A major flood happened in 1932 and at least two buildings were destroyed.
Those two buildings were rebuilt in-situ, when the remains should have been destroyed and the dormitory cabins should have been re-built in a higher safer location.
Preventing building and rebuilding long rivers in Texas is a complex matter. In order to know how to solve the issue, it has to first be understood. What this river looked like in 1932 cannot be close to what it looks like now.
Texas has over 7000 dams on its river system, only one lake in the entire state is natural. Many rivers have multiple dams. Many rivers begin at a natural spring, not Texas rainfall but from rain a slow melt that falls in New Mexico and moves through the aquifers (below ground rivers).
As the Corps of Engineers designed and constructed the dams, lakes were formed, the river below each dam becomes different, rivers move. Water in rivers which was once wild becomes ‘tamed’ by the corps of engineers and controlled by the entity that controls the release of water from each dam. That is the Texas Water Commission.
Homes in an area are flooded to create the lake behind the dam, homes below the dam are now farther from the river than they were. New dry land is now opened for building. Many parks, soccer fields, and camp grounds exist exactly in the new dry land below a dam.
Texas is 95% private property- most of the land along the rivers is privately owned.
Any dam and major land development on a river changes the patterns of water movement above and below the dam. In 1932 the Ingram Dam was built between Hunt and Kerrville.
It would be quite a study to determine the cause of a 1932 flood near Hunt, and how the Guadalupe River was before 1932, after the Ingram dam was built, and then suggestion where to build. If we simply decide floods determine where to build- and applied this rule across the state and country- many cities across the nation would no longer exist.
Most all large cities along rivers or the coast line have been flooded many times and rebuilt many times- these include Fort Worth/Dallas, El Paso, San Antonio, Austin, Houston, New Orleans, and New York City.
In preventing building along rivers people think they are finding a solution, finding a culprit, someone to blame, some kind of justice.
I would suggest people who built on their own land, and lived in those homes, and died likely made the same choices as those who built and operate camps, camping grounds, and recreation long those rivers and all the other rivers across the nation. Texas is not a special case that should be handled by what appears an obvious simple solution- prevent people from rebuilding.
If we want to seek ways to prevent loss of life- we need to look at the science used to predict the flow of the forks with given amounts of rainfall, monitor their flow, and give determine when and how to send warnings to all those along the Guadalupe River.
This is how cities handle flooding, tornadoes, and hurricane winds across the country.
It seems city officials requested assistance in funding such warning systems many times over the prior decades- and those requests were dismissed. There is your culprit- there is your blame- look at the politicians at the state level in Texas.
I for one will follow this case long after fades from public attention, as many Texas voters will do.
If all in the path of the flood had been warned, it is possible no lives would have been lost.
Can we prevent all loss of life or property near waterways? No, people drown in their own backyard pool.
What we in Texas can do is push for these changes… among others, to prevent loss of life.
- digital alerts, siren, and TV warning systems for people along rivers
- warning systems receipt tech for camp directors
- evacuation plans for any service industry- camp grounds and camps posted in public view
- waivers to parents of campers who attend camps along rivers explaining the risk
- waivers at camp grounds explaining the risk to campers
- roadways for evacuation able to handle evacuation traffic and stay above waterlines
IMO