Predictions for trial outcome

[impatientredhead]

If the murder trial proceeds and no plea is offered/accepted, at this point it looks to me like Casey will get 25 years - life. Though the DP is justified in some cases, I don't believe that it is, here.

If they convict her of murder it is either life or DP.
Unless they came back with an aggravated manslaughter anything less than life is not an option currently.

 

[JoAnn_W]

If she is convicted of the charges, I think she will be sentenced to death. I think this will be appealed, and the sentence will be changed to life.
Based on all the evidence we have before us in the docs, etc, I think there is a possibility that one person on the jury may have reasonable doubt, which I think would lead to a mistrial. moo

Hi devileadvocate. Our first vote for a mistrial! Okay, so you think mistrial- but if she gets convicted- death penalty. Two extremes fit her personality well.


JoAnn_W

 

[kaRN]

Guilty with the verdict rendered in <2hrs. I believe the jury will recommend the DP but she'll do LWOP after appeal.

 

[Horace Finklestein]

I am 50/50 on whether she will get the DP or LWOP, but I really do feel she will be convicted. The attempts by the defense to employ thorough strategies and question every tiny bit of evidence really won't match up to the common sense factor in this case. We have mostly heard from the defense and they were practically running out of the courtroom after a brief impassioned argument that lasted about 1 minute. If that's any indication of things to come, it just doesn't look good for Casey.

The academic stuff and the reaching arguments are fine and maybe appropriate, but in this case I think they are just a formality. I think it just depends on the jury. I can definitely see Jose Baez praying for some hispanic folks on the jury and play to them, but it's just too much of a mountain to overcome.

I assume if/when she goes to prison she'll be in a scott-peterson type of protective situation. I heard he never has contact with other prisoners. I am personally hoping for the DP but I think that's less likely than LWOP.

 

[tankgirl]

If they convict her of murder it is either life or DP.
Unless they came back with an aggravated manslaughter anything less than life is not an option currently.

Exactly. While I believe that it was premeditated murder, I'm still on the fence as to whether a jury will see it that way. It all depends on how convincingly the case is presented at trial. So far, so good.

 

[kbl8201]

Mostly because she has a history of getting away with things. Also, because the appeal will come after many years- and emotions will no longer be as high; they say the DNA, forensic evidence doesn't connect her.

JoAnn_W

She has a history of getting away with things with her pushover parents.
not the same as getting away with things with the legal system.

 

[JoAnn_W]

As far as what I believe should happen:
Guilty- Life

As far as what I think might happen:
mistrial because all you need is one rogue juror and even though I cannot comprehend it I see a few members here with doubt about the evidence, so I think there is a slight possibilty there could be one hold out where a verdict cannot be reached and a mistrial occurs.

ETA: heehee DA great minds think alike...

Hi Harmony. Vote 2 for a mistrial. Hmmmmm. If that happens, do you think she will be retried?


JoAnn_W

 

[JoAnn_W]

I agree 100%. I think JB & Co. will take this to the very last possible minute then she will plead guilty to a lesser charge. I will be outraged as I'm sure thousands of others will be. KC will gloat, JB & CA will run their mouths on every network that will have them and justice will never really be served for little Caylee. I predict KC will serve less than 15 years.:furious:

Oy- you are right. In this scenario- there is no justice for Caylee.


JoAnn_W

 

[JoAnn_W]

casey's a sociopath. she has no empathy for her daughter, the guy she let think was caylee's dad, the woman her parents tried to frame as the nanny, the guy who found caylee's body.
sociopaths have no place, even in prison. strap her into the chair or the gurney or whatever method they use in florida.

Hi kbl8201. Do you think she will get it, though?

JoAnn_W

 

[bogeygal]

I just want for the jury to say "guilty". Don't care if it's Life or DP. As far as future appeals, not even thinking about that now.

 

[kbl8201]

Hi Harmony. Vote 2 for a mistrial. Hmmmmm. If that happens, do you think she will be retried?


JoAnn_W

unless the judge attaches jeopardy, yes.
the prosecution will retry this as long as it takes if a mistrial is declared

 

[carole]

As much as I would love for her to be put to death for the crime she committed, she will probably only get LWOP because of her "never committed a crime before". Defenese will plead to spare her life cause poor poor poor C.A. No telling what they will come up with.
I have often thought of her getting LWOP I think will be worse on her. I have heard the women in prison don't like child killers just as bad as the men don't. JMO.

BUT she will most likely be convicted of a felony crime - the theft of the money - before she is tried for Caylee's murder. This may be the reason the prosecution is going forward with these theft charges. Baez et al will no longer have the option to say Casey's never committed a crime.

 

[JoAnn_W]

Guilty with the verdict rendered in <2hrs. I believe the jury will recommend the DP but she'll do LWOP after appeal.

Interesting! You think the jury won't even hang around for a meal?


JoAnn_W

 

[100%Agave]

I think that she will be convicted and will get the DP but it will be changed to Life on appeal only because she is young and female.

Wouldn't a mistrial with a DP jury require more than 1 hold out? I thought that it was majority rule with a DP qualified jury. Am I right or wrong?

 

[kbl8201]

Hi kbl8201. Do you think she will get it, though?

JoAnn_W

depends on the makeup of the jury probably. and whether casey can cry crocidile tears during the sentencing phase.

 

[azwriter]

Found Guilty, death.
Followed by appeals, (without Jose). None of which will be granted.
I think we've come to a time where the tide has turned and the public wants baby killers put to death. jmo

 

[kbl8201]

Found Guilty, death.
Followed by appeals, (without Jose). None of which will be granted.
I think we've come to a time where the tide has turned and the public wants baby killers put to death. jmo

15 years later i still cant believe the susan smith jury thought her two boys lifes were only worth 20 years each.

 

[100%Agave]

I think that she will be convicted and will get the DP but it will be changed to Life on appeal only because she is young and female.

Wouldn't a mistrial with a DP jury require more than 1 hold out? I thought that it was majority rule with a DP qualified jury. Am I right or wrong?

Sorry for quoting myself but I did some research.

It appears that the jury, like any other, would need to be unanimous on guilty or not guilty but the jury would only make a recommendation as to the death penalty or life and that only needs to be a simple majority because they are not making the ultimate decision but only making a recommendation to the judge. The judge makes the decision but rarely overrides the jury's recommendation.

I am not sure if this happens with 2 separate juries or if the same one does both the guilt and punishment phases.

I don't think there is going to be any problem with finding her guilty and I am pretty sure there will be at least a simple majority for the penalty phase.

So I guess what I am saying is that my prediction does not change.

 

[Curious Me]

The true story will come out at trial time. Casey will take the stand and explain why she had nothing to do with Caylee's death. Everybody will finally understand why her Defense team says she's really innocent. The Public will feel sorry they accused her. She will be released immediately. Years later, we will hear she met a nice guy, married, and has four children, but still manages to have a hip job in the music industry.

Not! That's Casey's daydream though.

I think she will get LWOP, but will never stop claiming she's innocent.

 

[100%Agave]

15 years later i still cant believe the susan smith jury thought her two boys lifes were only worth 20 years each.

I know what you mean. I really think that people were just not ready to accept that a mother could do that to their children and convinced themselves that there had to be some other explanation that did not come out at trial.

Even now, 15 years later, you still have some hold outs that just can not believe that a mother would do something so awful but can readily believe that a father would do this.

It is time for people to come out of the dark ages and see that both women and men can commit terrible crimes and that both should have the same punishments applied.