Found Safe TN - Mary Catherine Elizabeth Thomas, 15, Maury County, 13 March 2017 #2

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Observations by me :

1) Cummins and ET had a relationship that spans back quite awhile.
2) A reasonable person would have to conclude there was a lot more going on between them other than a little flirting and some classroom petting.
3) No one knows how much time these two spent together away from the school.
4) From the day he was fired, until ET was picked up, 5 weeks went by.
5) Although ET appears to be a somewhat willing participant, it’s unclear if she was fully aware of the scope and planning involved on the part of Cummins. This is evidenced by her comment to the sibling about what should be done were she not home by 6 p.m.---ET herself may have noticed erratic and desperate behavior on the part of Cummins.
6) Cummins became unglued after he was fired on Feb. 6th. He had 5 weeks to get his finances in order, find a place to hide, research LE techniques, research disappearing techniques, and setup a safe refuge for the two of them. I imagine this is what he did all day long, every single day, up until March 13th.
7) I find it almost impossible to believe that Cummins’ wife didn’t have knowledge of the school systems’ allegations, suspension, and written correspondence related to such. Cummins may very well have convinced her that he was being unfairly treated and persecuted by the school system.


Conclusion by me:

1) More than likely Cummins and ET have heavily disguised themselves. I would imagine that anytime they are driving down the highway, Cummins makes sure that ET is hidden from view of passing motorists. The same would apply if he went into a store, a gas station, or a restaurant. Seeing him by himself, without ET, nobody would look at him twice. I can go to my local Wal-Mart and see 10 guys walking around that resemble him within an hour. Without her in tow, nobody is going to pay him any attention. Everybody is on the lookout for a 50 year old man in the company of a 15 year old girl. Individually, and away from one another, neither one will stand out. This basically means they can hide in plain sight.
2) Eventually, the cat-and-mouse game of being a fugitive will get old to ET. I think more than likely she will walk into a gas station or a restaurant someday and tell the person behind the counter that she is the girl everyone is looking for. When she decides she’s tired of the fugitive game, things will begin to unravel for Cummins. Being on the road and living in truck stop motels will get old after awhile to a 15 year old. Life with “Big Tad” won’t be quite as much fun as she envisioned it to be. She’ll grow to miss her friends, family, social media, pets, and running around with kids her own age. The paranoia generated by constantly looking over your shoulder, coupled with never getting a good nights sleep will eventually lead to Cummins becoming increasingly erratic and irritable. She’s going to witness this, and not like it much.
3) I don’t believe that Cummins will harm her should she decide to give herself up, with or without his permission. I don’t think Cummins himself will give up though, because he knows by now that he has nothing to go back home for. Nothing. Under the best case scenario, he’ll be in prison until he’s 65-70 years old. Nope, all I see left for Cummins is a bullet to the head as LE begins to surround his hideout and pull out the bullhorns.

I agree with all of these except one. I feel like TC may not be so willing to let her go. That's not to say she won't escape but I can't imagine he'll just leave her to turn herself in. I feel like he is still going to try to make a run for it and at this point, she knows too much. If she goes to LE she is going to have enough information on him that he won't be able to run for long.
 
Close, Health Occupations Students of America

Yes.

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http://culleokaschoolmauryk12.ss9.sharpschool.com/cms/one.aspx?portalId=227687&pageId=525146
 
I'd guess that Cummins is clean shaven and looks about 20 years younger at this point, mainly thanks to the hair dye. Him and ET may have shared that package of Clairol. Publishing pictures of him when he was about 30 years old and clean shaven would be a good idea if such pictures exist.

I tend to agree, that changing their appearance would be something they'd both do. In the media packet released, TC mentions this site he created http://cryforholiness.faithweb.com/index.html

I have no idea how old he is there, but this is a photo of him on that site, rather clean shaven and looking quite a bit different.

TCUMMINS.jpg
 
Another thing that's popped up in my mind that has me more 'concerned' is the 'jesus freak' religious angle of this. If he is 'using' religion as a means to an end, he could possibly be heading towards the lifestyle...... david koresh/jim jones/etc.

Using god to justify an unconventional relationship and true love, been done many times throughout time. Possibly heading towards that end? I do also believe if they get cornered, he will take his own life, but spare hers. Just a gut feeling.. ... but it will depend on what SHE does at that point. I do NOT think he will hurt her.
 
Does anyone know when an AA becomes Nationwide? I am sure it costs alot of money so I didn't know when or if that happens. These two could literally be anywhere at this point. I live in the Northeast right off interstate 95 which runs from Maine to Florida. Anytime I am on the interstate I am keeping my eye out but the big boards that hand above the interstate have no mention of the AA. So many people don't even know!
 
Another thing that's popped up in my mind that has me more 'concerned' is the 'jesus freak' religious angle of this. If he is 'using' religion as a means to an end, he could possibly be heading towards the lifestyle...... david koresh/jim jones/etc.

Using god to justify an unconventional relationship and true love, been done many times throughout time. Possibly heading towards that end? I do also believe if they get cornered, he will take his own life, but spare hers. Just a gut feeling.. ... but it will depend on what SHE does at that point. I do NOT think he will hurt her.

On top of everything else, the religious angle has also been bothering me ever since I saw his IG.
 
Yup. The teddy bear he brought on top of the items we see him carrying out shows he was thinking a lot to keep her happy.

Whatever place he chose he most likely let her help him decide. So maybe we should be thinking what place she would like the most.

ETA Some girls do like camping a lot too. I am not sure if she was the type that liked camping out.

Can you link to teddy bear image/video?

In the longer Walmart video he has his cell phone. The screen looks like a Walmart webpage product shot. When he walks away with his back to us and the hair dye in the cart, he seems to be looking down at his phone. The box seems to be in position to take a photo of it to send to her and find out if it's the right one?
 
I pretty much disagree with the idea that they are in a campground or a national park. It takes a lot of gear, groceries, and liquids to survive in a camping type situation for any length of time. There is a large turnover of visitors and strangers coming in and out during all times of the night and day. Depending on where it is, it may also put you well out of internet and phone access. There hasn't been any indication that I know of that Cummins took along a bunch of camping supplies and groceries, which is exactly what you would need in order to "rough it" for a couple of weeks. He's got a 15 year old girl in tow that is used to taking showers, washing her hair, using an indoor toilet, and sleeping in a nice soft bed. I don't think he would attempt to thrust her into a mountain-man lifestyle even for a short time, it's too much of a change too quick.

I envision them staying at one of those cheap motels that you can rent by the week, maybe even a cottage or a cabin in some privately owned get-away resort. I have little doubt that Cummins probably picked up a burner phone at a Dollar store, activated it, and bought about 400 minutes worth of airtime so he could at least monitor things. Keep in mind, most of the smartphones and androids on the market today have internet access and wi-fi built into them. For about $70 bucks, you can be completely outfitted and largely anonymous. That means he could get free internet access if he is within range of a McDonalds, a Wal-mart, a truckstop, or dozens of other businesses that normally have public access to wi-fi. Many motels offer free internet access to their customers. That means that Cummins has the same ability to surf the net and read the same things all of us are reading, including this Websleuths forum, and he may be able to do it free of charge.

As I stated earlier this morning, I think he and ET traveled well out of the initial Amber Alert zone within the first 24 hours. The key to him being unrecognized is to keep her hidden and out of sight. If he's alone, nobody is going to look at him twice if he walks into a convenience store and buys beer or goes to a gas station and fills up with gas. He'll pay for everything with cash of course. As long as the two of them are not seen together, then the average Joe on the street will never connect the dots. His car and license plate would be the biggest giveaway, but that's only if someone is even aware of the Amber Alert and has the ability to pull the plate number up and verify it at the time. I think it's safe to say that your average citizen isn't all that diligent, especially if they are out of the Alert Zone. Since this has been broadcast on all of the major news outlets by now, the chances of somebody five States away actually recognizing him is getting higher. The longer he keeps ET hidden in a room and out of sight, the longer this is going to take. This guy had at least 5 weeks to research and hatch this scheme, and he isn't a dumb person (by definition anyway), so it actually makes sense that he could've managed to get off the grid and get hidden very well in the 24 hours before the Amber Alert went out. For some reason, I think they headed west towards Texas, New Mexico, Arizona, using Interstate 10 and 20 to get where they wanted to go. Whatever and wherever locations he may have shown on his Instagram account...........figure the exact opposite of that.
 
While I have not noticed any local news -radio- Billboards with ET Amber alert, I have saw the national coverage. Last night I had a work meeting at a pub style restaurant where they have 50 flat screens playing all different news and sports channels . During the time I was there, her picture was shown on 7 times on various national channels. ( Some where just recaps of earlier stories from earlier in the day) A group of young college age kids where at the bar across from me and where talking about it after they saw her picture. ( They where saying how common it is to be hit on or flirted with by teachers and mentors and that relationships happen more then we know)
So at least they're getting her picture out there. I'm in NJ . At least people are talking about it, they'll hopefully remember her face after having a conversation about it.
 
I think they headed west too and are under the radar. States like Texas, Missouri, New Mexico, Arizona in areas with little to no cell or internet service so as anyone who lives in these towns have no clue who they are.

No way would they go north (too cold), nor east or south as those areas are too congested and they could easily be spotted.
 
I wonder if any of his friends, church friends, colleagues, neighbours has a seasonal cabin that he knows won't be in use for a few more months and has bunkered down there until they move again?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

to add to that (my updates in bold):

Mon. Jan. 23, 2017 Cummins and Thomas were caught kissing

Tues., Jan. 24, 2017: Culleoka Unit School administration was notified by a student concerning an allegation of contact witnessed between Cummins and a student. The complaint stated, “It wasn’t like a make out kiss, just a peck on the lips.” Culleoka Unit School Administration gathered all information that day from the student who was said to have witnessed the alleged inappropriate contact.

Wed., Jan. 25, 2017: MCPS Chief of Staff, Dr. Amanda Hargrove, was contacted by Culleoka Unit School administration, and Dr. Hargrove immediately began an investigation.

Thurs., Jan. 26 – Mon., Jan. 30, 2017: As per Board policy 5.500 and 6.305, Dr. Hargrove and staff investigated the allegations by interviewing all pertinent parties, including students, staff and administration.

Fri., Jan. 27, 2017: The student named in the alleged concern was removed from Cummins’ class and schedule by Culleoka Unit School Administration.

Tues., Jan. 31, 2017: MCPS administration was notified by law enforcement that Cummins was the subject of a criminal investigation. MCPS turned over all known information and documentation to law enforcement about the recent allegations against Cummins at Culleoka Unit School, which were still under investigation by MCPS.

Tues. Jan. 31, 2017 Thomas' father was just now informed about the investigation and that the school found nothing to substantiate the claim.

Fri., Feb. 3, 2017: Late Friday afternoon, MCPS received an allegation that Cummins had been in contact with the same student, despite explicit directives from his supervisor not to interact.

Thomas was given in-school suspension for showing up in his classroom.

Mon., Feb. 6, 2017: At 8 a.m., Dr. Hargrove met with Cummins and suspended him from his duties at Culleoka Unit School.

March 13 - both Cummins and Thomas disappear together.

March 14 - Cummins’ final termination from MCPS was prompted by his allegedly fleeing the area on March 13, reported to MCPS by law enforcement. A termination document was finalized by MCPS.
 
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