Great link but circumstances are significantly different in OP's case IMO
All you have stated makes sense
Consider these additional points :
- OP is very recognizable he was so before the event and even more after the event not easy to hide when your face is so well known and your a double amputee
- His large family is implanted in SA for many generations and have deep ties and roots to SA, the community, etc they would all vouch for OP with a stack of affidavits
- The conditions of his bail could be adjusted to take into account the post-verdict situation e.g. no passport, no leaving the country, house arrest, electronic monitoring, larger bail amount, etc many available options
- Not sure about the no income his bail affidavit stated that his income was about $560,000 per annum no details about this income surely some or all of it was from sponsors some or all could be gone but maybe not.
- OP has shown that he has respected the conditions of his bail so far so no immediate reason to doubt that he would not continue to do so.
- The merits and foreseeable success of his Appeal would also play a role
bbm - Not hard to do since he managed to get pretty much all of the conditions taken off... imo I would say he broke the first conditions by appealing so quickly to have them changed after saying he would abide by them. Also, he has left the country and not for purposes of which the conditions had stated, so unless he was also granted the ability to travel the world as long as he gave notice he was leaving the country big frikkin deal.