criminal wants to do something they will do it. Maybe she should not have been living alone, but this case is about her being abducted while sleeping. Even if she lived with someone that could happen, even if she was in great physical shape for 84 that could still happen. It seems this area she lived was safe and not a place where random crime is regularly occurring, which might cause alarm and for us to question why she lived alone in a dangerous area, but it seems pretty safe even though it wasn't in a gated community.

Ms. Guthrie also lived in that house since 1975, so well before her daughter was famous on TV. I'm sure she felt comfortable in that house because she's been there for 50 years and many of her neighbors might be also longtime residents so we just don't think this type of thing will happen in a place we've lived in for a long time and felt safe in. As for SG having the ability to pay for an aide, that is likely true, but if her mother didn't want it, what could she do? Sounds like her mom was of sound mind and if she refuses, then I doubt anyone could force her to have one in her home. Now if mentally, someone is not well, it's likely easier to force something like that, but what can someone do if their mind is sound and they don't want a live in aide? No matter how much money or resources someone has, they have to want the assistance unless they are deemed unable to make good decisions. IMO
Didn't know she lived in that house 50 years. It looks brand new. Thx for the info
 
  • #852
I was thinking this last night.
I also assumed that it was her dog but since a pet has not been mentioned and not being able to walk long distances makes a dog kind of improbable (unless its, perhaps, a service dog?).
It could also be one of her children's pets.

She shouldn't really have to "walk" a dog... with so much private property there, she probably just lets it out...
Thats what i do!!
 
  • #853
So sad to hear there was blood at the scene - what on earth happened to Nancy. LE has to have more information that they aren't sharing. I hope the family are coping as best they can in a terrible situation like this. I can't imagine how they are feeling each day that goes on not knowing where their Mum is :(

They have not declared WHERE the blood was. Their reporting is really muddly on this... and I am sure it is intentional for various reasons.
From all that i have read, we don't know if the blood is Nancy's....
 
  • #854
Or killed in her home (intentional or not) and then had to hide the body?

idk, just thinking about possible scenarios.

jmo
Was there any sign of forced entry? If not, who had a key? Housekeeper? Handyman? Relative?Someone waiting when she came home? No car? Dragmarks? Did she have sensor lights outside? If not, why not...? so many simple questions...
 
  • #855
Was there any sign of forced entry? If not, who had a key? Housekeeper? Handyman? Relative?Someone waiting when she came home? No car? Dragmarks? Did she have sensor lights outside? If not, why not...? so many simple questions...
Her daughter had dinner with her the night before and dropped her off. They are reporting that they are looking at cameras.
 
  • #856
Thinking out loud...

When a body is taken, common motives (at a high level) include:
  1. Delay discovery / buy time (to flee, establish an alibi, or avoid an immediate manhunt).
  2. Prevent identification of the offender (e.g., the victim knew them or could tie them to the crime).
  3. Control the narrative (staging it as a missing person instead of a murder).
  4. Secondary-location crime (the main event wasn’t the burglary—it was the abduction/assault, and the house was just the first scene).
  5. Panic/irrational decision-making after violence (offenders sometimes do illogical things under adrenaline and fear).

To me this suggests something more targeted than opportunistic theft, such as:
  • the victim may have recognized the offender
  • the offender may have had a prior connection to the home/victim
  • or the intent may have been abduction from the start.
Thanks for bringing the convo back to the investigation.

I'm leaning toward someone who knew of her but not in a close circle, perhaps a relative of a caregiver or other support staff (but not the staffmember himself).

I lean away from a random stranger because I don't think a stranger would bother taking the person but would do harm in the house and leave.

I'm also not thinking relative but have no reason for that. Just wanting to avoid thinking about that additional heartbreak I suppose.

Thanks for the list - good items to ponder.

jmo
 
  • #857
Didn't know she lived in that house 50 years. It looks brand new. Thx for the info
The real estate listing for the property shows that the last sale was 1975. Sale price $85,000.
This jives with the reports of Savannah being born in Australia (1971) , and the family moved back to the States to Tucson when she was 2. Sounds like they were someplace inTucson, and then bought their "forever" home.
I would suspect that many renovations occured over the years , thus increasing the value along with the typical real estate inflation over these years.
 
  • #858
Thanks for bringing the convo back to the investigation.

I'm leaning toward someone who knew of her but not in a close circle, perhaps a relative of a caregiver or other support staff (but not the staffmember himself).

I lean away from a random stranger because I don't think a stranger would bother taking the person but would do harm in the house and leave.

I'm also not thinking relative but have no reason for that. Just wanting to avoid thinking about that additional heartbreak I suppose.

Thanks for the list - good items to ponder.

jmo

My thoughts are identical to yours.
Anyone and everyone can have "bad relatives" .... even if all the workers and caregivers were carefully vetted.
 
  • #859
The real estate listing for the property shows that the last sale was 1975. Sale price $85,000.
This jives with the reports of Savannah being born in Australia (1971) , and the family moved back to the States to Tucson when she was 2. Sounds like they were someplace inTucson, and then bought their "forever" home.
I would suspect that many renovations occured over the years , thus increasing the value along with the typical real estate inflation over these years.
85K was a lot in 1975. Pristine landscaping and such. Looks like there is an apartment near the pool. Maybe just a cabana but I’m wondering if she ever had any help that lived there.
 
  • #860
I would have thought that in their position I would have called LE sooner rather than later. But I guess we're all different.
My guess is that they arrived and found the door open and her car there, so their first thought was that she had fallen somewhere on the property. Likely, they rushed to search the yard for her before they went inside. Once they went inside and she wasn't there, the family called 911 because she had vanished, or because she had vanished and there was something disturbing inside the home. Since their first thought on arriving at the house was that she was down somewhere on the property, emergency help might not have been required.
 

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