No problem. The location, the terrain, and the seemingly short timeframe is what really caught my attention on this case. It seemed to be either incredibly random or a skillful predator with a plan. I can't make sense of it being anything in between.
I can too. Multiple people. That is why I feel they are off the bridge and he is already leading them when that clip was recorded. I think they chose that to release because it is easy to discern the words said and it seems to be one voice only. I hate thinking about it, but I would imagine there was not a lot they could get that didn't have the voices of the girls.
The lower likelihood of it being a chance encounter indicates they have evidence that there was pre-planning.
I feel like they may have said that the voice may not be the same as the guy in the picture. I think this may be to encourage someone who feels they recognize the voice, but not the picture or vice versa, to come forward with the tip and not try to decide for themselves- "That sounds like _____, but the picture doesn't look like him."
The possibility of another perp is very unsettling, but if there is another guy, I think it will make it easier to solve. There would be a lot of stress between two offenders over the video and audio evidence. I am really curious if they have something on that tape that leads them to believe there is an additional perp or if they just aren't ruling it out.
No problem. I hear what sounds like a "g" sound, but I can't be sure what it is, so I'm trying to focus on the things that we've been given as fact. It is hard to do.
The audio up now seems to have had the background noise removed. By the, way, that is an excellent quote by Emerson.
As a father of young girls, this case has me really shaken. Watching the press conference, I just got the feeling that LE is having a very difficult time with this one emotionally and I think a lot of it is because of what's on that tape.
Yes, the Emerson quote is a favorite. And I think your point about the picture and the voice being potentially confusing is well-taken, and I agree that there is little audio that doesn't include the voices of the girls, which means there is audio of the crime. This is chilling.
Do you hear two audios after the background was removed? I heard "get" in the one I listened to on the official site after the presser (much clearer than the one at the presser that was so garbled), and then another on the official site later today. Did they alter it again?
I've thought a lot about this case based on what we know, what's not being said and how tight this investigation and release of info is, and now that my belief that the video stills of the suspect came from Libby's phone is confirmed, how much the video/audio tells the story.
I don't think this was a social media facilitated encounter. I think Libby was too smart to be baited on social media, her grandfather said he had talked to her about safety, he seemed to know how to check her social media/who she may have been in contact with when they were concerned about her, so he's no dummy about this sort of thing, and she obviously knew what to do, even under stress, because she got the suspect on camera and audio, apparently, as something was starting to happen. I may be wrong, but I don't think social media is center stage here.
I believe there is only one perp, that he is a skilled hunter, that he is very familiar with that geography, and had scoped out and planned how to do this sort of crime in that environment. I think it was not an accident that he was there on a school holiday where potential victims would be present. And I think he caught sight of the girls and not only were they alone, they were perhaps observed to be not paying attention to their surrounding, caught up in their activities, perhaps not always close to one another, and moving farther away from other people and toward more isolated terrain.
I really think this is too bold a crime, with two victims to manage, and where a phone is involved (I would think that he saw Libby snapping pics or texting because I think he was stalking them) for it to simply be random chance, or a spontaneous attempt by an inexperienced predator who saw these girls and decided to grab them. (However, maybe he didn't realize she had a phone because I would think he would have searched for that right away.)
I don't think he's just a drifter, but perhaps he comes and goes and knows that area from having lived there, or he is simply a resident hiding in plain sight. In either case, I think he is attracted to that location because it offers victims and terrain that makes his preferred crime relatively easy. I say this because of the ease he seems to have had in moving the girls to his preferred location, completing this crime on someone's private property, and in what seems to be pretty short order.
As far as his clothing and what appears to be layers, he could have been packing rope, zip ties, some sort of incapacitating device or chemical, a weapon such as a knife or a gun, and any number of things he uses in his crime. I do think he was dressed both not out of the norm, and in a way that disguised his features and any items he would use in his crime.
I also think he's not the brightest bulb at the end of the day, because if a 14 year old victim can see you coming and posing a threat and keep it together enough to get you on video and audio, you have not done your homework well enough to ensure not getting caught. I think these types of individuals can be smart as far as their predator instincts lending them to cunning behaviors and strategies, but they are so lacking in complex emotions and genuine inspiration or expanded ideas, they always have a blind spot. They have a dullness to them. As a friend of mine said, "Evil is creative, but unintelligent".
FWIW. I could be entirely wrong about all of this.