I don't know if any of what's going on in my brain really makes sense even to me, but lately I've been spending a lot of time contemplating the perp and how he would have picked Holly, why he picked Holly and just generally who he is.
1. I think Holly's chances of being selected as a random victim of opportunity are about nil. Maybe the perp initially picking her at random to fixate on, but not just happening to drive past her house in the middle of nowhere, where you can't see the garage from the road, and deciding to wander up and see if there happened to be a pretty young woman around.
2. I don't think that Holly would have stayed silent to her parents and big brother if there were someone in her life that was making her uncomfortable. She would have told someone if she were threatened or felt she were being stalked or watched.
3. Holly herself is a low risk victim, that was taken in a high risk abduction. She was stable, not a real hard partier from what we have heard, did not seem to have a substance or gambling problem, typical college girl still living at her rural home with her family and seemingly, her older brother. She didn't seem to have a million boyfriends and seemed to prefer her church to any wild scene. Extremely low risk. However, her abduction was broad daylight, in a small community, at her home, with a potential witness and under circumstances where she was bound to be found missing pretty quickly, whether her brother was home or not. I'm having a hard time reconciling this part.
4. I think her abductor is a local, but not necessarily a long time local. Hunting seems to be a big pastime in just about any season in that part of TN. If he is an avid hunter or outdoorsman, it could have taken him only a couple of years to get the lay of the land and know those woods as well as anyone else that's lived there forever. If people that have lived there their whole lives are overwhelmed by the community response, I think he is as well.
5. I think the perp is a planner, likely someone that would be described as intense, a planner. In fact, I think he plans too much. I think he planned this out much more than he needed to, partly because he can't help himself, partly to make the whole scene fit his fantasy. His fantasy was to carry her off into the woods, or off into the sunset might be more how he sees it, even though it would have been much safer and smarter to just put her in the car, and either drive off with her or make her drive off somewhere. That way there would have been no crime scene at all, no blood, no car, no items left behind, and she might have gone a full 24 hours without being reported. Possibly longer if he could have made her call or text her family. But he didn't, he walked her across her backyard in daylight, and into the woods...
6. I think he has been involved in the search for two reasons, it's a small town where everyone is involved in the search, so it would look suspicious if he weren't a part of it, and because he likes the attention, even though no one knows it's him. He's not a genius, there were much smoother ways to pull this off, but every day that it goes on and every time that someone talks about how smart the perp is, he gets an ego boost. He's going to be reading the news, and buying the papers, but he's also going to be that guy on the search team that is glowing at the end of the day when everyone else is withering from heat and exhaustion.
That's not all of it, but I needed to clear my brain a little. As always, MOO.