The smoke prevented the helicopter being used on Wednesday. Unfortunately, it looks like the smoke will be as bad until Sunday or possibly Wednesday(rain!).
I believe the reporter’s reference to 10PM is erroneous. I haven’t heard that time from the police or the girlfriend.
I don’t see anything too strange about what I’ve seen. Whether out of frustration with the game, or a full bladder that makes him not to want to wait in long lines, he takes an early run to the bathroom. Makes sense to me.
As the game ends, he doesn’t want to swim upstream through the fans leaving to get back to his seat. Makes sense.
Maybe she waits at the seats for a while, but eventually makes her way to the bathroom with the kids. I don’t know how long the lines are (at other venues lines are often many minutes long) but that could take a while. It sounds like he initiates one or several FaceTime while they’re in the bathroom and she doesn’t take it/them. There is a text at 8:40. She calls (FaceTime??) him at some point. Makes sense
There is a mention of meeting at the car. He then(?) is exiting at 8:52. Makes sense.
The GF & kids get to the car at some point. He doesn’t show up. They have no keys; it is late & the kids are likely tired and maybe
cold (44F at 10PM; overnight low 36F). I would expect she is angry, or disappointed, with him. She is resourceful and finds a way home, even if not the fastest or easiest.
Google Maps shows a 2 hour 40 minute Bus/BART trip Monday night at 10:30PM. That's about an hour more than someone driving from Concord & picking them up. (While there are issues on BART, I haven't heard any safety issues on the south bay buses.) Makes reasonable sense. (But, if someone (perhaps the uncle) drove to pick her up, they'd have spent the night looking for him.)
Patrick Henry is some distance from the stadium. Great America Pkwy (“G.A.P.”) and Tasman is on the route to it, but is only half way to Patrick Henry. There are 2 hotels (cabs, bars, bathrooms, front desk staff, security cameras,…), a convention center, and 2 businesses (more cameras) at that corner. Nearby, on Tasman, is a light-rail station. Judging from the satellite views, it is likely his parking lot was the Blue parking lot. On a Monday evening, I doubt he used a parking space around an office building on Patrick Henry or Tasman. (There are several bus stops on Patrick Henry and Tasman.)
It seems reasonable that his phone stopped working before he got to the car. Perhaps it quit before he realized he was lost (if he was).
San Thomas Aquino Creek is between the stadium and G.A.P. Calabazas Creek is just beyond Patrick Henry. Literally, this area has had no measurable rain for 6 months, so there wouldn’t be much water. I’ve no personal experience with either, but both appear in satellite photos to be about 10 to 15’ wide, but I expect they are quite shallow. Yes, an unconscious person could drown, but I can’t see a body being moved downstream. However, approximately a half mile away is a salt pond in Alviso. I have no idea how deep it would be (probably shallow).
He was wearing the home team’s jersey, so it seems less likely that he ran into someone from the opposing team and got into a fight. My impression is that Santa Clara is a pretty safe town, especially in open spaces in the area he was last known to be. To me, the x-factor is the football crowd. There have been a few fights related to 49ers games, but I haven't heard anything about crimes there (not to say there aren't, just that it hasn't made the news).
The girlfriend’s different tidbits about the communications the two had seem possibly inconsistent or at least garbled. But I don’t know that I would recount things any better. She doesn’t seem as emotionally disturbed as I would expect to be. I don't know why she would do a video capture during a Facetime, but I will sometimes accidentally do a screen capture on my iPhone.
One scenario is that he asked for help from someone who recognized he was by himself and not necessarily in control of himself. I’d rather think he met some woman and one thing led to another, leaving him too ashamed to check in with his girlfriend. As bad as that might be, it is better than the first scenario. A life insurance scam seems unlikely (slow payout, if any). Maybe to go missing to avoid someone threatening him?
