Another Bristolian here. Although I haven't been down to the Hotwells/Cumberland Basin area in a few years I used to know it very well. I worked at the Council's B Bond building on Cumberland Basin for a while in the mid '90s and long before that my uncle and aunt lived in Hotwells In fact the house they lived in was subject to a compulsory purchase order in 1961 when the new bridge/road system was built, and would have been in almost the precise spot where Jack was last seen on CCTV on Bennett Way. I was very young at the time and have only vague memories of the street, which has completely disappeared (Brunswick Place)!
The area isn't really a crime hotspot, but wouldn't be a pleasant place to walk around on a cold March night when it was snowing. It's a liminal space, not far from the city centre but on the edge of the built up area as there is little development west of the River Avon. It is what you might call an "edgelands" area.
As Robert Macfarlane writes in the Guardian:
"The edgelands are the debatable space where city and countryside fray into one another. They comprise jittery, jumbled, broken ground: brownfield sites and utilities infrastructure, crackling substations and pallet depots, transit hubs and sewage farms, scrub forests and sluggish canals, allotments and retail parks, slackened regulatory frameworks and guerilla ecologies."
The road system also makes it a rather Ballardian space - think of
Concrete Island, in which after a car crash an architect finds himself stranded in a large area of derelict land created by several intersecting motorways.
Whilst working at B Bond I used to cross the New Cut of the River Avon on the old two level bridge, the top level of which used to contain a road which had long been demolished by then. This road was the only way to get across the river before the Plimsoll Swing Bridge was opened in 1965, and the lower level which used to carry a railway is now used as a metrobus route (Ashton Avenue Bridge).
Photo of the old two level swing bridge:
https://bristolcitydocks.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/ashton-avenue-swing-bridge1.jpg
The New Cut - which was dug in the early 19th century to divert the Avon away from the Floating Harbour, which had been the old route of the river, but subsequently became a large dock for which the Cumberland Basin was an entrance dock where ships might have to wait to enter the main harbour - is a tidal part of the Avon.
I was crossing the New Cut one day when a body emerged from under the bridge and sped downstream only to move towards the south bank of the river twenty or thirty yards further on, where a few police officers were already gathered with some gear to drag it onto the grass. I found out a couple of days later that some poor bloke had jumped off the Clifton Suspension Bridge the night before, and the tide had swept the body way upriver until it turned and brought it back down to within a couple of hundred yards or so of where he had jumped from. It was face down when I saw it.
The obvious answer in the Jack O' Sullivan case is that he ended up in the water. But why hasn't his body been found? My question would be: would a body float all the way from Hotwells to the Severn Estuary given all the twists and turns of the River Avon before it reaches Avonmouth? There was a body found on the Welsh coast (at Stout Bay near Llantwit Major) a few months ago which the police thought might be Jack's, but wasn't in the end, so maybe it is possible. I also remember seeing quite a few shopping trolleys in the river at Hotwells at low tide and God knows what else has been dumped in there, so I suppose a body could be snagged on something, but the police did search the river from Avonmouth all the way up to Conham in the east of the city. Some have speculated that Jack's body could have sunk in the mud, but is that possible?
This video gives a walkthrough of the route Jack took after he left the party on Hotwell Road:
There is no way that Jack is looking for a taxi in a lot of those locations unless he thought there might be a taxi office somewhere in the vicinity At around the two minute mark he veers to the left through the Council car park and at 2.20 he passes the entrance to the Record Office. He goes a little way around toward the Create Centre entrance on the New Cut, but doubles back and then turns left to reach a small grassy area in the middle of the road system, then crosses the road and goes round a very circuitous route to cross back to the north of the river on the Plimsoll Bridge. At 6.10 you can see the bottom of Granby Hill.
Jack's route:
https://media.aspolice.net/uploads/production/20240829182700/Map-2.jpg
From Bennett Way you can get onto the footbridge to the bottom of Granby Hill:
Explore a place in a more immersive way in Google Maps.
maps.app.goo.gl
You could also turn left at the top of Bennett Way to get back to Hotwell Road, or right to go back over the river in the direction of Jack's home at Flax Bourton.
This is the substation on Granby Hill:
Explore a place in a more immersive way in Google Maps.
maps.app.goo.gl
Slightly down the hill on the same side is a small car park and just uphill is the entrance to Hinton Lane. If you turn left down Hinton Lane you could eventually come back down to the Portway by the River Avon:
Explore a place in a more immersive way in Google Maps.
maps.app.goo.gl
A little further up Granby Hill you could turn right and go down Hope Chapel Hill to rejoin Hotwell Road, and near the top of Granby Hill is where Jack's brother Ben lived.
Surely if Jack was in a poor state his brother's residence would have been his best bet supposing he was at home at the time. As Jack had been a pupil at Clifton College I would suppose he would know the area pretty well, but maybe not.
According to Bristol Live:
"At 5.40am, his parents realised Jack hadn't made it home yet and the 'Find my Phone' function showed him still in the Hotwells area. While his family say this places Jack at an address in the Granby Hill area, investigating police are less certain, saying 'Find my Phone' is a computer algorithm’s ‘best guess’, rather than an exact location.
However, police do know that Jack's phone didn't leave the Hotwells/Cumberland Basin area from the moment he left the party to it switching off from the network at 6.44am. So if Jack never left his phone unattended, neither did he."
The article also says the police spent 200 hours searching the river and the riverbanks and that "Our dive team has searched the river from Avonmouth through to Conham River Park. Officers, including those with our mounted team, dog unit and drone unit, have searched in water and on land, especially in the wider area where Jack was last seen, including the Hotwells, Ashton and North Somerset areas."
A year on and his mum says every day is 'hell'
www.bristolpost.co.uk
I don't know what to make of the "altercation" at the party - seems like handbags to me. One thing I can't relate to is the fact that Jack's mother seemed to be in regular contact with him during the night (and that he had devices on him so that there was the potential for him to have been tracked). When I "were a lad" - in the '70s and '80s - I used to stagger out of pubs, clubs and parties at all hours of the night/morning, walk miles home, get lost etc in both Bristol and in Manchester (eg from the Haçienda) and would have died sooner than phone (from a phonebox!) my parents or anyone else. I also spent a couple of years in Australia, hitchhiking, walking down dirt tracks in the Outback (NT and WA) at night to get back to some remote campsite. standing in dives downing more than a few tinnies/stubbies and generally placing myself in great danger. I also had a couple of close encounters with crocs. How did I survive?