• #37,421
I think it’s a combination of two things:

As a society we’ve been conditioned to expect instant results.

And as forensic technology has improved, it challenges the notion that it takes time to find the suspect.
Yes, that too. And on TV, cases are solved in an hour.
 
  • #37,422
It could be strategy to make the perp(s) relax and start

Their strategy has evidently been this way from the start. I imagine the perp has been relaxing so much that he's in a virtual coma.

JMO.
 
  • #37,423
I think it feels slow because there's an urgency to find NG because of her age and need for meds. In reality, it's been three weeks. I've followed quite a few cases here on WS and very few of them have been solved in three weeks. What I'm seeing here is an expectation that she (and the perp(s)) should have been found days ago. It took nine months for Elizabeth Smart to be found. But we don't know if NG can live nine months without her meds. MOO
I liked your sock analogy of the DNA samples because it explained what I was missing but it also realistically described how tedious the work can be. We can't expedite everything. But I hope they have much more going on.
 
  • #37,424
I just have a hard time believing LE left all the Lantana plant on the front porch floor. Lantana has a very pungent smell. Find a Lantana (weed) and break the leaf. You will know, what I mean. If there was a chance of a dropped glove, a K9 would have picked up on it. I have no doubt.

ALL IMO

-Nin
 
  • #37,425
  • #37,426
It's not just you. If someone is at my door in the dead of night, there's no way I'm opening it.
Unless you recognize the voice..?

-Nin
 
  • #37,427
Question for all WSers...

Which do you think is more likely - finding NG will lead to finding the perp(s) or finding the perp(s) will lead to finding NG?
 
  • #37,428
finding perps
 
  • #37,429
Finding the perp.
 
  • #37,430
He had a gun and could have shot any dog.
I don't think this was that preventable. It could happen to anyone, but luckily it's incredibly rare.
I agree with you though in thinking this was probably sexually motivated.
Well..as an old police sergeant said to me about Shepherds: “they are hard to anchor.” That’s if you hit them! Hitting a rapidly moving target is incredibly difficult…

More to the point-the animal’s bark in a defensive/attack mode is incredibly intimidating. When our family lived in a 15 house block just outside North Philly with our overly large and aggressive Shepherd-14 of the houses were burglarized in 10 years. Ours was not. Dealing with aggressive and powerful dogs is not easy-or necessary... the animal that has bonded with their owner will fight you to the last beat of their heart. They will bleed, and in all probability, so will you.

Pre-incident surveillance that uncovers a guardian dog is a strong reason to do more victim selection.

I used the dog as an example. As another, I’m reminded of a fatal shooting in Nashville years ago. Neighbors called 911 on hearing the rounds.
On arrival they found a well known teen hoodlum DRT. ( Dead Right There.)

They spoke to the old gentleman still sitting on his porch )who willingly surrendered his ancient revolver). He explained the guy tried to rob him. Realizing the fellow looked ancient the lady cop asked him “how old are you sir?” The old gent laughed and said “I’m the oldest man in Nashville …just turned 104.”

So many things would have prevented this.
 
  • #37,431
The point is, he knew he would take her through the front door before it actually happened. She was either deceased, unconscious inside or someone was watching her, keeping her form making any undesirable moves.

-Nin
Yes, I agree he knew he would take her through the front and if he or another perp had the car there it makes sense. We're just dealing with a lot of "ifs".
 
  • #37,432
 
  • #37,433
  • #37,434
Deputies turned up at the property, told them to leave and possibly trespassing them now...
Aren't these the Madres de Sonora who were searching on the property on Thursday or Friday of this week? And the media reported that they had been hired by the family? So were they not engaged by the family previously?

I understand not searching on private property but I find the sheriff's office stance toward official search parties pretty baffling. There are a lot of areas that could be searched and I don't see a downside at all.
 
  • #37,435
Unless you recognize the voice..?

-Nin
My gf sent me a few messages that didn't 'sound' like her. I questioned (in my mind), if someone else had her account or AI used or...
 
  • #37,436
I assumed it was, based on the wording of the post:

SCENT TRACK: U.S. Border Patrol tells Fox News'
@MattFinnFNC
its elite BORSTAR team used the shirt for a K-9 search at Nancy Guthrie’s home the night she disappeared and again when the FBI returned to the property.

I thought someone said ( maybe Nanos) that the scent dogs stopped in the driveway ..can't find it or maybe I dreamed it
 
  • #37,437
Forced entry through back of gathers house does make send. What makes no sense is fiddling with the bell cam at all. When did Lantana man access the front porch? After forced entry trough the back? Then why not enter and remove cam reaching from inside. If he entered prior to force entry, why not even try checking whether the front door was unlocked. Why being exposed to the bell cam at all? It all seem backwards to me..

ALL IMO

-Nin
I feel like he might've ensured the external situation was set up to his liking before entering the house and abducting Nancy. Since he hadn't been inside yet, he comes around from the side of the house.

Check out the flashes/reflection on his right wrist right at the start of the video (00:01, while his head's still down) and after grabbing the lantana (00:28). He seems to be sneakily checking a device on his wrist before the entry and reentry of the porch.


I'm wondering if he wasn't wearing a deauth watch.

deauth_watch.webp


This device can disable WiFi and jam WiFi cameras. He checks it each time to make sure it's still jamming before approaching the porch.

Maybe he got a cheap model that doesn't jam 5 Ghz, which the Nest Doorbell can utilize. Or maybe he did jam the camera, but at some point the jamming stopped, the Nest reconnected to the WiFi, and uploaded the video we see to the Nest servers.

That's why he's not being as fastidious with hiding his face as you might expect considering the gravity of the crime.

Just a guess.
 
  • #37,438
Unless you recognize the voice..?

-Nin
Dressed like the perp is dressed? No, I wouldnt open the door even if it sounded like my best friend. The incident I told you all about with our alarm going off and we all slept through it had an interesting ending. Maybe worth posting. The police officer looked around. Saw our carriage doors in the basement had blown open from the wind and that triggered the alarm. As he was leaving..all of us in robes and sweats, he said to my husband UH, can i see some Identification? We all thought that was one smart Policemen. My point is, no one would open the door to that perp in the day or night and even an appropriately dressed "resident" at 3am is still a suspect and a potential hostage taker. NO ONE is above suspicion no matter who they might sound like. Dressed like the perp?!?!? It's a nightmare outfit designed to intimidate. JMO MOO
 
  • #37,439
Question for all WSers...

Which do you think is more likely - finding NG will lead to finding the perp(s) or finding the perp(s) will lead to finding NG?
Not sure. This case is interesting because in many ways there has been an unlimited budget for apprehension based on all the media coverage, expert analysis, and quick government organizations. The family is wealthy and can afford to plan and have searchers continue to look for NG.
 
  • #37,440
I feel it’s more likely NG will not be found, nor will her abductors.

This case makes no sense at all.
I have said for awhile, this case reminds me so much of the Missy Beavers case. They found her, just not the killer.
 

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