Atlantic 2013 Tropical Weather and Maps

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/
 
If she is named today.. I will start a new thread just for her!!!
 
Tropical Waves

TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W/41W FROM 5N
TO 12N. A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS ALONG THE WAVE
NEAR 8N. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 38W AND 41W...AND
FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 41W AND 43W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 6N TO 14N BETWEEN 36W AND 46W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 70W FROM 12N TO
THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 16N TO THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF HISPANIOLA BETWEEN 69W AND 74W...IN THE WINDWARD
PASSAGE...AND IN THE WATERS THAT ARE BETWEEN JAMAICA...
CUBA...AND HAITI. THE TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE
AREA OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE TROUGH
IS ALONG 24N60W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO 20N64W...ACROSS
PUERTO RICO AND THE MONA PASSAGE...TO 16N68W IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...TO NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM 16N IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA TO 24N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN
57W AND 69W...AND TO THE SOUTH OF 15N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL AREA OF
GUINEA NEAR 10N14W TO 5N19W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM
5N19W 4N26W AND 6N36W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...
WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED
STRONG IN CLUSTERS TO THE SOUTH OF 10N TO THE EAST
OF 40W...AND FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN 49W AND 59W.

...DISCUSSION...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/051200_MIATWDAT.shtml?
 
000
NOUS42 KNHC 051627
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT WED 05 JUNE 2013
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z JUNE 2013
TCPOD NUMBER.....13-005

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA -- GULF OG MEXICO
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 72
A. 06/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0301A CYCLONE
C. 06/1645Z
D. 28.3N 85.8W
E. 06/1730Z TO 06/2300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 73
A. 07/0600Z
B. AFXXX 0401A CYCLONE
C. 07/0345Z
D. 29.3N 83.7W
E. 07/0530 TO 07/1000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: PSBL FIX MISSION
NEAR 33.0N AND 78.0W AT 07/1800Z

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

$$
WVW

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD.shtml

There is going to be reconnaissance for Invest 91L.
 
Recon off the ground!!!!!!

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=59&t=115047

AF 303..takeoff enroute to Invest 91L

000
URNT15 KNHC 051734
AF303 01AAA INVEST HDOB 03 20130605
172600 3025N 08855W 0134 00001 0137 +315 +244 360000 000 /// /// 03
172630 3025N 08855W 0134 00001 0136 +314 +244 360000 000 /// /// 03
172700 3025N 08855W 0131 00002 0136 +324 +244 360000 000 /// /// 03
172730 3025N 08855W 0132 00001 0133 +334 +243 360000 000 /// /// 03
172800 3025N 08855W 0134 ///// 0134 +344 +242 360000 000 /// /// 23
172830 3025N 08855W 0134 ///// 0133 +344 +240 360000 000 /// /// 23
172900 3025N 08855W 0136 ///// 0132 +341 +239 360000 000 /// /// 23
172930 3025N 08855W 0133 ///// 0133 +327 +239 360000 000 /// /// 23
173000 3025N 08855W 0132 ///// 0130 +343 +238 360000 000 /// /// 23
173030 3025N 08855W 0135 ///// 0134 +342 +235 360000 000 /// /// 23
173100 3025N 08855W 0130 ///// 0130 +302 +234 136001 000 /// /// 26
173130 3024N 08856W 0073 00024 0120 +270 +231 137011 014 /// /// 03
173200 3023N 08856W 9840 00247 0123 +243 +222 128012 014 /// /// 03
173230 3022N 08858W 9808 00288 0136 +236 +216 126011 012 /// /// 03
173300 3021N 08859W 9806 00289 0131 +235 +218 126012 013 /// /// 03
173330 3020N 08900W 9541 00517 0119 +220 +208 119013 014 /// /// 03
173400 3019N 08902W 9203 00834 0125 +202 +181 107011 012 /// /// 03
173430 3018N 08904W 8800 01219 0122 +181 +164 101011 012 /// /// 03
173500 3018N 08905W 8427 01592 0123 +161 +147 102009 011 /// /// 03
173530 3017N 08907W 8078 01950 0122 +143 +131 114007 008 /// /// 03
 
2:00Pm update

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED JUN 05 2013

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1645 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
BROAD LOW PRESSURE IS IMPACTING THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. A
1007 MB SURFACE LOW IS ANALYZED NEAR 25N89W WITH A TROUGH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 29N87W TO 20N91W. THE LOW CENTER IS NOT WELL-
DEFINED AT THIS TIME AND COULD BE REFORMING FARTHER TO THE EAST.
CONVECTION REMAINS EAST OF THE SYSTEM AS DRY AIR WRAPS AROUND
THE WEST SIDE. NUMEROUS MODERATE/SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS
FROM 19N-26N BETWEEN 81W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
OVER SOUTH FLORIDA FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN 80W-82W. AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH ALONG 90W IS PROVIDING DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT...WHICH IS
HELPING ENHANCE THE LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION. PORTIONS OF
WESTERN CUBA AND THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA HAVE REPORTED
SERIOUS FLOODING. THIS FLOODING RISK WILL CONTINUE OVER THESE
AREAS AND IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS FLORIDA AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS
OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AFTER THIS TIME...IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE QUICKLY TOWARDS
THE NE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF DEVELOPING INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS
.


BBM
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/051752_MIATWDAT.shtml?
 
...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
BROAD LOW PRESSURE AND SURFACE TROUGHING CONTINUES TO DOMINATE
THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. SEE SPECIAL
FEATURES FOR MORE DETAILS. THERE IS NO WELL DEFINED CENTER AT
THIS TIME AND THE LOW PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED NEAR 25N89W APPEARS TO
BE FALLING APART AS A NEW LOW FORMS FARTHER EAST. REGARDLESS OF
WHERE THE LOW CENTER IS...STRONG SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL AND EASTERN GULF FROM 22N-26N BETWEEN 82W-87W.
OVER FLORIDA...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ARE FROM 26N-27N ACROSS THE
PENINSULA WITH SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN
FLORIDA AND THE PANHANDLE. REPORTS OF FLOODING ARE ALREADY
COMING OUT OF MEXICO AND WESTERN CUBA. IF THE AREA OF STRONG
ACTIVITY SHIFTS EAST OVER FLORIDA FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY TO
OCCUR. WEST OF 89W...WEST OF THE SYSTEM...DRY AIR ALOFT AROUND
THE WEST SIDE OF AN UPPER TROUGH ALONG 90W IS PROVIDING MOSTLY
FAIR CONDITIONS. WINDS ARE LIGHT OVER THIS AREA. HOWEVER...WINDS
OF 20-30 KT ARE OVER THE EASTERN GULF IN THE AREAS OF CONVECTION
WITH LIKELY GUSTS TO GALE FORCE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STAY
IN THE SAME GENERAL AREA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE RACING
TOWARDS THE NE. MOIST AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT THE EASTERN GULF DURING THAT TIME PERIOD.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/051752_MIATWDAT.shtml?
 

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