The question is, was she followed, or was she encountered?
She was only two miles from her parent's house, so I think she probably didn't use a vehicle to get there, that she had run to where she was shot.
Obviously being shot in the back gives us a couple of scenarios. One is that she had her earbuds in, and someone came up behind her unheard, and shot her. The second is that she saw the perp, turned and was shot as she tried to escape. It's hard to know what they found to make them believe she knew her killer. However statistically it is more likely to be killed by someone you know. The shotgun is interesting. It's not the easiest weapon to hide, so I would think that a car was involved as people would notice someone walking along with a shotgun. I don't think it was random. I have some suspicions but unless more is revealed by the police I don't want to speculate.
She was only two miles from her parent's house, so I think she probably didn't use a vehicle to get there, that she had run to where she was shot.
Obviously being shot in the back gives us a couple of scenarios. One is that she had her earbuds in, and someone came up behind her unheard, and shot her. The second is that she saw the perp, turned and was shot as she tried to escape. It's hard to know what they found to make them believe she knew her killer. However statistically it is more likely to be killed by someone you know. The shotgun is interesting. It's not the easiest weapon to hide, so I would think that a car was involved as people would notice someone walking along with a shotgun. I don't think it was random. I have some suspicions but unless more is revealed by the police I don't want to speculate.
OK so Im only up to page 26, so forgive me if anything I ask has already been answered. Firstly I want to thank Combatmedic for sharing what he has with us.
Alexs mom said she didnt take her phone when she went on her run. Why wouldnt she? Just about every runner I know, myself included, takes their phone with them on a run. We even buy waterproof cases worn on a belt or on our arms to keep them dry. They are cheap and easily available. Our phones arent just taken in case of emergency. Runners often have apps that record the route, the time taken to run it, the speed we run etc. Runners seem to be a curious breed (and I include myself in this) who love stats and it seems odd that Alex appeared to be a serious runner but would leave her phone behind? Plus wasnt it said that she was listening to music (gonna have to check back) but if she was then why would that be on anything but a smart phone which could save all the data from her run on it also? Shes also a woman running in a rural area alone. Runners dont like getting stranded injured somewhere so it would seem logical that she would take her phone to contact someone if she needed help. Moms explaination of her leaving the phone behind really doesnt make sense to me.
Secondly it was reported that she ran that route every day for years, but also reported she had just moved back to her parents, and commuted 90 minutes or so to work, so why would she drive 90 minutes or so several times a week to run one route? Answer? She didnt. That just doesnt make sense. Once in a while to run there, sure I can see that, but I cant imagine she would drive all that way and back for years, for her regular routine run. Something stinks here.
There was a car involved, per a witness account that a light colored (possibly white or tan) 4 door sedan was seen speeding down the road around the time Ally was shot. What we (the public) don't know is if LE has ever found the light colored car or if they are still looking for it.
The choice of a shotgun is interesting. In the south where I grew up it wasn't unusual for folks to have a shotgun in their vehicle. But it was more common during the hunting season and most who did were in their pickup or SUV. Their hunting or farm vehicle.
If this was a sedan and in the summer, I don't see this as someone who kept a shotgun in their vehicle all the time. Unlikely, not ruling it out, but unlikely. On one point, if a sheriff or game warden caught them in the summer, especially with buckshot in the gun that is likely to end up as citation for poaching.
So someone in a sedan just happens to be out driving with a shotgun in the vehicle. One, they could've have gone to some public land (I don't if there is any in that area) and wanted to pattern their shotgun and this is a crime of opportunity. OR, two, they were driving with the gun in the car with murder on their mind - i.e., premeditated - either to shoot just anyone or Alex specifically. I believe a shotgun or rifle makes it more likely to be premeditated.
In any case, they don't appear to be very familiar with shooting shotguns if they only got one hit with one round out of 4 or 5. Alex was probably a very fast runner, but her speed can't compare to a deer or a dove. I suppose the shooter got nervous or excited, but I'm still leaning toward an inexperienced shooter here.
Plenty of recreational hunting options in and around Holly, MI:
http://www.michigandnr.com/publicat...tat/SGA/Holly_Wildlife_Unit_Holly_SRA_map.pdf
I might have said this before but the choice of the shotgun could have had more to do with him thinking she would surely comply from the site of it alone and she wasn't having it and bolted. Now she's seen his face and car and can identify, he cant catch her so he starts blasting.
Plenty of recreational hunting options in and around Holly, MI:
http://www.michigandnr.com/publicat...tat/SGA/Holly_Wildlife_Unit_Holly_SRA_map.pdf
I like itEveryone else may believe it's one hell of a reach for my conclusions that not only was it obviously a highly personal confrontation, but an eye opening occasion to the killer as they clearly 'did not know Ally' in her true self or abilities.
Yes, but Alexandra was murdered in July. The deer and bear seasons didn't open till mid September and elk season in late August. LE never did say what she was shot with, but Michigan game laws state that if you're caught with a shotgun with buckshot larger than #3 or a rifled slug outside the season that is a violation.
I like it
You just had to magnify my misspelling didn't you. Hahaha, kidding.
On a side note, I was thinking, and I realize that could be dangerous, but I hope they checked and double checked to see if there might be a jealous female out there somewhere. You know just to cover all their bases.
I like it
You just had to magnify my misspelling didn't you. Hahaha, kidding.
On a side note, I was thinking, and I realize that could be dangerous, but I hope they checked and double checked to see if there might be a jealous female out there somewhere. You know just to cover all their bases.