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I’m not sure JG will deny to certify, but I can see the appellate court refusing to hear it. The defense has not met their burden of proof, in my opinion, and they can’t add on at this point. They’re stuck with a lot of smoke and little actual evidence. Further, JG has actually said she’ll take offers of proof under consideration towards the same evidence during trial if the defense wishes to make such offers.
As far as taking the evaluation of validity of evidence out of the juror’s hands, evidence is suppressed every day in America. Evidence is ruled inadmissible, and things are prohibited from being mentioned in open court. The jury does not get to be exposed to whatever the defense wants to throw out there - there are standards each side must meet, and for good reason. The defense has had numerous opportunities to meet the standards for a third party defense in Indiana, and were found significantly lacking at the end of the day. And now we know (from the transcripts of the hearings) that the defense has greatly stretched the truth to support parts of this theory, despite reassurances from various people that they couldn’t do precisely that in court filings.
They still have plenty of options left for crafting a legitimate defense, such as discrediting the prosecution’s theory of the crime, providing an alibi for RA, impeaching expert witnesses, discrediting evidence… these things would also probably not require the jurors to suspend disbelief for extended periods of time.
All my opinion.