You’re absolutely right, although I refer back to the guy in the NF documentary who claimed (and I know this is only his word we have) to know the current patterns and was adamant that something/anything would have washed ashore.
I think that is in ideal circumstances. We have no reason to assume they must have applied.
We do know there are some recent cases where there are some shipwrecks offshore but not many bodies are found. I reported just one from 2008, where only four of 32 bodies were recovered.
I do agree with you though; I also agree that there are a lot of if, buts and maybe’s here which we will never know the answers to.
Agreed. I think we can weight probabilities.
If i was at the beach, and a flip flop or something like a hat or a pair of sunglasses washed up on the beach , I wouldn't automatically think that it was from a dead body...so many people would not think to call LE.
There are many bodies that do not come to the surface...like Donna Urban who jumped in 1982 or 83. Plenty of witnesses, but no body ever recovered. Also, remember the Caribbean has sharks.
IMO, I believe Amy fell or committed suicide. However, I DO NOT dismiss the possibility of her being trafficked....
My problem with the trafficking idea is that this would seem to be the only time someone was abducted from a cruise ship, around Curaçao or elsewhere. Something like Amy being attacked, which does happen, would be much more likely.
There are some travellers who do things which put them at risk. I shared in the last thread Jacqueline Vienneau, who disappeared in Syria in 2007. She was travelling by herself and out of regular communication with anyone in a place she had never been before, a country with strong if suppressed ethnic and religious conflicts that exploded into civil war four years later.
http://www.findnicolevienneau.com/
http://vienneau.livejournal.com/39588.html
SUMMARY
My sister, Nicole Vienneau, a 33-year old Canadian tourist, has been missing in Syria since March 31st (337 days). She was last seen by the desk clerk as she left the Cairo Hotel in Hama. She intended to return as her backpack was left in her room with her camera memory chips. Nicole had recently been asking other guests and hotel staff about how to get to the "Beehive Houses", a local sightseeing destination, as well as Qasr Ibn Wardan (a nearby castle). No one...
Amy Bradley was doing none of that. She was travelling with her family on a cruise ship, and had not yet gotten to a Curaçao that is one of the stablest places in the Caribbean.
It would be a very odd place for this conspiracy to happen, especially since we have some idea of what sex trafficking goes on in Curaçao (dealing with Latin American migrants, basically, brought in more or less voluntarily). Escalating to kidnapping cruise ship passengers would be a very odd thing to happen.
Beyond that, the sex slave idea is clearly related to the idea that Amy is alive. An attack on the ship is more likely, but it would exclude the possibility of her being alive. A family that has demonstrated a willingness to fudge with evidence that supports their chosen story, as found in a court of law, can be sympathized with inasmuch as that speaks to their grief and desperate love.