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No body is saying that this is something that happens on a frequent basis. Obviously, it doesn't. Just because people can hold a grudge or can shun family does not mean they will kill them. Nowhere did I say that our region is filled with rage-filled murderers, (In fact, I noted earlier, that my county hadn't had a murder in 10 years), but, there are cases, of retribution. Could someone known to the Rs, have planned this out? I think they could have. I'm not saying it isn't drugs, or it isn't contract killers, I'm just saying, it might be about something more personal, at the end of the day, and someone close, might very well have provided info, and been there that night.
I also agree with amauet, avid hunters, maybe w/some sort of LE or military background, (neither uncommon) and yes, I think they could plan this out. When this first happened, Dewine said that somebody, who was in on this, had to be familiar with the properties. Reader had BCI called within an hour or so of finding the bodies. By 2:30 or so, that day, they'd figured out that this was specifically targeted to eradicate this family, and, basically, no one else was in danger. This could very well have been business, but that doesn't mean it wasn't very personal. There was a whole lot of hate aimed at these folks, imo. As LM himself said;
https://www.daytondailynews.com/new...rs-abound-pike-county/sw88H0SRjuYVltzKX3xXUO/
http://www.whio.com/news/crime--law...ed-knew-the-territory/lzgfo60J12ruE4BjV9NosN/
I think we're in agreement that the killers were familiar with the homes and habits of the family and that information may have been gained through visits or through interaction with unknowing close friends or family members.
Unknowing: BJM and other M family members
Knowing: W family and associates
Assumptions not yet validated:
That the Rhoden family had close friends who were psychologically prepared, motivated and sufficiently experienced and equipped to massacre their entire family, then return to normal everyday lives without showing any signs of having done this.
That the killers had to be people who had been in the homes of the victims and had personal relationships with them.
Motives:
Money
Drugs
Revenge or retribution for alleged criminal activities
Custody issues over child of HR
Known facts:
CR1 & KR were involved in an MJ grow op and other activities (cars, etc.) that brought them into regular contact with organized criminal groups.
Rhodens had been engaged in a conflict with members of the W family about custody of HR's child
Killers revealed they had adequate skills to get into and out of the UHR area without being observed
Killers were able to obtain weapons and dispose of them in a way LE could not track
Knew the best time of night to attack without
Killers were adequately armed, possibly including special equipment to navigate dark homes (flashlights, night vision, etc.)
Killers knew how to enter the homes and work quietly and quickly in the dark to find and execute multiple victims before they could raise an alarm and without causing collateral damage to children and themselves
Killers were able to take steps to hinder the LE investigation in each of the 4 homes
LE has executed multiple search warrants
LE is known to have taken DNA samples, examined computer & cell phone records from:
Manley family - LM, BJM, JM
Wagner family
Discussion:
The killers didn't have to have been in the homes before the murders. They could have been watching the homes before the murders, hence heightened activity by CR1 and others in the weeks leading up to the murders. Could be they noticed suspicious vehicles patrolling the area around their homes. They also seemed aware that someone was planning to attack them.
Were Rhodens hearing rumors? Had something happened recently to put them on alert? Business deal gone wrong? Escalating war of words over custody? Falling out between CR1 & G Wagner?
https://www.cincinnati.com/story/ne...-case-because-authorities-clueless/431678001/
What we need to figure out is who realistically had the skills (not knowledge of properties) to pull off these murders and evade detection. We keep getting bogged down with the assumption that the killers had to be people who knew the Rhodens and visited their homes frequently. That's not required to pull off these murders. Worse, it puts us in the position of narrowing our focus and falling victim to confirmation bias.
After searching around, I found some ideas for overcoming confirmation bias in criminal investigations. One of the suggestions from experts is to take the people you suspect of the crime and find ways to prove them innocent. Try to poke holes in your own theory. I've been trying to do that myself over time. It helps to keep an open mind.
Maybe we'll make more progress by analyzing suspects and theories to see who we can take off the list. Is there any single item of information that could rule out a suspect or theory?
https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/.../tunnel-vision-in-the-criminal-justice-system
Another goal would be to make sure we have all the solid information that's available to use in investigating these murders. Things reported, then forgotten or overlooked, etc.
The last big suggestion is to find ways to advocate for these victims and keep the investigation moving forward in a productive way.
Just some suggestions.