Folks, for those saying PDI - for bedwetting
That only explains the blow to the head - and then the garrote and strangulation to cover it up,
IT DOES NOT EXPLAIN away the genital trauma from paintbrush.
I can't believe she would do that as part of staging. Just no. This in no way can be just PDI on that basis?
it does seem crazy that a parent would do that to the body of their daughter. difficulty imagining the perversion and brutality of all of it coming from a parent is one of a handful of things that keeps me from being 100% RDI. (i'm more like 80-90%)
BUT:
1) there were other elements of staging present (it seems beyond dispute that at least the duct tape and "ligature" were pure theater), so it would be consistent with that for additional items to also be staged. if it's a fact that the perp(s) staged some of it, the odds other elements were also staged goes up. ... if one believes the ransom note is staging, i do think it shows a chaotic mental state, such as what might be necessary for a parent to think to stage an SA of their daughter like that.
2) most/all other theories run into bigger problems, in many people's opinions. ...... this is a general problem with the JBR case. it seems highly likely RDI. but which R(s) did what, specifically when, where, why, and how, is hard to judge, with every specific theory either running into improbabilities or relying on ambiguous evidence.
After the netflix program , I was firmly of IDI
JR comes across as very sincere and honest,
But then after all the narc posts on here about JR, I am back to I dont know, certainly makes for a fascinatingly tragic haunting case
it seems to be a widely held view that J is a talented liar (and P was a shitty one). if you believe that, then him coming across as sincere gets less weight. ... also, IMO, it seems likely J did in fact lie about some things, including whether he had found the basement window open in the morning and whether JBR was already asleep when they got home.
none of this would necessarily mean he killed his daugher, or molested her, or was involved in staging, but IMO it is a good bet he is at least being deceptive for some reason.
AFAICT (and this is more my specific thinking, not as widely agreed), J doesn't seem tell any lies in the morning, and indeed he says and does several things that are both bad for the ramseys and bad for the IDI theory they later embraced and which the ransom note writer was pushing. THAT makes me think he was being honest, possibly out of the loop, and possibly not even guilty of anything at least until late morning. some time later in the day, he starts both lying IMO and hedging away early, definite statements he made that undermined IDI. and he has continued that to this day.
Hypothetically if it had been BDI, I assume at this point, there are no legal repercussions for what he may have done as a 9 year old, even if they did admit it was him with the blow to the head in emotional anger not intending to kill?
At this point if JR still covering BDI, its purely to allow him to have a normal social life etc not legal repercussions?
you might also imagine J was avoiding charges to himself, like the grand jury's recommended ones (allowing a child to be abused, or something like that), but IIRC those have expired now.
AIUI, you're right that BR is not in any legal jeopardy. he could straight up confess on national television to murdering his sister, and provide video documentation of the act, and he would not be charged with anything, because he was 9yo at the time. this is one of the major problems with BDI theories. why commit crimes to cover up for a child who wouldn't go to jail anyway?
but yes, you could imagine the goal here is just to try to let BR have a normal life without that knowledge following him everywhere. and/or to try to preserve family honor or something like that.
another possibility i've entertained is that (assuming BDI), one or both parents didn't realize BR wasn't in legal jeopardy when they began staging, and, by the time they realized it, they had literal blood on their hands and were at risk of not only getting charged for the coverup, but being wrongly suspected of the murder itself. thus they had to stick with their narrative from that point on.
IDI was not investigated enough ?
Very unlikely I agree, but not impossible that someone say who used to work for them as a gardener or cleaner who knew the layout of the house and where they kept things and hated them for some reason - came in through the window and originally intended ransoming - but then perhaps JB woke up and struggled and hence the killing was a spontaneous reaction with motive being some personal jealousy against JR+PR
It isnt wholly impossible ? It has achieved not just doing away their daughter but tarring their names forever?
we don't know everything the police did and didn't investigate, because much/most of it has not been made public. but it seems clear that, contrary to R characterizations, they investigated IDI pretty thoroughly. IIRC, the list of PoI's and/or people they interviewed was in the 100s or 1000s.
they took a particularly close look at people known to the R's, and don't seem to have found any of them suspicious. this is important, because several pieces of evidence tell us that,
if IDI, it was almost certainly someone they knew. whoever wrote the ransom note knew the amount of J's christmas bonus from the previous year. given the evidence, it's hard to account for an intruder getting in and out without leaving evidence or signs of forced entry, but one of the possibilities is if someone had / stole / copied a key. (however, we basically know the police took a hard look at anyone likely to have a key or to be in a position to steal or copy one.)
i am not closed-minded to IDI, but like i say, i put it at 10-20% odds.
no one came in that window. there was an undisturbed cobweb connecting the grating covering the window to debris below. there would have been fresh snow on the grass in front of it, and multiple early responding officers checked for footprints in snow around the house and didn't see any. (AFAICT, the snow didn't stick on pavement, so lack of footprints means that's how an intruder would have had to leave. but on soft surfaces it was reasonably complete and continuous at 6-8 AM, so lack of footprints rules out intruder exit over those surfaces) ... no one came in any other windows either. if there was an intruder, they came and went through a door. but both JR and officer french who showed up at 6 am checked the doors and reported they were all locked. and there were no signs of forced entry. IMO the least unlikely possibility is the perp found an unlocked door for entry, and randomly chose to lock it on the way out. copied/stolen key is also
possible, though IMO not likely. ... but the intruder also managed not to leave any mud or wet footprints despite having walked on a wet ground outside, which makes this more far-fetched.
also, the ransom note is clearly








to some extent (most people, including the FBI, think it's a complete fabrication), and was written by someone who knew insider stuff about the R's. ... J and P had no reaction, possibly not even awareness, when the kidnappers failed to call by the end of the window when they said they would. ... in the afternoon, shortly after JBR's body was found, an officer overheard J on the phone trying to make arrangements to have a flight out of town later that day. ... at least some of what was done to JBR was staged in a way that pointed to an intruder. if the big red arrow pointing outside the house is fake, i think
that points inside the house. .... the purported intruder's motives and actions are nonsensical: break into the house, SA the girl, kill her
two ways, leave a ransom note, and then
leave the body?? you might be thinking he was just completely crazy, but he was apparently rational enough to carefully avoid leaving any evidence of himself with the
possible exception of DNA on her clothes (which could have gotten there at any earlier time and is not known to be related to the crime).
then there's the fact that the "intruder" apparently spent a long time in the house: at least a half hour to write the ransom note on PR's notepad and nicely put it away afterward. more likely 45m - 2 hours, because that's the estimated interval between the head blow and the strangulation. that is an eternity for a home invasion murder. perps almost always get out as fast as possible, especially if there are still living people in the house. and IIRC the perp visited all four floors of the house, which, especially combined with the long dwell time, shows incredibly little fear of getting caught. ... and they did this without anyone hearing a sound? ... then there's statistics. when a child is murdered, 11/12 times it's by a caregiver or family member.
lastly, there's opportunity and ockham's razor: 3 other people are
known to have been in the house that night, and they are all R's. we get to assume their presence for free. it's an established, undisputed fact. the presence of any intruder is an assertion that has to be proven by evidence. that has never happened in 30 years, and indeed appears unlikely.