Yes drownings happen all of the time and yes, Great South Bay and the Fire Island Inlet have some really nasty currents in some places. Heck, less than half a mile south of Oak Beach is one of the strongest currents in that area.
BUT.... with that being said, the likelihood of someone "falling" into the water at Oak Beach in the vicinity of where SG was last seen, drowning, and then having their body NEVER recovered is extremely rare. As a matter of fact, I challenge anyone to prove that this has ever been the case throughout the entire history of Oak Beach. The Robert Moses Causeway and Ocean Parkway were built in the 1950's. So from the mid 1950's until 2011, how many of those millions of people who visited Oak Beach have ever
- Fallen in the water.
- Drowned.
- Body swept away from Oak Beach.
- Body NEVER recovered anywhere, ever?
Please don't reply for "The Rockaways", or for Boaters, or for swimmers in the ocean at any of the State Parks. If we are going to examine this rationally and scientifically, then please exam the facts based upon where SG was last seen running for her life. As someone who grew up on the bay and has launched boats, jet ski's and kayaks with friends & family at the Oak Beach Boat Ramp hundreds of times, fished this beach from the bridge to the inlet and back to the bridge walking in the water with waders hundreds of times and cruised/fished this body of water by boat thousands of times in my lifetime, I'm telling you that there is no way SG drowned and was swept away that night never to be found.
Nope. IMPOSSIBLE. If she's not on land somewhere (hopefully still alive) then she was put into the water elsewhere, not via the shoreline at Oak Beach near the homes of Oak Beach Association. If the weather around here ever clears up I'll shoot a video and upload it to prove my point. In the meantime, you are going to have to trust the authorities are aware of this too and that is why they NEVER searched the South Great South Bay side of the beach for her body. They too know that such a theory simply does not make any sense.
To understand this you have to know a great deal about this specific beach and the behavior of the tides and currents here. I will leave you with one spec of thought about this so you can fully appreciate what I'm saying;
You never once hear anyone with a home on Oak Beach complain about BEACH EROSION. That's because the water at the very edge of the shoreline here is CALM and TRANQUIL. The currents are further out, not along the beach. No CURRENT= No EROSION.
Think about it.