Let's use a little inductive reasoning here...
CAs actions to this point (these are FACTS):
Initially (at least) lied to LE
Has spent all of her time since her initial arrest in jail or home confinement
Faces charges of child neglect and obstruction of LE Investigation
ASSERTION:
I think everyone would have to agree that CA is, in general, a selfish person. Stealing from and lying to friends and family is the biggest indication of that. Regardless of whether you think Caylee is dead or alive, you cannot really argue with that observation. Every decision CA makes is made with the focus being "What is in it for me?" This is not necessarily a fact, but I think it would be hard to claim that it is not true.
Taking into account CAs actions and her selfish personality, I would argue that one of the following four scenarios is true:
Scenario #1: CA believes that Caylee is alive and she also knows who has her and where she is.
What is in it for CA to spend time in jail or in home confinement while being confronted with charges of child neglect and a probable prison sentence? Nothing.
Is it logical that a selfish person would be willing to endure these things to protect the person who has Caylee? Or would it be more logical in this scenario that a selfish person would be tired of having no freedom and would tell LE the truth for her own sake?
This scenario does not fit.
Scenario #2: CA believes that Caylee is alive, but does NOT know where she is.
CAs actions gain her nothing id this is true.
Again, would a selfish person rather cooperate with LE and try to assist in finding their child or would they attempt to mislead LE so that they could remain confined and possibly face prison?
This scenario does not fit, either.
Scenario #3: CA does not believe that Caylee is alive and does not know where she is.
CA has gained nothing by lying to LE and spending time in jail or house arrest if this scenario is true.
Logic would dictate that in this scenario, a selfish person would have no reason to be uncooperative with police and would cherish the media coverage and the opportunity to be the victim. This would be the dream scenario for CA. She could be famous AND everyone would love her
CAs actions do not fit this scenario at all.
Scenario #4: CA does not believe that Caylee is alive and knows where she is.
This scenario implies that either CA is responsible for Caylee's death or knows who IS responsible.
If a selfish person is responsible for the death, it seems logical that they would lie or withhold information to conceal their guilt and, possibly, would display no emotion regarding their loss.
This scenario fits with CAs actions.
If they simply know who is responsible but refuse to disclose the correct information to LE, then logic would dictate that they are trying to protect the killer or they are afraid of the killer.
Would a selfish person sit in jail and face prison to protect someone else? Highly unlikely. There is nothing to personally gain through those actions. In fact, they are the actions of a completely unselfish person, a proverbial martyr.
This does not fit with CA.
On the other hand, if they fear the killer, would a selfish person lie to police, sit in jail and take the blame for the murder? Possibly. If they genuinely fear for their own lives, they have something to gain by taking the blame.
This scenario may fit with CAs actions.
So, out of all of these scenarios, the only two that make any sense both indicate that Caylee is no longer alive.
I invite anyone to examine my logic and try to find the holes in it.
However, if you agree with this logic but still maintain that Caylee is alive, then you must also believe that CA is not nearly as selfish as her history indicates, since that is the only non-factual piece that this logic is based upon and the wool is definitely over your eyes, IMO.