Falling overboard is rare and most people don’t put themselves in a position where it is possible.
According to Google, in 2019 25 people fell overboard, but 29 million went on cruises. That sums up the likelihood of her falling that morning. It’s not impossible but the likelihood is slim to none.
Agreed. But falling overboard and intentionally going overboard (or being forced overboard for that matter) are different things. If Amy was afraid of heights or open water, it seems a curious method for a suicide. On the other hand, she wasn't afraid enough to be ON the balcony and surrounded by water. Someone who is suicidal may be be partying and jovial in one moment and cross the mental point of no return in the next. Especially with alcohol and possibly something else. And while there are certainly patterns and likelihoods, we're not yet known to be at the point where we can know what someone else is thinking.
Meanwhile, her father could've awoken from the chaise scraping across the floor innocently, the table being moved to the edge innocently or not, the cabin door clicking shut, or even a noise in a dream he was having. My only takeaway from the cabin is the time she entered (or her card did, if you sway towards facty facts.)
I would surmise from what we know now that she went back to the cabin to pass the time (aka not fall asleep by staying out on the balcony in the fresh air) until a quickly arranged rendevous time/place to get off the ship. Likely with help from Yellow and/or others. If that sequence of events happened, I imagine a few scenarios: she purchased and used some drugs stronger than she was used to (or tried a sample) OD'd and died, used drugs and was then sexually assaulted and murdered, went for drugs but ended up being robbed and murdered, or some combination. Tourists make great victims, and it's possible whoever she met up with didn't know she'd come from a cruise. If she were to get busted, it makes sense Yellow wouldn't have her say "Yellow sent me." He, or someone else on the ship, might've had another alias for transactions in that port.
When a ship docks, shipS during cruise season, there are thousands of people flooding the area in a short period of time. Not counting vacationers their on their own without a cruise, as well as non-native staff working the terminals and who live there. In essence, dozens of Amy Bradleys walking around. Even without hats and sunglasses, she'd be one of many with the same look. And not only that, but within days there'd be an entire new set of Amy Bradleys walking around.
All to say, I don't see the international escort angle happening for myriad reasons already discussed. Specifically, I don't see Amy in the original Jaz photo, besides a passing resemblance. I know girls, young women, and mature women who resemble both of them - age-regressed/progressed and actual. Furthermore, Jaz's picture looks from mid to late 80s or early 90s. I'd also think a captive, potentially drugged or drug using escort wouldn't be heavier than Amy, although irrelevant if the picture is indeed earlier. The 2nd Jaz photo has even less resemblance.
The FBI is involved due to international waters as I and others mentioned threads ago. As for comments and sound bites...they are wholly vetted (if not assigned verbatim) and never off the cuff on record. "Our understanding is," "believed to be," "allegedly," "person of interest," "known to be," "assumed," and my personal favorite.."a source connected to," is all We-Don't-Know-101. Lawyer Language, Non-Committal Truthiness...whatever you want to call it. You can only hope it's temporary deflection until there are answers actually being pursued. In Amy's case, the FBI is active if a picture is believed to be her, by an unnamed expert of currently unknown affiliation.