PA PA - Ray Gricar, 59, Bellefonte, 15 April 2005 - #14

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  • #661
I have a problem with posts that state, for instance: RFG had missing money. Since we didn't live with him and have his pay stubs, we cannot know if indeed there was money missing. Yes I have posted the opinion that if RFG walked away (and no verifiable evidence) of hidden money in a bank account somewhere, that he would be walking into a life of poverty. That is my opinion. To date no one has found a hidden bank account. So my opinion is as good as any. At this point maybe a single poster's word without verification is good enough for you, fine with me. I'm not quite to that point and will continue to question any and every post stated as fact without any concrete evidence that it is indeed FACT. I'm not telling you what to post or what to believe. Its not my call. Everything I say here is opinion cause I don't claim special knowledge. At the same time don't make fun of my opinions as you spout your own as fact.

In my opinion, it is unlikely that RFG had money hidden in some offshore account. With the Patriot Act, it is harder than ever to hide money. Now, it may be hard to get records from offshore accounts, but the fact of the matter is, the records of transfers from US banks to offshore accounts would have been easily attainable, and there are none.

I'm of the opinion that Gricar's retirement plan was his pension, and there were no hidden assets. Even if he was hiding cash under his mattress, the most he could have stashed away would have been 10 grand, give or take. Yes, he could have used that to establish a new life somewhere, but the only work one can find without any sort of documentation is manual labor, and that's not something a man of his age would probably be getting involved in.
 
  • #662
I have a problem with posts that state, for instance: RFG had missing money. Since we didn't live with him and have his pay stubs, we cannot know if indeed there was money missing. Yes I have posted the opinion that if RFG walked away (and no verifiable evidence) of hidden money in a bank account somewhere, that he would be walking into a life of poverty. That is my opinion. To date no one has found a hidden bank account. So my opinion is as good as any. At this point maybe a single poster's word without verification is good enough for you, fine with me. I'm not quite to that point and will continue to question any and every post stated as fact without any concrete evidence that it is indeed FACT. I'm not telling you what to post or what to believe. Its not my call. Everything I say here is opinion cause I don't claim special knowledge. At the same time don't make fun of my opinions as you spout your own as fact.

RFG's salary was published, as are the salaries of all county elected officials in PA. His financial disclosure statements are a matter of public record, and they were posted for 2004 and 2005 (LG filing on his behalf). He estate information (exclusive of taxes paid) is also a matter of public record and copies were posted. This looks like a case of trying to get the evidence to fit the theory.
 
  • #663
In my opinion, it is unlikely that RFG had money hidden in some offshore account. With the Patriot Act, it is harder than ever to hide money. Now, it may be hard to get records from offshore accounts, but the fact of the matter is, the records of transfers from US banks to offshore accounts would have been easily attainable, and there are none.

I'm of the opinion that Gricar's retirement plan was his pension, and there were no hidden assets. Even if he was hiding cash under his mattress, the most he could have stashed away would have been 10 grand, give or take. Yes, he could have used that to establish a new life somewhere, but the only work one can find without any sort of documentation is manual labor, and that's not something a man of his age would probably be getting involved in.

As far as has been published, LE never looked. No forensic audit. It is easy to miss evidence that isn't being looked for.
 
  • #664
My apologies. And thank you for correcting me. Disregard the part about the unlocked car. The part about the scent stands.

And yes, I agree, that even if he was just there to enter another car, he was still there. However, I've never disputed whether or not he was there (I can see both arguments as to why he probably was and why he probably wasn't there), because I think it's irrelevant to the timeline that considers the Fenton sighting. What is relevant to that timeline is how long he was there.

Whether he met someone and traded cars around Madisonburg or whether he did it in Lewisburg is not relevant to the "alternative timeline" (let's start calling it the "Fenton Timeline") to which many of us subscribe. At least to me, whether he was or wasn't in Lewisburg is inconsequential. Rather the question is - if he was there - how long was he there? Because if he was there past 2:15 or so, then we have a problem with the Fenton Timeline. However, I have not seen any evidence to convince me that - if he was there - he A) left the parking lot, or B) was there past 2:00-2:15. Given how "plain-looking" Gricar's appearance was, I do not find any of the eyewitnesses that put him in the SoS credible.

We do have an expect on dogs here, that said it was hugely unlikely for the scent not to have been from RFG directly.

There is a gap in the reported witness sighting that would have permitted RFG to be in Lewisburg, spotted by the people at the Packwood House, and get to Bellefonte by 3:00 PM.
 
  • #665
We do have an expect on dogs here, that said it was hugely unlikely for the scent not to have been from RFG directly.

Agree that it is unlikely, but it is even more unlikely for a trace of a scent to linger outside (around the Mini) and not have one linger indoors (in the SoS). Very unlikely.
 
  • #666
There is a gap in the reported witness sighting that would have permitted RFG to be in Lewisburg, spotted by the people at the Packwood House, and get to Bellefonte by 3:00 PM.

That is also true. However, back to the dog, still no trace of a scent in the SoS. Therefore, unlikely that - if he was in Lewisburg - he was anywhere besides the parking lot.
 
  • #667
Agree that it is unlikely, but it is even more unlikely for a trace of a scent to linger outside (around the Mini) and not have one linger indoors (in the SoS). Very unlikely.

The scent could technically last longer outside. I'll let Trackergd go through it.
 
  • #668
I'm on the fence about him reaching Lewisburg. For the sightings, the scent, and the Mini are not as important to me as is the water bottle found inside the Mini with his DNA. That suggests to me he was at least in the parking lot across from the SOS. Seems he could have gotten into another vehicle. That suggests also that he had a meeting of sorts and perhaps the need for the laptop is explained through that. That is mere one of several theories I have. This meeting could have been with someone he shouldn't have trusted. The map could've been sent to who he was meeting.
 
  • #669
This topic has been shut down multiple times because of arguing. It makes me really sad to see the fussing happen again.
The facts as we have them come from a few TV shows featuring Mr. Gricar's disappearance, and possibly some old news articles that can be retrieved.
There is NO new news. It seems to me that people giet discontented when things are stagnant. This case is so stagnant it literally does have layers of dust and dirt on the case files, according to the PSP.

How a person interprets the case info, which MAY or MAY NOT be accurately reported from LE to the public, varies widely.
It's very tempting to say " This was a murder" because no body has ever been recovered. But nothing else actually is evidentiary to point towards murder. Nothing about the day, the supposed place he went, the suspected things he did based upon some witness statements, nothing about the laptop and hard drive point to murder, either. There is no weapon, no DNA, no signs of a struggle or a crime, nothing disturbed or out of the ordinary at the time of Mr. Gricar's disappearance, unless you believe the laptop and separate hard drive were in the river from the day he disappeared ( which I do not believe is the case). So, the laptop may or may not be evidentiary. I tend to think not.. but we each have opinions. :)

Then we have " walkaway". Were there signs that this man was unhappy with his life and wanted to live in the rain forest and subsist on rice, beans, fruit and rain water? No, there is no evidence that a mid- sized county DA months from retirement wanted out of his life, or out of his girlfriend's life or his daughter's life. As I understand it, he is a grandfather now. I believe he would move heaven and earth to see his grandchild if he could do so.

Third scenario is " Suicide". There is a category of suicide known as " impulsive suicide" that is, as it says, impulsive and usually, the intent is to escape from a severe and sudden emotional hurt or shock. Some people who survive impulsive suicide attempts relate that they are very glad that they lived.. Some people are depressed people by inclination, seeing the glass as half empty, not believing in the good in people or life, and it's usually not a surprise when the chronically depressed person attempts or successfully commits suicide. I's tragic, always tragic. And there is a body recovered in all but maybe a few cases of suicide.
IMO, Ray Gricar didn't show signs of depression. Worry, perhaps, but it has been said that Patty told a bit of a fish tale when describing his physical and mental health status in the days and weeks before he disappeared in order for there to be easier, faster access to his health records. His health records are said to not show any ill health, including mental health.
I don't believe he committed suicide, either.

Accidental death with remains being accidentally covered or inaccessible is also a theory. IDK, any of us could be walking about tomorrow, step in a small hole, and sever the spinal cord at C-2, which is a common way that " hangman's fractures" occur in adults ( but not children).
If one of us suffered this fate in a rural, wooded area or a marshy area, we would die within 3 minutes because we would stop breathing when the spinal cord was severed. The person would be conscious for a brief period of time, possibly. Lots of " possiblys" in this scenario, although I've known 3 people personally who were high level ( C-2 level) quadriplegics who died soon afterward from doing just what I said- stepping in a shallow hole such as a small wild animal makes and jarring the spine so hard that the spinal cord was severed at the place where it is most lethal- near the opening of the brain. It is actually the hard skull which severs the spinal cord at the C-2 level. All of the people I knew had witnesses who administered CPR and called for help, of course.
Point being, we can't rule out anyone's accidental death on any day from any cause, but for it to go undetected for 10 years in a natural way is very unusual.
The largest category of middle aged adults who die accidentally and are not found for many years are said to be those who end up in a deep body of water inside their vehicle. Sonar can find some of them in small bodies of water, but we have major waterways in the USA where there are likely partial skeletal remains inside a rusting remnant of a car from decades ago.

I have my own idea about what happened and why. It's not something I have seriously considered prior to some things falling into place.. However, due to the very nature of the theory that I have, there can be no direct evidence. Therefore, under the rules that some of you have imposed upon the posters at large, I can't discuss my theory because I do not have factual evidence to back it up. We used to discuss theories as just that- theories, and not cold hard facts. This was a GREAT topic for Ray's case for a long time, and many creative ideas with merit were discussed, but they aren't discussed now.

The facts are old, they are cold, they are few and sometimes, they are conflicting. Respectful discussion which encourages creative thinking should not be discouraged in a 10 year old case where the subject has been declared legally dead for several years, IMO. We are not protecting a family by not discussing theories as long as we are respectful within the TOS for WS and label a theory as theoretical and not factual.
Does anyone feel that we should be able to discuss theoretical aspects and post theories, or is this " Just the facts" which number less than probably 100 total facts known to the public and provable about the case in ten long years?

Thank you very well said. Is it too much to treat others with respect on here?
 
  • #670
You hit the nail on the head and it's a shame because a lot of do believe every word he says because he is such a prolific poster and wrote a blog for the CDT for many years.

Actually, I was quoting PB. DZ said RFG took the laptop.

Again, I do have the information on it, and it is solid.
 
  • #671
I'm on the fence about him reaching Lewisburg. For the sightings, the scent, and the Mini are not as important to me as is the water bottle found inside the Mini with his DNA. That suggests to me he was at least in the parking lot across from the SOS. Seems he could have gotten into another vehicle. That suggests also that he had a meeting of sorts and perhaps the need for the laptop is explained through that. That is mere one of several theories I have. This meeting could have been with someone he shouldn't have trusted. The map could've been sent to who he was meeting.

If the map was sent via e-mail, there would be a record. There could have been telephone communications.

The question might be the purpose of the map. It can do several things, show the route, show the mileage and/or show the time of a trip. It was a route between Centre County and Lewisburg, and most people in Centre County would know how to get to Lewisburg. Further the directions are "Go to Centre Hall and turn left at the traffic light. Keep going until you get to Lewisburg."

Mileage would only make sense if it was official business. I suspect RFG was checking the time of his trip, probably for another. If so, that person would be from Centre County.
 
  • #672
Actually, I was quoting PB. DZ said RFG took the laptop.

Again, I do have the information on it, and it is solid.

PB got from DZ so you are actually only relying on DZs one line quote in which DZ probably was speaking hypothetically. To me and others that is not concrete "solid" evidence or fact. Also, to make the leap to there being a witness to RG, in Lewisburg, with the laptop is a simple embellishment on your part. Possible yes, fact no. For both items I will file them as possible and I hope others do to.
 
  • #673
If the map was sent via e-mail, there would be a record. There could have been telephone communications.

The question might be the purpose of the map. It can do several things, show the route, show the mileage and/or show the time of a trip. It was a route between Centre County and Lewisburg, and most people in Centre County would know how to get to Lewisburg. Further the directions are "Go to Centre Hall and turn left at the traffic light. Keep going until you get to Lewisburg."

Mileage would only make sense if it was official business. I suspect RFG was checking the time of his trip, probably for another. If so, that person would be from Centre County.

Without a time stamp on the map as to when it was actually created we can only speculate on the map. LE has never given a time for which it was created.
 
  • #674
PB got from DZ so you are actually only relying on DZs one line quote in which DZ probably was speaking hypothetically. To me and others that is not concrete "solid" evidence or fact. Also, to make the leap to there being a witness to RG, in Lewisburg, with the laptop is a simple embellishment on your part. Possible yes, fact no. For both items I will file them as possible and I hope others do to.

No, I am not relying on the quote alone. I would note that PB received some information directly from DZ, not from his public statements.

The assumption that DZ was speaking hypothetically is incorrect. Again, it is an example of when the evidence doesn't fit the theory to throw out the evidence.
 
  • #675
Without a time stamp on the map as to when it was actually created we can only speculate on the map. LE has never given a time for which it was created.

It was discovered upon checking the computer's history, which would indicate that it was checked recently. That history was checked on 4/16. Now that does not give us the time, but it would be recent.

If, however, the map was sent via e-mail, it would be in the server's memory, even if deleted from the desktop.

RFG knew how to get to Lewisburg and would know the time it took to drive there.
 
  • #676
Hi folks! I have been living in State College since 1980, to go to PSU. One thing that I’d like to add to this thread is that in general this area is avery low crime area. Mostly we have drug busts & robberies. But whenever we have a murder, other than a DV murder or a drug related murder, the murders never seem to get solved. Same with missing persons here.They don’t seem to get solved during the years I’ve been here (Cindy Song, Brenda Condon (who I met a few weeks before her disappearance & I’ve frequented that bar many times) but also going back for years. I really don’t know why. It’s just a thing that seems tohappen in this area & that’s important to share on this thread. We don’thave a great record for solved missing or murder cases. Are the investigators just too inexperiencedbecause these cases are so infrequent? That may be part of it.

I do have to add that in this town, it is very much a ‘who you know’ area. Having not grown up here,I had no family or relations in this area. It was so hard to get a job here even though I’m a PSU graduate, finding out that you have to know someone to ‘get you into’ a job. Years after living here & establishing relationships, only was I able to get a full time job, from having a connection to someone.

I only added my personal history as an example of the mindset in the area. We all know about the Sandusky mess. Look at the cover up of so many people in high places protecting Sandusky & others. I’m not inferring anything about Gricar connection or some reason for Gricar’s disappearance but, to show as a background how tight groups are in this area.There are too many people who control this town & go to great lengths to protect people & information. The Sandusky case is just a huge example of the nepotism &favoritism this town gives to select groups.

Seeing that the few murder cases & missing persons cases go cold sofast here, without resolution, just shouts out to me lack of proper investigation and/or people in authority that impede justice. The full evidence is never disclosed to the public or it is sealed. There also never seems to be witnesses.

A clear similarity of this small town is like the investigation of JonBenet & how people in that area, people in authoritative positions were able to , so closely guard evidence, deflect & avoid so much that there was no way to get a resolution.

The basic point of this long post is that in this area, murders & missing people cases are rarely solved.
 
  • #677
Miss Haley... thank you for your contribution.

As a longtime State College resident, you might be able to shed some light on something for me.

I have a source that says some of these more prominent people that comprise a significant subset of those "Who you know" type of people have been known to engage in swinging and have frequented well known swingers' hangouts. Now, what goes on in one's marriage is their own business. But what sent up red flags for me was when I heard the names mentioned. Some are prominent people whose political and professional interests seem to align. And if the rumors are true, then there seem to be some serious conflicts of interest at almost every level of Centre County Gov't and business.

Just wondered if you'd ever heard such rumors. Thanks for your contribution Miss Haley!
 
  • #678
Welcome to a fellow alumnae.

In some cases, I have noticed how important "legacy protection" seems to be up there, even more than in the surrounding area. I think that has hurt the case, especially in regard to the "mystery woman," and to a much lesser extent, the computer searches.

I once described it as "Interconnections between individuals and institutions that looks metaphorically as incestuous as the Habsburg family tree." :)
 
  • #679
Miss Haley... thank you for your contribution.

As a longtime State College resident, you might be able to shed some light on something for me.

I have a source that says some of these more prominent people that comprise a significant subset of those "Who you know" type of people have been known to engage in swinging and have frequented well known swingers' hangouts. Now, what goes on in one's marriage is their own business. But what sent up red flags for me was when I heard the names mentioned. Some are prominent people whose political and professional interests seem to align. And if the rumors are true, then there seem to be some serious conflicts of interest at almost every level of Centre County Gov't and business.

Just wondered if you'd ever heard such rumors. Thanks for your contribution Miss Haley!

BBM - This statement is certainly true. The Bolded statement. And frankly it's wide known. That's why it's such a struggle for 'regular folks' to get a break around here.

Sorry but I haven't heard about swinging, BUT (a big BUT) I am no way in any of the business, high income type groups, mingling to hear such rumors.

I can say that, I've known of people who are even in this privileged groups, that even do not know what's happening within their group. Not about swinging, specifically, but other associations. Like drugs.
I like how you phased 'significant subset'. Groups within groups. So, I would have no doubts about rumors you have heard.
 
  • #680
The scent could technically last longer outside. I'll let Trackergd go through it.

The scent in the parking lot would be solid. He would have had to be in that spot to slough off enough skin cells to make a scent spot that the dog alerted on. It "most likely" would not have been skin cells that fell out of the car with the entry and exit of another driver.

The SOS and the area around it would have been contaminated by both human and animal scents, so it is not possible to say if RG was in the SOS or not, and it appears that the witness(s) for this part "may not" be as credible as the ones putting him in the Mini (supported by the scent evidence). I will concede that as a lover of antiques, the opportunity to walk around the SOS might have been very tempting, but not supported by anything substantial, unless J.J has something I am not aware of.
 
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