BeginnersLuck
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You could be correct in that the perp stupidly thought the bag would go unfounded in this locale.. I definitely agree that the perp was familiar with this area but my feeling is strongly that the perp KNEW WITHOUT A DOUBT THAT THE BAG WOULD BE LOCATED AND COLLECTED AS EVIDENCE..
The "gilded lily" Juicy Couture bag.. its been absolutely paramount in this case from the very start and still remains.. IMO that's no accident, but rather very deliberate in where the bag was placed as well as very deliberate for what was the motive of the Juicy bag to begin with.. for without it IMO this case from the onset would have taken a very different route than what we've seen.. jmo
But back to the placement of the bag being extremely deliberate.. one thing that makes me feel so very strongly about this bag being placed in this specific location with every intention on having it not just found..but found and seized by SAR or LE as evidence WHILE SEARCHING THE SEVERAL MILE RADIUS OF THE FAMILY'S HOME.. that is that just think of the bag with your most basic common sense.. it is direct evidence linked to the victim.. the victim that still remains completely hidden.. concealed.. "DISPOSED OF"..the victim has been successfully(to this point) hidden.. concealed.. "DISPOSED OF"..this perp was of enough sound mind, logical thought processes to have successfully disposed of his victim.. I ask do you really believe that the perp of all the areas, locations, dumpsters, fast food trash cans, gas station dumpsters, reservoirs, ponds.. etc.. etc.. my God the list is endless of places this perp could have made damn sure that this very important key piece of evidence that links directly to his victim WAS NEVER EVER FOUND.. or at the very least made it extremely unlikely and/or difficult to ever find this bag and its all important contents(think burning with nothing but ashes left) ..
Yet none of those things were done.. this bag was within the 2-3mile SAR search radius of the home.. that IMO is no accident.. no coincidence.. no fluke here.. Just with your common sense think why would the perp intentionally drive down Laguna(A DEAD END) ..pullover to that building and either get out and place or pull close enough to successfully toss the bag btwn the cacti and building?? ..when just right there much more successfully have disposed of and hidden the bag by tossing it into the murky blackness of any of those are poo poo ponds??
IMO the reason is simple the perp NEEDED AND INTENDED IT TO BE FOUND WHEN SEARCHING FOR SIERRA.. it needed to be hidden enough to ensure it wasn't accidentally discovered by random person and possibly taken by that person.. nor discovered at all UNTIL THE SEARCH FOR SIERRA WAS UNDERWAY..
that Juicy Couture bag and its contents are not only paramount to us as sleuthers.. MOST IMPORTANTLY THAT BAG IS PARAMOUNT TO OUR PERP IN ESTABLISHING A DIRECTION AWAY FROM HIM, THE REAL PERP, AND AWAY FROM THE REAL CRIME THAT WAS DONE TO HIS VICTIM, SIERRA..
*as always these are nothing but jmo, tho! *
I think when they find Sierra, that will give me a better understanding of the purse placement. My statement was based on what a inexperienced person may do. Someone possibly with lower intelligence, young or unfamiliar with search and rescue operations. I'm sure there are many that would not have any idea how a search is conducted or for that matter think about a search. Why not throw it away at McDonalds or a dumpster? Maybe because of the greater risk of being seen? The pond pictures from the search showed the level very low. Maybe there was only a foot of water? I might be afraid it would float. How would I know if it would float if I hadn't tried it before? For example, if you take a perp that lives with mom or someone else in the country, or a worker that borrows a vehicle and only has a short amount of time to return to where they need to be, the only thought maybe to hide it somewhere and not be seen hiding it. I would rather hide it behind a bush in the middle of nowhere than risk being seen burning it or tossing it into a dumpster (where someone else that opens the dumpster could see it.)
Then there is the other suggestion someone made. It was found and picked up by someone like a worker and then they found out later that it was Sierras so they hid it there. They would not want to draw attention to themselves because of the possiblity of losing their job, being a suspect or fear of deportation.
Many times victims have been found near despite search efforts.
The starving hogs that were found during the search, well I don't even want to go there.
This is looking at it from the perspective of someone that didn't think it out well. Your scenerio is very good also for a thought out plan. I'm just trying to think from all angles.