2024 Hurricane and Tropical Weather

[GatorFL]

Damage seems to be minimal so far from Debby.

 

[Stunned]

My niece said it was the most intense Cat1 hurricane she'd ever been through. She said it sounded like there were tornadoes all around her last night!

 

[Stunned]

Crystal River, and Ceder Key are underwater with high tide expected at 6:00pm.

 

[PayrollNerd]

The lake in the back yard starts to recede in between bands of rain. The sun is out at times. My corn looks like it’s nearly flattened. It’s a raised bed with sweet potatoes too. It should drain but it will take time.

I forgot to bring my garden tools inside so they’re sitting in water. There’s a number of oak tree branches down. I have tree loppers to get them cut up.

I had to drive my daughter to do her necessary errands. Her car sits too low and so many streets were flooded. We had to turn around twice. But there were still people driving thru the water anyway! Once we got to 2 places, they were closed!

 

[GatorFL]

The lake in the back yard starts to recede in between bands of rain. The sun is out at times. My corn looks like it’s nearly flattened. It’s a raised bed with sweet potatoes too. It should drain but it will take time.

I forgot to bring my garden tools inside so they’re sitting in water. There’s a number of oak tree branches down. I have tree loppers to get them cut up.

I had to drive my daughter to do her necessary errands. Her car sits too low and so many streets were flooded. We had to turn around twice. But there were still people driving thru the water anyway! Once we got to 2 places, they were closed!

Not too bad for as long as Debby hung around.

Did you hear about the lady in Orlando who is in a fight with her HOA and so she concreted over the storm drain? Her whole neighborhood floods from a little rain, I bet those houses are flooded now.

 

[HmmMysterious]

Something pretty unique is going on in the Pacific. TS Emilia and Fabio are interacting with each other, a phenomenon that's called a Fujiwara effect. One of them will absorb the other at the end of this process. In this case, Emilia will absorb Fabio according to the NHC. Both of them won't threaten land.

 

[PayrollNerd]

https://www.cnn.com/webview/weather/live-news/tropical-storm-debby-08-06-24?cid=ios_app

The system is expected to move slowly through southeastern Georgia until its center emerges over the Atlantic on Tuesday.

 

[PayrollNerd]

The back yard lake is draining. A muddy mucky mess. Still some random downpours from the tail. Looked at the breaks in my plumeria. They’re pretty severe. They root pretty well. Once it’s dry enough to work out there, I’ll get them trimmed and replanted. This time I’ll add more rebar and tie them off more.

 

[HmmMysterious]

Colorado State University is now calling for 25 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and 6 major hurricanes for this season. The Accumulated Cyclone Energy is predicted to be an extremely high 230.

CSU Hurricane Seasonal Forecasting

CSU revised the prediction slightly downward, now it's predicting 23 named storms which is still a lot. Some disturbing estimates in the 47 page 2024 predictions that it published. https://tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2024-08.pdf

The CSU is predicting:

• The probability of at least ONE major hurricane to hit the entire U.S continental coastline at 56% with the U.S East Coast including peninsula Florida (south and east of Cedar Key) at 30% and the Gulf Coast (from the Florida Panhandle to Brownsville, Texas) at 38%.
• The probability for at least ONE major hurricane tracking through the Caribbean after August 5 at 61%.

 

[PayrollNerd]

https://www.cnn.com/webview/weather/live-news/tropical-storm-debby-path-08-07-24?cid=ios_app

Tropical Storm Debby is back over the Atlantic, where it is regaining strength and lashing the coast of the Southeast US. The storm is expected to make a second landfall on Thursday on the South Carolina coast.

 

[lonetraveler]

Oh, I found you! I'm sitting here in very wet, soggy Wilmington watching Debby and hoping my neighborhood doesn't flood like it did during Hurricane Florence. The enormous amount of rain is making everyone nervous. A lot of neighbors had to rebuild their houses.

 

[Simply Southern]

Southern Virginia fine misty rain since this morning wind starting to pick up. Preparing for flooding. Yucky day

 

[lonetraveler]

Wilmington has had rain bands coming in for two days now and there is much more coming.

I actually live across the Cape Fear River in the Brunswick County area, about eight miles from Wilmington.

 

[lonetraveler]

Tornado warnings in two places right now. Right over where my daughter works in Castle Hayne. Just North of Wilmington. She works in the GE plant that makes nuclear fuel rods. She texted that they were sheltering.

 

[HmmMysterious]

...DEBBY A LITTLE STRONGER......DANGEROUS FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS...

11:00 AM EDT Wed Aug 7 Location: 32.3°N 79.2°W Moving: NE at 5 mph Min pressure: 995 mb Max sustained: 60 mph

 

[HmmMysterious]

INIT 07/1500Z 32.3N 79.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 08/0000Z 32.9N 79.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 08/1200Z 33.8N 79.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
36H 09/0000Z 35.2N 79.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 09/1200Z 38.0N 79.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
60H 10/0000Z 42.0N 76.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 10/1200Z 46.5N 71.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 11/1200Z 52.5N 60.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 12/1200Z 54.0N 52.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

 

[GatorFL]

https://www.cnn.com/webview/weather/live-news/tropical-storm-debby-path-08-07-24?cid=ios_app

Tropical Storm Debby is back over the Atlantic, where it is regaining strength and lashing the coast of the Southeast US. The storm is expected to make a second landfall on Thursday on the South Carolina coast.

How are you making out now? Lots of flooding today in Sarasota I see.

 

[PayrollNerd]

https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/08/weather/tropical-storm-debby-landfall-forecast-thursday?cid=ios_app

At least six people have now died because of the storm after it spawned a destructive tornado Thursday that killed a man in Lucama, North Carolina. The tornado damaged homes and a school in the area, which is around 35 miles southeast of Raleigh.

 

[PayrollNerd]

How are you making out now? Lots of flooding today in Sarasota I see.

I think most of the water has receded. There are entire neighborhoods where the houses are 100% losses. I can’t remember the name of the subdivisions. I think one was Colonial Oaks, maybe. But the aerial photos are catastrophic. And, they’re expensive, minimum $400k homes too.

I heard there was a levy break or collapse in the Mennonite community but I can’t confirm it. That would explain the flooding in the Bahai Vista Rd & Tuttle Rd area. Cars underwater, the wake of stupid people driving thru pushed water into homes that may have not otherwise flooded.

It’s really sad because so many do not have flood insurance. Homeowners insurance doesn’t cover flooding. Hurricane deductibles are automatically 2%. So their only hope is FEMA which is years of red tape and never enough funds.

People are posting all over looking for something to rent. We didn’t have housing before this, and if there was something, $2,500-$3,000 a month. I suspect this will be the last straw for many. There’s so few options and the county leaders cater to the wealthy developers. JMO

 

[anneg]

I'm in the middle of NC west of Raleigh. We have a flood watch and flash flood warning. So far it hasn't been too windy and no power outages (knock wood!).