2024 Hurricane and Tropical Weather

[GatorFL]

I think most of the water has receded. There are entire neighborhoods where the houses are 100% losses. I can’t remember the name of the subdivisions. I think one was Colonial Oaks, maybe. But the aerial photos are catastrophic. And, they’re expensive, minimum $400k homes too.

I heard there was a levy break or collapse in the Mennonite community but I can’t confirm it. That would explain the flooding in the Bahai Vista Rd & Tuttle Rd area. Cars underwater, the wake of stupid people driving thru pushed water into homes that may have not otherwise flooded.

It’s really sad because so many do not have flood insurance. Homeowners insurance doesn’t cover flooding. Hurricane deductibles are automatically 2%. So their only hope is FEMA which is years of red tape and never enough funds.

People are posting all over looking for something to rent. We didn’t have housing before this, and if there was something, $2,500-$3,000 a month. I suspect this will be the last straw for many. There’s so few options and the county leaders cater to the wealthy developers. JMO

Terrible.

I didn't renew flood this year because it's gotten so expensive. Heck my homeowner's is $10,000 a year.

I saw pics from Sarasota and just felt sick. Prayers for all you guys over there.

 

[HmmMysterious]

Here comes more trouble

 

[cujenn81]

Here comes more trouble

View attachment 523340

This is about the last thing I wanna see right now. I’m in Myrtle Beach and we’ve just been walloped with the rain… in fact, we are STILL seeing rain bands come through every few hours.

Buckle up my friends, I fear we are in for a near constant long and bumpy ride into November. Ay yi yi!

 

[PayrollNerd]

Here comes more trouble

View attachment 523340

Yup and that sorta looks like a GOM event rather than the Eastern seaboard.

Either way, my Vet-to-Be and her older sister just landed in Granada yesterday. We really don’t need drama Mother Nature!!

 

[TexLil]

60% chance of formation:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1822002423776297400

 

[TexLil]

Now a 70% chance of formation:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1822056436517495123

 

[acutename]

I think Mon was OK weather but I can barely remember after 72+ hrs of grey humid blech weather ... every time I try to do anything there is a localized heavy downpour over my head and I am sick of drying out the dog and driving in rain through which I cannot really see. Supposed to be nice tomorrow however all their hourly and minute forecasts are wrong so.....

 

[anneg]

My son and DIL in Vermont had problems this evening thanks to Debby. They lost power and DIL got a page. They couldn't use the phone without power so drove to a nearby town where they could get a signal. Then they started home, but there were trees down on the way, so they turned around and looped around to get there another way. Again, a tree fallen across the road. Turned around again and drove a third way and were able to get home. Their power came back on after they got home, so that's good.

 

[TexLil]

80% probability of formation now:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1822274751277981800

 

[HmmMysterious]

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...

5:00 PM AST Sun Aug 11 Location: 13.6°N 48.0°W Moving: WNW at 21 mph Min pressure: 1010 mb Max sustained: 30 mph

 

[HmmMysterious]

Predicted track for future Ernesto

 

[HmmMysterious]

Potential Tropical Cyclone Five Forecast Discussion

INIT 11/2100Z 13.6N 48.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 12/0600Z 14.3N 51.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
24H 12/1800Z 15.2N 55.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
36H 13/0600Z 15.9N 59.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
48H 13/1800Z 17.0N 62.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 14/0600Z 18.3N 64.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 14/1800Z 19.8N 66.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 15/1800Z 23.9N 67.4W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 16/1800Z 27.7N 66.3W 95 KT 110 MPH

 

[PayrollNerd]

Predicted track for future Ernesto

View attachment 523957

That looks like a fish spinner in the making! Yay!

 

[Lexiintoronto]

Predicted track for future Ernesto

View attachment 523957

Hurricane Track - Environment Canada

Tropical cyclone information track map showing storms currently tracked by the Canadian Hurricane Centre

weather.gc.ca

Way too early to tell, but Canada is watching out for him.

 

[Lexiintoronto]

View attachment 523977

Hurricane Track - Environment Canada

Tropical cyclone information track map showing storms currently tracked by the Canadian Hurricane Centre

weather.gc.ca

Way too early to tell, but Canada is watching out for him.

I think @PayrollNerd may be right that it’s a fish spinner unless he veers west and hits one of the Canadian rocks I live on.

Hurricane Track - Environment Canada

Tropical cyclone information track map showing storms currently tracked by the Canadian Hurricane Centre

weather.gc.ca

FWIW, the early fish spinners up here tend to pass over the Titanic wreckage.


Illustration from: 5 aboard Titanic tourist sub are dead after 'catastrophic implosion'

 

[Lexiintoronto]

Hurricane Track - Environment Canada

Tropical cyclone information track map showing storms currently tracked by the Canadian Hurricane Centre

weather.gc.ca

I’ll start baking now and going through the regular preparations.

 

[HmmMysterious]

https://www.facebook.com/mikesweatherpage/posts/pfbid0Lx3yvyE9vMcPqbKWr88ffXJpQqFm7jDmWNGotcZE7terrL9SPJQF1abhyPF74f2Bl

 

[RichardKimble]

View attachment 523977

Hurricane Track - Environment Canada

Tropical cyclone information track map showing storms currently tracked by the Canadian Hurricane Centre

weather.gc.ca

Way too early to tell, but Canada is watching out for him.

Later into next week there's a possibility that by then being an ex tropical storm it'll get caught in the jet stream and head out way here in the uk, not unusual as I made comment on the 2023 thread.

 

[Lexiintoronto]

“National Hurricane Center

@NHC_Atlantic
·
13m

Tropical Storm #Ernesto Advisory 9: Ernesto Heading Toward the Virgin Islands. Expected to Become a Hurricane Tonight While Passing Northeast Of Puerto Rico. http://hurricanes.gov”

https://twitter.com/x/status/1823461539447517456

Good luck tonight, Puerto Rico.

“Jim Abraham

@YHZweatherguy
·
10h

Tropical Storm Ernesto will be impacting the eastern Caribbean today then strengthen to a hurricane as it threatens Bermuda late this week. The current consensus of weather models keeps the centre offshore as it approaches Atlantic Canada early next week.”

https://twitter.com/x/status/1823303444960071731

He may hit here on Monday, I’m guessing.

 

[Lexiintoronto]

“SAN JUAN, PUERTO RICO -
Ernesto strengthened into a hurricane on Wednesday as it dropped torrential rain on Puerto Rico and left nearly half of all clients in the U.S. territory without power as it threatened to strengthen into a major storm en route to Bermuda.


The storm was located about 175 miles (280 kilometers) northwest of San Juan, Puerto Rico and was moving over open waters. It had maximum sustained winds of 75 mph (120 kph) and was moving northwest at 16 mph (26 kph).”

Ernesto becomes a hurricane after pummelling northeast Caribbean and knocking out power in the region

Ernesto strengthened into a hurricane on Wednesday as it dropped torrential rain on Puerto Rico and left nearly half of all clients in the U.S. territory without power as it threatened to strengthen into a major storm en route to Bermuda.

www.ctvnews.ca

Hurricane Track - Environment Canada

Tropical cyclone information track map showing storms currently tracked by the Canadian Hurricane Centre

weather.gc.ca

It seems as though Newfoundland may be taking a direct hit.