What a shame, Brian's case so cold.
From the looks of it, it wasn't all that hot to begin with.
I'm still reading backwards through the first thread, and mapping it out for myself.. but it sounds like the police were convinced it was voluntary (perhaps even a prank, seeing it was April 1st), and they never veered far from that. The logical conclusion would be that he left with someone through the back door, not that he had dressed as a woman and sneaked out the front.
Then when he didn't show up, they switched to thinking he snuck out, and had an accident of some sort. Not that I blame them tho, the tried to crack the case, but it just seems odd how much effort they initially put on proving he had left the bar, yet interrogation of the bar staff, and the band (by far the likeliest people he would have gone with) seem to have been covered with "seen him?", "No", "K then, thanks for your help".
Who were the band btw? I've not seen anyone name them.. and I'd assume you can pick up any local paper from the week before and there's an ad for the bar saying who's playing that weekend. Even the worst dives usually do that, right?
The weirdest part of the investigation was the claim that they tested the bar for blood, and found none. None? The place is pretty much a dive, full of drunken college kids, and it's a restaurant (although based on the reviews, not much of a one). Not a drop of blood? No fights, no broken glass, no fish guts dropped on the floor? Not a single drop of blood? If you spray Luminol in a a regular bar, it's like looking at the milky way, there's bodily fluids everywhere. Either they're hire the same cleaners hospitals use for operating rooms, or the statement from LE is bogus. They probably just looked around, because they didn't suspect foul play.
I'm not saying there was blood to be found, just that LE seemed to have made up their mind on it pretty early on. Obviously, a fight would be noticed, so it's unlikely anything happened inside the bar. It's far more likelier that as the bar was closing, and they were busy closing down, shoving people towards the doors, he could have just been ignored; people tend not to notice you if you look like you belong, maybe he was talking to the band, or a staff member, so nobody paid attention to him. It's like magic act, misdirection, the guy simply walks through the back door while you're locking the front door.
Then again, the sleuths haven't been too hot either, with the whole hitchhiking/buried in concrete debates I've slogged through. It's a two story light commercial building (if I've got the address right.. there seems to be two locations for the cellphone glitch, so I'm hedging on all the locations) not an open pit mine. There's only like two places to hide a body in a construction site like that, the wet wall, and the elevator shaft. There's not enough earth moving with heavy equipment to miss a body, there aren't deep foundation pillars to pour, the foundation slab is probably no more than 12 inches deep.. an accident seems impossible, and even a deliberate act seems far fetched.
And why would he hitchhike? He lived six blocks away, three west, three south, half a mile total (again, if I have the location right). What are the odds that you find someone who just happens to be going the same way? Or did he hitchhike three blocks, then find another ride for the other three blocks? He was a 27 year old athletic man, surely he could, and regularly would walk half a mile? And since it's a residential area, there isn't that much through traffic expected anyways, he must have been prepared to walk. It seems unlikely he died violently en-route home, because on that route, he couldn't just be rolled over into a ditch, or a ravine, or river, he'd have been found on someone's driveway, or a rose bush.
Straight out odds are, he left with someone, through the back entrance, got into a vehicle, went to another location, and ended up dead somehow. I'm doubtful the..(I want to say fire exit?, employee exit?) camera was working. It was supposed to turn on when motion was detected if I understood the system correctly, how would they know if it didn't work? The footage from a camera that doesn't record anything due to a malfunction looks exactly the same as a camera that doesn't record anything because there is no motion. to detect
I think the friend is a red herring, way too much is made of his lawyering up, and refusing a lie detector. I'd do both.. because "anything you say, can and will be used against you in a court of law" is meant to be taken literally. Anything you say, can be used. Anything you say, no matter how innocent, will (might) be used. And nothing you say can be used FOR you. It's not a risk I'm willing to take. Also, because I couldn't pass the test, it would be "inconclusive"; you can't really test people who know how the test works.
The real killer (or body hider, if it was an accidental death) is most likely found with the staff, or the band. I've lived in college towns, waitresses come and go a lot, and the bars geared towards the younger crowd tend to hire the.. I'm thinking of a polite way to say slutty.. the.. personable types? Brian was (allegedly) thinking about marriage, which is a big step, and he wasn't a bad looking guy, it's possible he wanted to.. sow some oats for the last time before taking the plunge.
Or it could be he decided to go somewhere with the band, musicians tend to flock together. I used to date a (locally) well known musician, the band she was in was pretty mediocre imho, but they had gigs all over the country; bars, small concerts.. they were just starting to get some radio play when we broke up. Point being, she always run into musicians, and she was always partying with them, no matter where she was (part of why we broke up). It's not impossible that Brian could have talked to the band, or that they left together.
I'd certainly like to know what the staff did that night, what the band did, if they had a gig somewhere else with a handy body-dumping location on the way there. Or maybe find out if a waitress left town the following day.
Assuming the cellphone ping was real, (which I doubt), it would suggest a general direction of travel. And looking at Google satellite images, there seems to be, along the most direct route from the bar to the ping location, what looks like a quarry lake, likely an older pit connected to the working.. I'm guessing from the color, and the geography, a granite quarry a bit to the north? Five, six levels deep, 15 feet per level.. easy 700 feet of water, with big rocks all around.. it's a pretty good place to sink a body.
But realistically, a phone, of any kind, wouldn't still have power after six months. It can't have been on standby that long. Even completely off, it might have lost charge, depending on the battery condition and how much it had left. But, maybe the phone was really active for a while. It could have been left in the car, and thrown out later, accidentally turned on after being thrown in the woods. Stranger things have happened.
Which reminds me, when the reports say they tried to call him when he was in the bar, and "it went to voicemail", is that straight to voicemail (as if the phone was off), or it rang, and then wen to voicemail (as in, he wasn't picking up). If it was off, then the odds of it having been turned on later are better. The killer might not have known the phone existed, it could have been under a seat, wedged somewhere. If the killer turned it off, or broke it, then it would likely be disposed of alongside the body, and it was just a system glitch.
Would be interesting to know if any of the (former) staff, or the band members live somewhere in the (alleged) ping area, or would drive past it on their way to work or something. But I guess since they say they didn't talk to, or see Brian, they're in the clear; as we know, no murderer has ever lied to the police. Just seems like the logical options were excluded from the start, while everyone was busy trying to disprove the impossible ones. And the information is oddly scarce on the details for such a highly publicized case. Why can't anyone name the band? Why can't people even agree on the number of doors in the bar? I've seen it range from 1 to 5. It's like people were so caught up on the mystery, they ignored the basics.
Btw, I'm not going after you personally with the critique, I just happened to start replying to you.. and, I've been thinking about this all day so it kinda poured out.. just needed to post it before I lost my train of thought, and to be honest, I just like how this thing starts.