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This is why he is hedging.....IMO, the man is between a rock and a hard place, as we say in the south. Stanford University model shows second wave is much much higher than the first wave. See attached. At only opening 50%, (purple line) and dependent on herd immunity levels: Low immunity-...

BEIJING (Reuters) - Chinese authorities reported on Sunday what could be the beginning of a new wave of coronavirus cases in northeast China, with one city in Jilin province being reclassified as high-risk, the top of a three-tier zoning system. Jilin officials raised the risk level of the city...

@LadyL very sorry to hear of your loss. I pray for peace for you and your family this week.

This is really interesting....the national message is all is well....go forth with your life. The question is "why on 5/1/20 was a bill introduced with this content? " IMO.......Someone is watching the same extreme models like the Stanford University model and see the horrible possibilities...

A birthday party was behind a cluster of coronavirus cases in Pasadena, California, according to health officials. A "large number" of extended family members and friends were at the party, the Pasadena Public Health Department said in a news release, adding the event took place after the city...

COVID TRACKING PROJECT "Our daily update is published. We’ve now tracked 8.7 million tests, up ~300k from yesterday, which is in line with the last two days. Note that we can only track tests that a state reports." For details, see: https://t.co/PZrmH4bl5Y The COVID Tracking Project on Twitter

COVID TRACKING PROJECT "And an important reminder: the story is very different in different regions of the country. Outside NY-NJ-CT, cases are not really declining". See attached. The COVID Tracking Project on Twitter

WHO ARE THESE PEOPLE? Carnival Cruise Bookings Surge 600% After Announcing August Relaunch Many eyes are on the cruise line industry as it reels from the impacts of coronavirus. Earlier this week, Carnival Cruise Lines announced it was scheduling its return to the sea for August 1, 2020...

Try this presentation from Nextstrain....it works better on a computer than tablet. auspice

(CNN)The Cheyenne River Sioux Tribe has rejected an ultimatum by South Dakota's governor to remove checkpoints on state highways within tribal reservations or risk legal action. Ha....I called that one....Good for the tribes.....

Very small number are immune....all we are doing is kicking the can down the street so that we don't overrun the healthcare system. Very likely that the virus becomes even more highly transmissible than it already is and more are infected in the second wave.....there could be several waves...

New Mexico has a much better situation for a second wave based on the Stanford model. Although it rolls immediately from wave 1 to wave 2, the peaks are lower than other states. At 50% opening: Low immunity. 30 deaths per million per day High immunity. 5 deaths per mil per day 2.5 mil...

Stanford forecast shows Indiana just rolling from wave 1 to wave 2......... Depending on the level of herd immunity so far, peak of wave 2 is forecast at the following if only open at 50% of normal.... Low immunity levels. 180 deaths per million people/ day High immunity levels. 50 deaths per...

My interpretation of the Stanford methodology (in following link) is peak deaths are dependent on herd immunity achieved as well as conditions in 2nd wave. Most experts believe there is a possibility that virus will become more transmissible. See my recent post by Francois Belloux. Clearly...

FRANCOIS BALLOUX I've seen many alarmist and incorrect claims about mutations in #SARSCoV2 . In this thread I will address some of the major misconceptions. Parts of the material I cover can be found expressed more formally in an article we published recently. Emergence of genomic diversity and...

FRANCOIS BALLOUX I've seen many alarmist and incorrect claims about mutations in #SARSCoV2 . In this thread I will address some of the major misconceptions. Parts of the material I cover can be found expressed more formally in an article we published recently. Emergence of genomic diversity and...

Based on the Stanford model with little herd immunity (top chart in the attached) and opening at 50% back to normal, the second wave could peak at 115 deaths per million people daily. If 5 mil people, 115 × 5 = 575 deaths per day at the peak If by some miracle the state has generated higher...

"The South Korean government has issued a nationwide health advisory for bars and nightclubs to close down for 30 more days after health officials tracked 13 new cases to a single person who attended five nightclubs and bars in the country's capital city of Seoul." South Korea, hailed for...

Nextstrain 159 sequences from MI, CA, and LA. MI across the tree, while CA and LA in clusters. Nextstrain on Twitter

NEXTSTRAIN Many separate introductions to Delhi during March Between March 1-April 15, 38 viral genomes from the Delhi area were sampled and sequenced (shown here). In the middle of the tree, we see a sizable cluster of closely related cases. This is consistent with a single introduction...