Hello everyone, just joined, first post.
I came to this forum looking for info, because there isn’t much in the news these days. I’ve read a lot of these threads, but nowhere near all. Came too late and couldn’t keep up. Hopefully it’s not all a repeat, but here’s my take on it:
I tend to think about these types of cases differently than most people, I go into it like I’m the one that did it (hope that’s not TOO weird). I know my crime from the headlines, why did I do it that way? Then, how did I do it? I’m not buying random drifter\drug user home invasion and Jayme was a target of opportunity. Those types of people are *usually* career criminals, and career criminals are usually turnips. Or that there was more than one person. Loose lips sink ships and all that. No, Jayme was the target of one guy. So, why did I do it this way? It’s been stated many times there are easier, less risky (or even willing) targets out there. So, that means I wanted a particular girl. Why the violent home invasion in the middle of the night? Well, that’s easy to me, I live in the same small town I grew up in. I could not abduct a kid walking home, waiting at the bus stop, hanging out at the gas station or anywhere else because everybody knows me. And my car, and can give you turn by turn directions to my house. There’s no way I don’t get caught. If I want this kid, I have to do it this way.
Now, how did I do it? Here’s the big assumption in my theory: I have to assume that since I got her and left no evidence or even any suspects, that my plan and execution was nearly flawless. I don’t believe the average root vegetable pulls this off with that much “luck”. I also believe the sheriff’s timeline is off. If I’m only in the house a few feet for a few minutes, then my plan has to include a way to get every member of the household within a few feet of the front door. In the middle of the night. As the victim, my wife might get up to see who is at the door with me, but I doubt it VERY much. And there’s no chance my daughter, that is about Jayme’s age, does. Zero. I also can’t believe they run into the room after I’m shot at the door. They would give me up for dead if there was a spider in the same room as me. Most people do not run towards unexpected gun fire, they run away, hide and call 911. Back to being the perp. I cannot come up with a single scenario that I can get them all to the door with enough frequency for me to plan for it. I can only come up with a couple, and neither fit with the facts of the case and present their own set of problems for me. The best one is, let’s say I come to your door in the middle of the night, kick it open and start yelling your name and to get everyone out because the house is on fire. Since you know me, you all come rushing out and as soon as everyone is in sight, I start shooting. That’s pretty risky, inducing panic in the victims makes them unpredictable. But, for the sheriff to be right on the timeline, they all had to be in the front room at 1:00 am for some reason. I highly doubt that I can shoot the parents, then locate a scared girl hiding somewhere in a house I’m probably not familiar with more than the “public” areas of (a lot of people know me and have been in my living room. None of them ((hopefully)) are familiar with my teenage daughter’s bedroom). WHILE leaving no evidence I went more than a couple steps into the house? Doing all that and being gone in a few minutes…? Very unlikely. Also, knowing small town cops on the night shift are probably the newest out of the academy and bored, just waiting for a call… The response time will be super fast. A S.E.A.L. Team probably doesn’t pull all of that off. Not the first time anyway.
I think the neighbor’s timeline is closer to being accurate. For that, I only have to get the parents into the front room. There’s a lot more possibilities for that to happen. Then, I have what, 25 minuets to search the house, locate and subdue Jayme, while being careful not to disturb anything. The only hiccup to my plan is, on the way out of the house Jayme gets free long enough to grab a phone and press three buttons, but I get her back under control and we are out the door before the operator calls back. That’s the only way this makes sense to me.
Now, here’s a few things I’d like to know that as far as I’ve read have not been released, but would help fill in some gaps:
1) What were James and Denise wearing?
2) Did James bring a weapon to the door?
These would let us know if they were expecting someone. Knock on my door after midnight, and I will have a bat\golf club\Glock 19 in one hand unless I know you AND am expecting you.
3) Exact location of the bodies. To me, “in the doorway” means within the swing radius of the door. That would mean the door was kicked in and then James moved into it (house fire scenario?).
4) How many shots were fired? There’s a big difference in the person that murders two people with two rounds, and the person that uses 52. However, I have to believe “multiple” means more than two. Anybody that shoots and reloads will tell you even a big, bright red 12 gauge hull can be impossible to find. An officer going up the steps probably isn’t going to see all the empties when he is focused on a potential armed assailant.
They may release something that changes my mind, but for now I believe she was targeted by someone that knew her and is known in town. I also believe they still have her close by. Why go through all that trouble just to kill her? I don’t see any danger of being caught as of right now, either. Plus, it’d be pretty risky dumping a body right now. Never know who will stop you to chat or see you where you shouldn’t be, based on being very familiar with small towns.
Sorry for the wall of text.
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