UK - Nurse Lucy Letby Faces 22 Charges - 7 Murder/15 Attempted Murder of Babies #8

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  • #861
It’s also true to say that LL would know that overfeeding and pushing air into the stomach would also be something that she could in essence “undo” via aspiration or decompression of the stomach whereas an intravenous air embolism is not.
Except the fact that some of these babies lived but had severe complicAtions and became disabled and had brain trauma and lived very difficult and painful lives, as did their families.

I would not think a defendant should be given any kind of reward or benefit just because the victim didn't die, but was left disabled and with severe traumas and deficits.
 
  • #862
in regards to the supposed intent of murder the prosecution may think that in the cases of multiple alleged attacks on one baby might constitute that intent. First try didn’t work, try again kind of thing all the while making “the appearance of chance events“ but as you say it’s very difficult to prove. They may also be thinking that this is when LL was allegedly trying to disguise these events as chance occurrences as they alleged in the opening statements albeit in only one case. I agree though it’s a big big reach for an allegation of attempted murder, i largely think that if she had of wanted to kill them they would be dead, she already knew how to actually kill them with an air embolism so why not use that more lethal and less noticeable method? It’s also true that many of the cases of alleged attempted murders were discharged again suggesting but not proving a lack of intent to kill Or cause GBH. in the instances of allegedly injecting air into the stomach, she would have known this was a treatable problem and not a guaranteed injury suggesting that it might not be an intent to kill or cause harm But maybe the creation of a situation where she is being the hero or whatever.

"These were not naturally occurring, or random events; they were deliberate attempts to kill using a slightly different method by whilst Lucy Letby sought to give the appearance of chance events in the neonatal unit at the Countess of Chester Hospital."
So the intent was not necessarily to outright murder an innocent newborn---the intent was to be a hero by 'injecting air or poison' into the baby, which is painful, dangerous, risky, detrimental and cruel, and then publicly pretending to save the children from the brink of death?

The problem is that 7 of the targeted babies died and others were severely injured with permanent damage. So this little game of tempting fate to see how far someone could go without a child actually dying is not any less horrible than outright attempted murder. Why should the jurors or the courts judge it any less harshly?
 
  • #863
Sweeper2000 said:
"a seeming decrease in lethality further down the line..."

However 7 babies died [allegedly] . So does it really matter if fewer died in the remaining attacks on the babies? Is that going to make a jury feel like being lenient because the later victims didn't die but were just brain damaged and physically impaired, instead of deceased?

I would think that if the defendant is found guilty of any of the initial deaths, it won't matter if she killed a few less in the end. The damage was already done and there won't be much mitigating evidence at that point, IMO.
 
  • #864
So much heartache :(

If guilty
she left so much pain and destruction in her wake!

And for what?
To seem be a hero???
o_O
My mind boggles.
Strange is this world!
 
  • #865
Sweeper2000 said:
"a seeming decrease in lethality further down the line..."

However 7 babies died [allegedly] . So does it really matter if fewer died in the remaining attacks on the babies? Is that going to make a jury feel like being lenient because the later victims didn't die but were just brain damaged and physically impaired, instead of deceased?

I would think that if the defendant is found guilty of any of the initial deaths, it won't matter if she killed a few less in the end. The damage was already done and there won't be much mitigating evidence at that point, IMO.
There were two deaths in June 2016, a year after the first charges, a few days before her last day as a nurse.

There was no decrease in lethality further down the line, there were 10 babies over the year who had near-fatal collapses, saved from death by doctors, not saved by LL. IMO, if she is found guilty, the different methods of attempting to kill, some successful others not successful, were to avert suspicion and avoid detection, and nothing to do with not intending deaths.

JMO
 
  • #866
Yeh I agree with what everyone is saying really. In regards to the correct charges I wouldn’t speculate as not enough knowledge. I’m just saying that if she was “dancing with death” so to speak the court might take that into account And to be honest might make the severity of the charges worse or better but I don’t know. In my opinion it might make it worse as it’s almost like she is a cat playing with her prey All the while going “look at me” for the attention or whatever the supposed gain is.

There were two deaths in June 2016, a year after the first charges, a few days before her last day as a nurse.

There was no decrease in lethality further down the line, there were 10 babies over the year who had near-fatal collapses, saved from death by doctors, not saved by LL. IMO, if she is found guilty, the different methods of attempting to kill, some successful others not successful, were to avert suspicion and avoid detection, and nothing to do with not intending deaths.

JMO

there was a decrease in lethality later on down the line of charges The reason for the change in modus operandi I couldn’t speculate on currently. However the majority of the fatalities were allegedly caused by air embolism which apparently she stopped doing mostly after baby E which is very early on in the list of charges. I thought that fact might constitute an inexperienced killer kind of learning the ropes so to speak. Kind of saying these deaths might be attributed to her inexperience with killing and with a lack of intent to kill. She may not have meant to actually kill them and once she learned that air embolism is an almost guaranteed death she changed the lethality so as not to kill but to cause drama, this is in line with munchausen. Air embolism I believe is almost always fatal and as magicarp said once The syringe is plunged it’s more or less game over Whereas inflating the babies stomach is treatable Which LL would know. this is just a suggestion as to why she may have changed method and not really a proposition to degree of supposed intent. I can’t say I think more of my suggestion than any others but it might explain why she stopped with the air embolisms Mostly. I do think that in the cases of multiple alleged attacks they do show intent to kill However I do think it straddles the line, if her motivation was the drama and not intention to kill she may have liked the rush so to speak. She may have been simply indifferent to the deaths but also revelling in the drama One instance of that being a potential is her walking into the bereaved parents room smiling.

can anyone point me to the threads with peoples thoughts on why the evidence presented supports the theory that the change in method was due to trying to avoid suspicion please?
 
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  • #867
However the majority of the fatalities were allegedly caused by air embolism which apparently she stopped doing mostly after baby E which is very early on in the list of charges.
respectfully snipped

I believe the prosecution is alleging injection of air into the IV lines for five more babies after baby E - Babies H, I, M, N, and O.

H - "The saline bolus was set to run for 20 minutes and would therefore have ended at 3.10am. Lucy Letby would have had the cover of legitimacy for accessing Child H's lines just before she collapsed again."

I - "An expert paediatrician who reviewed child I’s case … believed that on the final occasion the child had been injected with air into her bloodstream which led to her "screaming", followed quickly by her collapse."

M - The prosecution says the cases of Child E-F and Child L-M are similar, in that one suffered an insulin overdose and the other an IV air embolism.

N - At 1.05am, the day-old baby suffered a sudden lowering of his blood oxygen levels to life-threatening levels. Unusually for such a small, premature baby he was crying and screaming. Independent medical experts said the baby’s sudden deterioration was consistent with some kind of "inflicted injury" or him having received an injection of air.

O - Dr Dewi Evans concluded Child O's death was the result of a combination of intravenous air embolus and trauma. Dr Bohin concluded that together with the chest wall discolouration seen by the doctor that was indicative of air having been injected into Child O's circulation.

Links:

H / M / O
Recap: Prosecution opens trial of Lucy Letby accused of Countess of Chester Hospital baby murders
I / N
Who are the children alleged to have been murdered by Lucy Letby? | ITV News



Mr Myers says Child D recovered twice, which, in principle, is inconsistent with an air embolus.
Dr Bohin disagrees, saying it depends on the speed and volume of the air administered.


Recap: Lucy Letby trial, Friday, November 11
 
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  • #868
can anyone point me to the threads with peoples thoughts on why the evidence presented supports the theory that the change in method was due to trying to avoid suspicion please?
I'm not sure that there are threads, but I can give examples of evidence supporting the idea that LL may have been looking for signs that staff and parents noticed anything, that she may have been trying to micromanage the situation, that she became stressed before baby A's post-mortem results came back, and alleged methods started to change after baby D.

8 June - (Baby A died.) Letby said she could not recall Child A's resuscitation, but recalled Dr Jayaram had entered the room.

9 June - Facebook mother of A&B

10 June - Facebook mother of A&B

21 June - (Baby D died) -
Colleague: "What!!!! But she was improving. What happened? I can't believe you were on again. You are having such a tough time."
LL: "messed about a couple of times and came out in this weird rash looking like overwhelming sepsis, then collapsed and had full resus. So upsetting for everyone. Parents absolutely devastated, dad screaming. Andrew Brunton and Liz Newby said it will probably be investigated. Dad is beside himself.”

23 June - LL texted there was a theory D may have had meningitis.

25 June - LL’s day off 9.50pm – Facebook mother of A&B, 9.51pm – Facebook parents of baby D

30 June -
Colleague's text : "There's something odd about that night and the other three that went so suddenly.
LL: "What do you mean? Odd that we lost three and in different circumstances?'
"Colleague: "I don't know, were they that different?" "Ignore me, I'm speculating."
LL: "C was tiny, obviously compromised in utero. D septic. It's A I can't get my head around."

30 June - LL's text - "I had a mini meltdown last night about what's happened at work..."I just need some time off with mum and dad."

30 Jul - Staff debrief into death of baby A. His cause of death was ‘unascertained’ at the time.

Some time after D's death - "Dr Jayaram told Ben Myers KC, representing Letby, that he and his colleagues had become increasingly worried about a run of 'very unusual and seemingly inexplicable' collapses in the neonatal unit from June 2015. He told the court he was aware there was talk on the unit about a “moving” purple rash on the body of Child A’s twin sister, Child B, who the Crown allege Letby tried to kill with a similar air injection the following night.
Dr Jayaram said there were similar discussions following the death of Child D on June 22 2015, who is also said to have been murdered by the defendant using the same method.
He said that some time after Child D’s death he “alighted” on a research paper entitled Pulmonary Vascular Air Embolism In The Newborn.

Consultant tells trial skin marks ‘didn’t fit with anything he’d seen’

4 August (Baby E died)
LL's text : LL: "News travels fast - who told you?"
JJ-K: "Were you in 1? x"
LL: "Yes. I had him and F x"
JJ-K: "That’s not good, you need a break from it being on your shift. x"
LL: "It's the luck of the drawer (sic) isn’t it, unfortunately. Only three trained, so I ended up having both, whereas just F the other shifts."
JJ-K: "You seem to be having some very bad luck though."
LL: "Not a lot I can do really. He had massive haemorrhage could have happened to any baby. x"


7 Sept - After G's collapse - The conversation turned to LL asking which of the team had informed JJ-K about the events of the night-shift for Sept 6-7.
 
  • #869
Thankfully cases like this are relatively rare, but does anyone know how juries have tended to give verdicts in the past? I know they are supposed to judge each case on its own merits, but it must be very hard to do so. Do they tend to give guilty or not guilty verdicts on pretty much all counts or have previous cases provided more mixed verdicts?
 
  • #870
respectfully snipped

I believe the prosecution is alleging injection of air into the IV lines for five more babies after baby E - Babies H, I, M, N, and O.

H - "The saline bolus was set to run for 20 minutes and would therefore have ended at 3.10am. Lucy Letby would have had the cover of legitimacy for accessing Child H's lines just before she collapsed again."

I - "An expert paediatrician who reviewed child I’s case … believed that on the final occasion the child had been injected with air into her bloodstream which led to her "screaming", followed quickly by her collapse."

M - The prosecution says the cases of Child E-F and Child L-M are similar, in that one suffered an insulin overdose and the other an IV air embolism.

N - At 1.05am, the day-old baby suffered a sudden lowering of his blood oxygen levels to life-threatening levels. Unusually for such a small, premature baby he was crying and screaming. Independent medical experts said the baby’s sudden deterioration was consistent with some kind of "inflicted injury" or him having received an injection of air.

O - Dr Dewi Evans concluded Child O's death was the result of a combination of intravenous air embolus and trauma. Dr Bohin concluded that together with the chest wall discolouration seen by the doctor that was indicative of air having been injected into Child O's circulation.

Links:

H / M / O
Recap: Prosecution opens trial of Lucy Letby accused of Countess of Chester Hospital baby murders
I / N
Who are the children alleged to have been murdered by Lucy Letby? | ITV News



Mr Myers says Child D recovered twice, which, in principle, is inconsistent with an air embolus.
Dr Bohin disagrees, saying it depends on the speed and volume of the air administered.


Recap: Lucy Letby trial, Friday, November 11

im with you, I don’t think the article I used to ascertain the lethality of method included all of those details. I think my point is more the gap of almost a year in between deaths with one exception in the case of baby I. The first four fatalities were clustered at the start of the alleged attacks with the majority being due to alleged air embolism. do Four fatalities at the start of the alleged attacks and then a gap of 9 months inbetween deaths with one exception correspond with less lethal method Or a tailing off of lethality?


I also remember baby O being exceptional within the charges as it is alleged the baby had iv air embolism, nasogastric administered air and physical trauma
That might be an example of LL trying to disguise the cause of death.


“Mr Myers says Child D recovered twice, which, in principle, is inconsistent with an air embolus.
Dr Bohin disagrees, saying it depends on the speed and volume of the air administered.”

I take an isssue with this statement as the “speed” isn’t relevant. If it was a syringe rather than a machine used to administer the air there wouldn’t be a difference in speed of application. I’m also doubtful that a less than lethal dose could be administered as anything over 3 or 4 ml is sufficient to kill and the likelihood of a Less than lethal dose being administered is smaller than otherwise.

I'm not sure that there are threads, but I can give examples of evidence supporting the idea that LL may have been looking for signs that staff and parents noticed anything, that she may have been trying to micromanage the situation, that she became stressed before baby A's post-mortem results came back, and alleged methods started to change after baby D.

8 June - (Baby A died.) Letby said she could not recall Child A's resuscitation, but recalled Dr Jayaram had entered the room.

9 June - Facebook mother of A&B

10 June - Facebook mother of A&B

21 June - (Baby D died) -
Colleague: "What!!!! But she was improving. What happened? I can't believe you were on again. You are having such a tough time."
LL: "messed about a couple of times and came out in this weird rash looking like overwhelming sepsis, then collapsed and had full resus. So upsetting for everyone. Parents absolutely devastated, dad screaming. Andrew Brunton and Liz Newby said it will probably be investigated. Dad is beside himself.”

23 June - LL texted there was a theory D may have had meningitis.

25 June - LL’s day off 9.50pm – Facebook mother of A&B, 9.51pm – Facebook parents of baby D

30 June -
Colleague's text : "There's something odd about that night and the other three that went so suddenly.
LL: "What do you mean? Odd that we lost three and in different circumstances?'
"Colleague: "I don't know, were they that different?" "Ignore me, I'm speculating."
LL: "C was tiny, obviously compromised in utero. D septic. It's A I can't get my head around."

30 June - LL's text - "I had a mini meltdown last night about what's happened at work..."I just need some time off with mum and dad."

30 Jul - Staff debrief into death of baby A. His cause of death was ‘unascertained’ at the time.

Some time after D's death - "Dr Jayaram told Ben Myers KC, representing Letby, that he and his colleagues had become increasingly worried about a run of 'very unusual and seemingly inexplicable' collapses in the neonatal unit from June 2015. He told the court he was aware there was talk on the unit about a “moving” purple rash on the body of Child A’s twin sister, Child B, who the Crown allege Letby tried to kill with a similar air injection the following night.
Dr Jayaram said there were similar discussions following the death of Child D on June 22 2015, who is also said to have been murdered by the defendant using the same method.
He said that some time after Child D’s death he “alighted” on a research paper entitled Pulmonary Vascular Air Embolism In The Newborn.

Consultant tells trial skin marks ‘didn’t fit with anything he’d seen’

4 August (Baby E died)
LL's text : LL: "News travels fast - who told you?"
JJ-K: "Were you in 1? x"
LL: "Yes. I had him and F x"
JJ-K: "That’s not good, you need a break from it being on your shift. x"
LL: "It's the luck of the drawer (sic) isn’t it, unfortunately. Only three trained, so I ended up having both, whereas just F the other shifts."
JJ-K: "You seem to be having some very bad luck though."
LL: "Not a lot I can do really. He had massive haemorrhage could have happened to any baby. x"


7 Sept - After G's collapse - The conversation turned to LL asking which of the team had informed JJ-K about the events of the night-shift for Sept 6-7.

I agree with this and did notice how the alleged methods changed after the investigation into baby A and the group meeting the nurses had about it which LL attended. the first five cases are all air embolism with the exception of baby c who allegedly had air forced into the stomach And then the methods change, kind of. in the case of baby G she “probably injected air” such a weak statement. It’s also true that after Baby E and the group meeting about Baby A she allegedly started using more than one method at a time like Baby G, that could very well be LL trying to disguise the cause of death. It is interesting that other nurses find so many of these cases remarkable but LL doesn’t seem to, I’m almost sure she would notice it if keeping an eye and ear out.

 
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  • #871
In my opinion it might make it worse as it’s almost like she is a cat playing with her prey All the while going “look at me” for the attention or whatever the supposed gain is.
This phrase, "a cat playing with her prey" really struck me. I have always been a "cat person", maybe because of my childhood on a farm with heaps of cats. So I have witnessed quite a lot of cat behaviour, and although I love them, I saw plenty of cats playing with their captured mice. Not sure exactly what the cats were thinking, but the poor little mice were in terror. :(
 
  • #872
And (I know, off-topic, but I think you'll enjoy it, and I promise this is my last cat story!) sometime when I was in my teens, there was a mouse plague, mice just everywhere. The cats were all very busy. Except for one of them, the matriarch, a tortoiseshell called Rainbow. She was the plumpest, laziest and most unflustered feline you could ever imagine, and she really couldn't be bothered. However - one day my mother and I came upon her in the garden. She was snoozing (as usual), and lined up neatly beside her was a row of 9 (IIIIIIIII) dead mice. She had obviously taken the lazy cat's option, and really exerted herself briefly, in order to have to only go to her "mouse bank" for the next week!
 
  • #873
“Mr Myers says Child D recovered twice, which, in principle, is inconsistent with an air embolus.
Dr Bohin disagrees, saying it depends on the speed and volume of the air administered.”

I take an isssue with this statement as the “speed” isn’t relevant. If it was a syringe rather than a machine used to administer the air there wouldn’t be a difference in speed of application. I’m also doubtful that a less than lethal dose could be administered as anything over 3 or 4 ml is sufficient to kill and the likelihood of a Less than lethal dose being administered is smaller than otherwise.
Citation please, for these apparent factoids, which are at issue with two medical experts' testimonies -

"the speed isn't relevant".
"If it was a syringe rather than a machine used to administer the air there wouldn’t be a difference in speed of application."

Is it something you read in the defence cross-examination of the experts? A link is required.


Why do you doubt that a less than lethal dose could be administered, and why is the likelihood of a less than lethal dose smaller than otherwise?


Expert testimony -

Baby B

Dr Evans


Dr Evans tells the court the collapse was "very similar" to that of Child A, but what happened was "less severe".
He said "either the volume of air [injected] was less, or the volume of air in the circulation got there more slowly, or a combination of the two."

Mr Myers said it is a 'key aspect' that the inability to successfully resuscitate Child A had led to an air embolus. He adds that child B recovered, and that is "inconsistent" and "contradicts the air embolus theory".
Dr Evans: "No it does not. We cannot do studies where we inject air into babies and see what happens."
He adds that the volume and speed at which air is injected, along with the skill of the resuscitation attempts, can make a difference as to whether the baby survives or dies.

Dr Bohin

She adds that even if air was accidentally administered, there is an electronic pump system which would detect the air and stop the administration.
Dr Bohin explains to the court that could be bypassed further down the line by administering the air embolus via a connector normally used for administering drugs.

https://www.chesterstandard.co.uk/news/23075662.recap-lucy-letby-trial-tuesday-october-25/


Baby D

Dr Bohin


She says all three collapses for Child D were "sudden" and "unexpected".
"They came out of the blue...she recovered very quickly with the first two, and two of the episodes were associated with an unusual mottling of the skin.
Dr Bohin: "She seemed to recover very quickly after the medical team's intervention and she was well again."
"Taking into account the sudden nature of the collapses and the very quick recovery...I was very clear it wasn't infection, so the conclusion had to be something unusual and odd."
Other conditions were crossed off as they 'didn't fit'.
She concludes the collapses were caused by intravenous air administration either through the UVC or the cannula.
Dr Bohin says with air embolus, the speed and quantity of the air administered depends on whether it is fatal.
She says the first two administrations of air would have been small, but the third would have been larger to cause circulation to stop.
Dr Bohin says the suddenness of the collapse, with skin discolouration, fitted with cases of air embolus, as did the presence of air found in the 'great vessels' on post-mortem x-rays.
Mr Myers says Child D recovered twice, which, in principle, is inconsistent with an air embolus.
Dr Bohin disagrees, saying it depends on the speed and volume of the air administered.
She said there is a treatment for air embolus.


Recap: Lucy Letby trial, Friday, November 11
 
  • #874
Citation please, for these apparent factoids, which are at issue with two medical experts' testimonies -

"the speed isn't relevant".
"If it was a syringe rather than a machine used to administer the air there wouldn’t be a difference in speed of application."

Is it something you read in the defence cross-examination of the experts? A link is required.


Why do you doubt that a less than lethal dose could be administered, and why is the likelihood of a less than lethal dose smaller than otherwise?


Expert testimony -

Baby B

Dr Evans


Dr Evans tells the court the collapse was "very similar" to that of Child A, but what happened was "less severe".
He said "either the volume of air [injected] was less, or the volume of air in the circulation got there more slowly, or a combination of the two."

Mr Myers said it is a 'key aspect' that the inability to successfully resuscitate Child A had led to an air embolus. He adds that child B recovered, and that is "inconsistent" and "contradicts the air embolus theory".
Dr Evans: "No it does not. We cannot do studies where we inject air into babies and see what happens."
He adds that the volume and speed at which air is injected, along with the skill of the resuscitation attempts, can make a difference as to whether the baby survives or dies.

Dr Bohin

She adds that even if air was accidentally administered, there is an electronic pump system which would detect the air and stop the administration.
Dr Bohin explains to the court that could be bypassed further down the line by administering the air embolus via a connector normally used for administering drugs.

https://www.chesterstandard.co.uk/news/23075662.recap-lucy-letby-trial-tuesday-october-25/


Baby D

Dr Bohin


She says all three collapses for Child D were "sudden" and "unexpected".
"They came out of the blue...she recovered very quickly with the first two, and two of the episodes were associated with an unusual mottling of the skin.
Dr Bohin: "She seemed to recover very quickly after the medical team's intervention and she was well again."
"Taking into account the sudden nature of the collapses and the very quick recovery...I was very clear it wasn't infection, so the conclusion had to be something unusual and odd."
Other conditions were crossed off as they 'didn't fit'.
She concludes the collapses were caused by intravenous air administration either through the UVC or the cannula.
Dr Bohin says with air embolus, the speed and quantity of the air administered depends on whether it is fatal.
She says the first two administrations of air would have been small, but the third would have been larger to cause circulation to stop.
Dr Bohin says the suddenness of the collapse, with skin discolouration, fitted with cases of air embolus, as did the presence of air found in the 'great vessels' on post-mortem x-rays.
Mr Myers says Child D recovered twice, which, in principle, is inconsistent with an air embolus.
Dr Bohin disagrees, saying it depends on the speed and volume of the air administered.
She said there is a treatment for air embolus.


Recap: Lucy Letby trial, Friday, November 11

Paediatrician Sandie Bohin has appeared in court as an expert witness in the trial of the nurse accused of murdering numerous babies in the UK.

The Consultant Paediatrician has been employed by Guernsey's Medical Specialist Group since 2009.

Dr Bohin is a Fellow of the Royal College of Paediatricians and a member of the Neonatal Society and the British Association of Perinatal Medicine. She undertakes expert medico-legal work for the UK National Crime Agency and for HM Coroner in the UK.

The Federation of Forensic and Expert Witnesses website lists Dr Bohin as a consultant paediatrician and neonatologist who is the named doctor for child protection in Guernsey. She offers a nationwide service, with training in report writing and court room skills alongside her vast medical training.

Dr Bohin is also listed on the Expert Witness website.

Her own website is called Paediatric Expert and her biography states:

"I have acted as a medico-legal expert for both paediatric and neonatal cases since 2005.

"I have extensive experience in report writing, attending meetings of experts and have attended Crown and Coroners courts. I have a wealth of experience in all aspects of general paediatrics and neonatology.

"I have particular expertise in the following: Feeding problems, including food intolerances Gastroenterology, including reflux, abdominal pain, diorrhoea and constipation Failure to thrive and concerns regarding growth Infections Murmurs, palpitation and faints Asthma and wheezing Urinary tract infections."




Dr Evans, the first witness called in the trial, said he began working in paediatrics 40 years ago and had worked in neonatal units in Swansea, Cardiff and Liverpool.

The court heard he developed neonatal services in south Wales in the 70s and 80s when it was an emerging discipline of medicine.

He told the jury about the evolution of such care, a process he described as "not of reading books, very much hands-on".
He added: "In the 70s babies who were small and ill died. There was very little care available."

Dr Evans also gave explanations to the jury of medical terms which have been heard during the start of the trial and he commented on a series of short videos demonstrating neonatal medical equipment and procedures.





Both of these doctors have decades of experience at the highest level and have qualified as expert witnesses in Neo-natal care and paediatrics.
 
  • #875
im with you, I don’t think the article I used to ascertain the lethality of method included all of those details. I think my point is more the gap of almost a year in between deaths with one exception in the case of baby I. The first four fatalities were clustered at the start of the alleged attacks with the majority being due to alleged air embolism. do Four fatalities at the start of the alleged attacks and then a gap of 9 months inbetween deaths with one exception correspond with less lethal method Or a tailing off of lethality?
I'm not sure the gaps in time have much relevance, if any, to an analysis of the lethality of the alleged attacks.

I can't think of a reason for the gaps in time that would give benefit to LL's case, for example I can only think of reasons that would lend weight to the prosecution, such as spacing them out would take the heat off her and lessen visibility and suspicion. We know for instance that in July 2015 there are no charges, and during that month there was a lot of talk on the unit, LL took some time off, and baby A's cause of death was due to be announced imminently. Between baby F and baby G there was a gap of five weeks with no charges and we now know that LL wasn't working night shifts during that time.

We also know that there are other very significant gaps with no charges in that year - a month between baby I and baby J, over two months between baby J and baby K, two months between baby K and baby L and two months between baby M and baby N. That equates to roughly 9 months out of 13 with no alleged attacks on babies.

I don't think the overall time span has any bearing on alleged lethality or method, unless you can think of a reason for its relevance that I haven't thought of. So I've done a list of all the alleged incidents/methods, (as best I can with some less than clear reporting in some of the cases from opening speeches), just to get a view of whether it is apparent from the acts alleged that she changed alleged method to reduce the chances of death occurring, and perhaps enable rescue.

Babies in red are the deaths. The methods stated are alleged and unproven at this time.

A – injection of air iv
B – injection of air iv
C – injection of air ngt and/or iv
D – injection of air iv
E – injection of air iv and inflicted trauma to throat

F – insulin poisoning
G – over-feeding + air
G x2 – over-feeding + air + monitor off
H – injection of air iv
H – injection of air not specified where
I – injection of air ngt
I – injection of air ngt – breathing tube dislodged - alarm paused
I – injection of air ngt
I – injection of air ngt
I – injection of air ngt + iv
J – obstruction of airways
K – dislodged breathing tube + alarm paused
L - insulin poisoning increased dose in relation to baby F
M – airway obstruction or injection of air iv
N – injection of air iv
N x2 – air? + inflicted trauma to throat – no alarm
O – injection of air iv + impact trauma to liver
P – injection of air ngt

Q – injection of air + saline ngt

Would you say it is apparent that she allegedly started using less lethal methods? I wouldn't. Babies I and L stand out as cases in point, IMO.

All MOO
 
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  • #876
Citation please, for these apparent factoids, which are at issue with two medical experts' testimonies -

"the speed isn't relevant".
"If it was a syringe rather than a machine used to administer the air there wouldn’t be a difference in speed of application."

Is it something you read in the defence cross-examination of the experts? A link is required.


Why do you doubt that a less than lethal dose could be administered, and why is the likelihood of a less than lethal dose smaller than otherwise?


Expert testimony -

Baby B

Dr Evans


Dr Evans tells the court the collapse was "very similar" to that of Child A, but what happened was "less severe".
He said "either the volume of air [injected] was less, or the volume of air in the circulation got there more slowly, or a combination of the two."

Mr Myers said it is a 'key aspect' that the inability to successfully resuscitate Child A had led to an air embolus. He adds that child B recovered, and that is "inconsistent" and "contradicts the air embolus theory".
Dr Evans: "No it does not. We cannot do studies where we inject air into babies and see what happens."
He adds that the volume and speed at which air is injected, along with the skill of the resuscitation attempts, can make a difference as to whether the baby survives or dies.

Dr Bohin

She adds that even if air was accidentally administered, there is an electronic pump system which would detect the air and stop the administration.
Dr Bohin explains to the court that could be bypassed further down the line by administering the air embolus via a connector normally used for administering drugs.

https://www.chesterstandard.co.uk/news/23075662.recap-lucy-letby-trial-tuesday-october-25/


Baby D

Dr Bohin


She says all three collapses for Child D were "sudden" and "unexpected".
"They came out of the blue...she recovered very quickly with the first two, and two of the episodes were associated with an unusual mottling of the skin.
Dr Bohin: "She seemed to recover very quickly after the medical team's intervention and she was well again."
"Taking into account the sudden nature of the collapses and the very quick recovery...I was very clear it wasn't infection, so the conclusion had to be something unusual and odd."
Other conditions were crossed off as they 'didn't fit'.
She concludes the collapses were caused by intravenous air administration either through the UVC or the cannula.
Dr Bohin says with air embolus, the speed and quantity of the air administered depends on whether it is fatal.
She says the first two administrations of air would have been small, but the third would have been larger to cause circulation to stop.

Dr Bohin says the suddenness of the collapse, with skin discolouration, fitted with cases of air embolus, as did the presence of air found in the 'great vessels' on post-mortem x-rays.
Mr Myers says Child D recovered twice, which, in principle, is inconsistent with an air embolus.
Dr Bohin disagrees, saying it depends on the speed and volume of the air administered.
She said there is a treatment for air embolus.


Recap: Lucy Letby trial, Friday, November 11

this will take some explanation I think and I hope it’s permitted by the admins. IV air embolism in medical settings is a very rare occurrence and I don’t believe there is any research on cases of air embolism via syringe as opposed to ”positive pressure ventilation” Via a machine.

“ Pulmonary vascular air embolism Is a rare,and almost invariably fatal,complication of positive pressure ventilation.”

thats why I don’t understand why dr bohin mentions “speed” as that’s only relevant to the machines applying constant pressure or small bubbles of air continuously that eventually lead to one big bubble causing the emboli Or blockage That causes the heart attack. i Would be very surprised if dr bohin is suggesting that LL administered the air slowly using a syringe And that’s my issue Along with the likelihood that a smaller than lethal dose could be administered in the first place. 3 to 5 ml per kg of body weight (of air is considered to be a fatal dose. these babies were i Think all under 1.5 kg. I think it’s reasonable to suggest that LL wouldn’t spend more than a few seconds administering the air embolism considering the circumstances of the alleged attacks If guilty.

“He said "either the volume of air [injected] was less, or the volume of air in the circulation got there more slowly, or a combination of the two."

the above quote isn’t applicable in the context of a syringe used to administer a air embolism as it all goes in at once.

“Fatal air embolism has been reported to occur with volumes of 200-300 mL or in volumes ranging from 2 to 5 mL/kg [4,5]”

now the dosage of air would be limited by the size of the syringe as others have said there is a array of sizes to the syringes available on any ward ranging From 3 ml to 50 ml. This is pure speculation on my part but the chances of LL using a small syringe is smaller than that of a larger one and the likelihood that LL administered a dose smaller than half of a 10 ml syringe and smaller than lethal dose is obviously smaller than a larger one, or even if on the off chance used a 3 ml syringe and didn’t pull the plunger the whole way. I find it difficult to believe that LL would have measured the dose If attempting to kill Or that she would have without measuring administered a smaller than lethal dose. It’s such a small amount of air it would be very difficult to not administer a lethal dose.

its reasonable to me to suggest that if a air embolism is administered with a syringe there would be no extended time frame (more than a few seconds) in which it was done Hence the ”speed” is irrelevant. Also the “volume” is seemingly always going to exceed what is considered to be a lethal dose.

“She said there is a treatment for air embolus.”

yes there is but the main one is not specific, it’s just keeping the heart pumping manually in the hope that it shifts the air bubble and moves it away from the artery that’s blocking the hearts blood flow.

“If clinically indicated, commencement of cardiopulmonary resuscitation is warranted. This will continue end-organ perfusion and may promote migration of the air embolus into the smaller pulmonary vessels [21].”


there are other treatments but in the context of the countess of Chester I don’t think are applicable as nobody would anticipate these events were caused by an administered air embolism And relating to how treatable the other methods were there is a big difference As they fall under the routine checks list.

stomach checks for embolus via ngt.
“The routine aspiration of gastric residuals (GR) is considered standard care for critically ill infants in the neonatal intensive care unit”

I will avoid putting how often blood sugar levels are checked as they are exclusively rare in the charges.


“Other causes of air or gas embolisms​

Although uncommon, it's possible to get an air or gas embolism during surgery, some medical procedures, and when ascending to a high altitude.

In hospitals and health centres, care should be taken to prevent air embolisms by:
  • removing air from syringes before injections and from intravenous lines before connecting them
  • using techniques when inserting and removing catheters and other tubes that minimise the risk of air getting into blood vessels
  • closely monitoring patients during surgery to help ensure air bubbles do not form in their blood vessels
Air embolisms caused by surgery, anaesthesia or other medical procedures can be difficult to treat. Treatment is usually needed to support the heart, blood vessels and lungs.

For example, fluids may be used to treat a fall in blood pressure, and oxygen may be given to correct reduced oxygen levels. Treatment in a hyperbaric chamber is occasionally needed in these cases.”


this last bit of information is my reason for stating that an air embolism administered via a syringe is much more difficult to treat than otherwise and so perhaps more lethal.

I'm not sure the gaps in time have much relevance, if any, to an analysis of the lethality of the alleged attacks.

I can't think of a reason for the gaps in time that would give benefit to LL's case, for example I can only think of reasons that would lend weight to the prosecution, such as spacing them out would take the heat off her and lessen visibility and suspicion. We know for instance that in July 2015 there are no charges, and during that month there was a lot of talk on the unit, LL took some time off, and baby A's cause of death was due to be announced imminently. Between baby F and baby G there was a gap of five weeks with no charges and we now know that LL wasn't working night shifts during that time.

We also know that there are other very significant gaps with no charges in that year - a month between baby I and baby J, over two months between baby J and baby K, two months between baby K and baby L and two months between baby M and baby N. That equates to roughly 9 months out of 13 with no alleged attacks on babies.

I don't think the overall time span has any bearing on alleged lethality or method, unless you can think of a reason for its relevance that I haven't thought of. So I've done a list of all the alleged incidents/methods, (as best I can with some less than clear reporting in some of the cases from opening speeches), just to get a view of whether it is apparent from the acts alleged that she changed alleged method to reduce the chances of death occurring, and perhaps enable rescue.

Babies in red are the deaths. The methods stated are alleged and unproven at this time.

A – injection of air iv
B – injection of air iv
C – injection of air ngt and/or iv
D – injection of air iv
E – injection of air iv and inflicted trauma to throat

F – insulin poisoning
G – over-feeding + air
G x2 – over-feeding + air + monitor off
H – injection of air iv
H – injection of air not specified where
I – injection of air ngt
I – injection of air ngt – breathing tube dislodged - alarm paused
I – injection of air ngt
I – injection of air ngt
I – injection of air ngt + iv
J – obstruction of airways
K – dislodged breathing tube + alarm paused
L - insulin poisoning increased dose in relation to baby F
M – airway obstruction or injection of air iv
N – injection of air iv
N x2 – air? + inflicted trauma to throat – no alarm
O – injection of air iv + impact trauma to liver
P – injection of air ngt

Q – injection of air + saline ngt

Would you say it is apparent that she allegedly started using less lethal methods? I wouldn't. Babies I and L stand out as cases in point, IMO.

All MOO

perhaps less lethal is the wrong words To use whereas more treatable is more fitting. I would assume they would all be just as lethal if left untreated Whereas the methods aside from intravenous air embolism fall under the treated as standard bracket.

if they are more treatable and LL would know they were does that mean she was”playing with her prey” with an indifference to potentially fatal consequences or were these methods part of a concerted and consistent approach to murdering these babies?

my thinking was that the four fatalities at the start of the alleged attacks might have been due to her inexperience with killing and once she realised how lethal it was changed to a less definitely lethal method.


“I can't think of a reason for the gaps in time that would give benefit to LL's case, for example I can only think of reasons that would lend weight to the prosecution, such as spacing them out would take the heat off her and lessen visibility and suspicion. We know for instance that in July 2015 there are no charges, and during that month there was a lot of talk on the unit, LL took some time off, and baby A's cause of death was due to be announced imminently. Between baby F and baby G there was a gap of five weeks with no charges and we now know that LL wasn't working night shifts during that time”

this is quite a good suggestion And i can give no reason other than potential motive ie to kill or to gain adoration or whatever. Neither of these potential motives would lessen the severity of the charges IMO, both are well beyond the line of evil. She would gain much more adoration without a fatality which could explain the change in method but I totally see why one could think they were changed to disguise the cause of death.

my suggestion is more to point out potential reasons for the majority of fatalities happening at the start of the alleged attacks.

I will also add that the presence of air embolism according to your more complete table indicates IV air embolism being present in 6 out of seven fatalities whereas all the other charges bar one are not fatal indicating an increased lethality of IV air embolism compared to the other alleged methods. 6 out of 22 charges.

I think that’s it, took me ages to get this together, I don’t know how you do it tortoise.

JMO
 
  • #877
i Would be very surprised if dr bohin is suggesting that LL administered the air slowly using a syringe And that’s my issue
I'm just working my way through your post - why would a syringe surprise you?

I assumed that would be the only thing Dr Evans and Dr Bohin had in mind, with the suggestion that the line must have been accessed through a connector used for administering medications. I'm picturing a small syringe with a plunger pushed with the thumb.
 
  • #878
I'm just working my way through your post - why would a syringe surprise you?

I assumed that would be the only thing Dr Evans and Dr Bohin had in mind, with the suggestion that the line must have been accessed through a connector used for administering medications. I'm picturing a small syringe with a plunger pushed with the thumb.
Not a syringe but a air embolus via syringe administered slowly and with less than 2 ml of air. She’s probably going to be in a bit of a rush to get the air in considering the context Ie murder on a hospital ward, not going to savour the moment so to speak :confused: I just don’t think that less than 2 or 3 ml would be administered without measuring the volume.

say for instance she did use the smallest syringe available which I believe is 1.5 ml, it’s near physically impossible to manually push the plunger slowly enough especially within this context to administer the air in a way that it didn’t go in all at once which is necessary to cause the emboli otherwise it would get filtered out at the lungs And perhaps cause symptoms but not a collapse. I think that’s reasonable.
 
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  • #879
my suggestion is more to point out potential reasons for the majority of fatalities happening at the start of the alleged attacks.
If she's guilty, there is clearly a limit to how many deaths it would take with exactly the same presentation before it would be discovered. At the rate of four collapses in a week, three of them fatal, two or three weeks with results like that would be guaranteed to shut down the unit. I think it would become necessary to change it about, if one wanted to continue to fly under the radar. JMO
 
  • #880
Not a syringe but a air embolus via syringe administered slowly and with less than 2 ml of air. She’s probably going to be in a bit of a rush to get the air in considering the context Ie murder on a hospital ward, not going to savour the moment so to speak :confused: I just don’t think that less than 2 or 3 ml would be administered without measuring the volume.
Sorry, I don't understand your reasoning. An empty syringe with the plunger pulled back just a few mls pushed through with the thumb before anyone looks over and notices you've done anything. LL could go as fast or as slow as she chooses, perhaps more slowly would mean the effects on the baby would be slower, giving her time to be away from the cot before any alarms go off.
 
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