If she had gotten lost in the woods, she was right
next to the lake, so she could have used the lake as
a frame of reference to get back to the campsite or
at least get herself out in the open where she could
be seen.
Also, she had her celphone with her, and
it didn't shut off until Sunday.
The thing that makes me most suspicious it was a
rape/murder is that when her friend Jordy Bolduc
left the campsite at 1 am, she was the last of
Maddy's friends to leave, and the only people
remaining were Maddy and five people who Jordy said
were strangers. It sounds like these strangers were
the same people who started the fight that had
knocked Jordy into the fire a few minutes before she
left.
The following are some quotes from this article
about the disappearance:
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/48-hours-explores-the-
mysteries-and-murders-along-the-highway-of-tears/
Word had spread (about the party) online. "It was
posted on Facebook, so that's how everybody found
out and went to Hogsback. Big party," said Bolduc.
Asked if there were strangers at the party, Bolduc
told Van Sant, "I know most of them, but the people
that came at the very end of the party, I did not
know. I had no idea who they were."
At one point, the party got a bit rough. "People got
up and started a fight behind me and I bounced into
the fire," she explained.
Jordy Bolduc was injured, so her boyfriend carried
her to his truck and told Maddy they were leaving.
"What did she say to you?" Van Sant asked.
"She was just like shocked," Bolduc replied. "She's
like, 'Really, you're going?' and I was like, 'Yeah,
I'm going.' And she kinda begged me and then I was
like, 'Well, you can come with us ... and she said
no ... she wanted just to stay there with her tent
for it to be safe."
"Did she tell you she thought it would be safe?"
"Yeah, she said she thought it would be fine," said
Bolduc.
"What time did you leave the party?" Van Sant asked.
"Hmmmm, I left around 1 [a.m.]," she said.
Investigators have focused a lot of attention on
Bolduc and the last people to leave the party.
"Common sense dictates that Jordy was a suspect. She
was one of the last people ... who spoke with
Maddy," said Sgt. Ken Floyd of the RCMP.
"I was probably talked to every single day for three
months," Bolduc explained. "I went in for like two
polygraphs."
"And the result?" Van Sant asked.
"They said I aced it. I aced the polygraph," she
replied in a whisper.
"Jordy is no longer a suspect," said Constable Tom
Wamsteeker of the RCMP.
(Although the police said they questioned everyone
at the party, I don't see how they could have known
who those very last people at the party were because
they were strangers. Jordy and her friends would
not have known their names.)