CoverMeCagney
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The question is, who witnessed the witnesses?
Found Deceased UK - Adrian Lynch, 20, St Lawrence, Jersey, 5 Dec 2015
- Thread starter los2188
- Start date
I've been thinking :thinking: about this. Are these reports of people that residents or taxi/drivers have seen?
Quite possible they are nothing to do with Adrian apart from the fact that they were some of the number of people around during the early hours that night.
These just don't seem to tie in with the positive sightings of Adrian - but WHY haven't they come forward anyway, are people really that insensitive to not offer what help they can when asked (even if of no use so that can be exonerated)?
Also that night could have been particularly busy being pre-Xmas 'works do's'?
I've also been thinking :blushing: about that belt. If you were a little inebriated, a little lost and confused, then could't find your phone/wallet would you perhaps undo your belt, take your trousers off and try to tip everything out of your pockets??? Could that be a reason? IDK.
Nothing makes sense, just IMO.
Thank you for the post about the interview with the police officer. He's voiced what most of us have been thinking - that surely it's more likely to be foul play?
I think the police must be considering homicide, even if they aren't telling us that.
I think the police must be considering homicide, even if they aren't telling us that.
I have to c/p this from the Find Adrian f/book even though it is only a remark/question.
Is it possible that there are private lands that haven't been searched? If so this is so sad, and it may be that once the better weather arrives and owners are out on their land some sign of Adrian could be discovered.
The laws in Jersey must be so different from the rest of the British Isles, in this aspect to their detriment.
IMO.
https://www.facebook.com/groups/423540414506858/?fref=ts
<modsnip>
Is it possible that there are private lands that haven't been searched? If so this is so sad, and it may be that once the better weather arrives and owners are out on their land some sign of Adrian could be discovered.
The laws in Jersey must be so different from the rest of the British Isles, in this aspect to their detriment.
IMO.
https://www.facebook.com/groups/423540414506858/?fref=ts
<modsnip>
CoverMeCagney
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I read that too, Jessie. I think it's quite possible he's on private land, sheltering from the cold behind a shed or something. I don't know how far cadaver dogs were allowed to search but I think I'd want that doing again, certainly around all the properties in the village he was last seen.
I also think it's quite possible he's on private land somewhere. What I absolutely fail to understand is what seems to be residents and owners of private land being uncomfortable/unhappy at letting official searches take place on their properties.
I think this has come up before, and I can appreciate the complaints about unofficial searchers wandering over private areas but I'd like to feel convinced that every measure has been taken for official searches on private property, barns, outhouses, sheds, drainage ditches within at least a 5 km radius of where Adrian was last seen.
With the best of intentions searches aren't properly carried out by non-professionals, so the landholder having a look around (not knowing exactly what to notice) isn't enough imo.
Does this come down to lack of official manpower in Jersey? In the UK professional searchers are brought in from other counties to assist - but apart from two search dogs have they been offered help there?
Many apologies for what may seem a non-constructive and critical post, but I do believe he is close by and waiting to be found and my heart breaks for his family. All IMOO and continued hope.
I think this has come up before, and I can appreciate the complaints about unofficial searchers wandering over private areas but I'd like to feel convinced that every measure has been taken for official searches on private property, barns, outhouses, sheds, drainage ditches within at least a 5 km radius of where Adrian was last seen.
With the best of intentions searches aren't properly carried out by non-professionals, so the landholder having a look around (not knowing exactly what to notice) isn't enough imo.
Does this come down to lack of official manpower in Jersey? In the UK professional searchers are brought in from other counties to assist - but apart from two search dogs have they been offered help there?
Many apologies for what may seem a non-constructive and critical post, but I do believe he is close by and waiting to be found and my heart breaks for his family. All IMOO and continued hope.
YidArmyRach
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Just noticed a poster has been put on Facebook for the "Find Adrian - Islanders willing to help" page. The post is by his mum, and she is asking people to look out for the items he had/was wearing that night, seeing as the police have stopped searching.
Listed as: Yale house key,Fiesta car key, signet ring, blue suit, white shirt and white T shirt.
No mention of passport or driving licence - were those found, or never on him in the first place? I can't remember.
I still can't believe he hasn't been found. Its crazy in such a small, over populated place, that nothing has been found and nobody apparently knows anything - especially when so many people saw him right up to when he went missing. I also can't understand how there is so little mention of Adrian within the social media accounts of all the people I know who live in Jersey.
Listed as: Yale house key,Fiesta car key, signet ring, blue suit, white shirt and white T shirt.
No mention of passport or driving licence - were those found, or never on him in the first place? I can't remember.
I still can't believe he hasn't been found. Its crazy in such a small, over populated place, that nothing has been found and nobody apparently knows anything - especially when so many people saw him right up to when he went missing. I also can't understand how there is so little mention of Adrian within the social media accounts of all the people I know who live in Jersey.
Thanks for that Yid, it's so important to keep Adrian in everyone's minds.
Are you able to c/p the post you refer to and the copy of the flyer they organised to send to everyone in Jersey?
I read it on f/b but I can't get it to reproduce here cos I'm useless at tech stuff
rolleyes Important that we have every bit of information as possible on here I think, never know who is reading. TIA.
Alyce
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YidArmyRach
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Thanks for that Yid, it's so important to keep Adrian in everyone's minds.
Are you able to c/p the post you refer to and the copy of the flyer they organised to send to everyone in Jersey?
I read it on f/b but I can't get it to reproduce here cos I'm useless at tech stuff
Important that we have every bit of information as possible on here I think, never know who is reading. TIA.
I'm probably just as useless at tech stuff. I'll have a go.
Glad to see this article. firstly because it shows that searches are continuing and also the LE is offering (asking?) to search private land etc. I desperately hope that many, many people take up this offer.
http://www.channel103.com/fresh-searches-for-adrian/
Fresh Searches For Adrian
13th April 2016
Adrian-Lynch
People living in and around St Lawrence are being offered police help to search their land for missing islander Adrian Lynch.
The force is providing assisatance to anyone who feels they haven’t been able to do a thorough seach of their property.
The 20 year old disappeared more than four months ago after a Christmas works do.
Detective Chief Inspector Lee Turner, who is leading the investigation into Adrian’s disappearance, has issued an offer of police help for anyone living within a 2 km
radius of Carrefour Selous.
DCI Turner said:
“It’s very possible that Adrian sought shelter that night, perhaps with the intention of lying down to rest and concealing himself for warmth. A large number of outbuildings (sheds, greenhouses, garages etc.) have been searched by police and partner agencies within the designated zones during the extensive searches, in the weeks after Adrian’s disappearance. Many people have already checked their properties themselves, however, due to whatever reason, such as physical impairment for example, some property owners may not have been able to satisfy themselves completely that they have looked as thoroughly as they would have liked.
I am asking that anyone who lives within 2 kilometres of Carrefour Selous in any direction, and who has any concern or doubt as to their property to contact the police on 612612 and we will arrange for an officer to meet with you and check on your behalf in due course.
This offer also applies to any neighbours of unoccupied or derelict sites which they believe may not have been checked. Such properties may already have been searched, but we can verify this against our records, in relation to any concerns.”
http://www.channel103.com/fresh-searches-for-adrian/
Fresh Searches For Adrian
13th April 2016
Adrian-Lynch
People living in and around St Lawrence are being offered police help to search their land for missing islander Adrian Lynch.
The force is providing assisatance to anyone who feels they haven’t been able to do a thorough seach of their property.
The 20 year old disappeared more than four months ago after a Christmas works do.
Detective Chief Inspector Lee Turner, who is leading the investigation into Adrian’s disappearance, has issued an offer of police help for anyone living within a 2 km
radius of Carrefour Selous.
DCI Turner said:
“It’s very possible that Adrian sought shelter that night, perhaps with the intention of lying down to rest and concealing himself for warmth. A large number of outbuildings (sheds, greenhouses, garages etc.) have been searched by police and partner agencies within the designated zones during the extensive searches, in the weeks after Adrian’s disappearance. Many people have already checked their properties themselves, however, due to whatever reason, such as physical impairment for example, some property owners may not have been able to satisfy themselves completely that they have looked as thoroughly as they would have liked.
I am asking that anyone who lives within 2 kilometres of Carrefour Selous in any direction, and who has any concern or doubt as to their property to contact the police on 612612 and we will arrange for an officer to meet with you and check on your behalf in due course.
This offer also applies to any neighbours of unoccupied or derelict sites which they believe may not have been checked. Such properties may already have been searched, but we can verify this against our records, in relation to any concerns.”
CoverMeCagney
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Morning all, been a while. I just looked on the "help find" page and noticed on 16th someone posted a Telegraph article about Adrian. Interestingly, his step mum Sharon, has responded to a question:
"Is it true about the taxi driver? Did he really drop Adrian off in the middle of nowhere because he didn't have enough cash?"
"it is not true. The Taxi driver took him to the wrong address. Then, according to the taxi driver, Ady said he would just get out as he lived close by. We are not that close to where he got out, it is still quite a walk. Another thing to note is that he never used to get out and walk home on nights out, he always got a taxi to the door"
So it was NOT usual for him to walk home. Where the heck did that info come from, I have believed that from the very beginning. I know some families don't want to engage in speculation, but seriously, this is a prime example of why misinformation should get cleared up. I'm now feeling a bit suspicious of the taxi driver!
https://www.facebook.com/groups/423540414506858/
"Is it true about the taxi driver? Did he really drop Adrian off in the middle of nowhere because he didn't have enough cash?"
"it is not true. The Taxi driver took him to the wrong address. Then, according to the taxi driver, Ady said he would just get out as he lived close by. We are not that close to where he got out, it is still quite a walk. Another thing to note is that he never used to get out and walk home on nights out, he always got a taxi to the door"
So it was NOT usual for him to walk home. Where the heck did that info come from, I have believed that from the very beginning. I know some families don't want to engage in speculation, but seriously, this is a prime example of why misinformation should get cleared up. I'm now feeling a bit suspicious of the taxi driver!
https://www.facebook.com/groups/423540414506858/
A long statement from the States of Jersey Police website regarding Adrian. Hope it isn't too long for the thread but contains so much important information.
http://www.jersey.police.uk/news-appeals/2016/may/adrian-lynch-answering-your-questions/
Adrian Lynch - Answering Your Questions
Introduction
A lot of information has circulated regarding Adrians disappearance and the investigation, both factual and false. A number of recurring themes of questioning have also appeared via traditional and social media forums and this overview is intended to publicly inform and consolidate on the current status. The States of Jersey Police (SoJP) have been open and transparent in the information they have provided to the public and recognise the benefit in providing a comprehensive update.
Adrians clothing and items
On the night of his disappearance, Adrian was wearing a blue River Island two piece suit, brown belt, white shirt, white t-shirt and black slip-on shoes. He was believed to be in possession of his passport for proof of age purposes, having recently lost his driving license and he would have had two keys on a single ring with no fob one a key to a Ford Fiesta, and the other an ordinary Yale door key. He also wore a white and yellow gold signet ring encrusted with a diamond.
Adrian Clothing
Adrians movements
Adrian had spent the evening of Friday 4th December 2015 at a combined electrical contractors Christmas function at the Merton Hotel. He had consumed a quantity of alcohol and was intoxicated. A colleague arranged for a taxi to collect and take him home, and Adrian left by taxi at about ten minutes to midnight. It is believed that a misunderstanding over the address however led to Adrian being dropped off at the junction of La Rue and La Ruette DAvranches (halfway between the Six Rues and Carrefour Selous junctions) with Adrian indicating he lived very close nearby. He was actually over a kilometre south of his home address.
He had his phone and wallet in his hand as he got out of the taxi, and these were located the following morning on the road surface in La Ruette just a few metres away from where he got out of the taxi. Although there was no cash in the wallet it is believed that Adrian had spent the cash he had earlier withdrawn from an ATM at the function, and used the remaining £3 to top up the amount his colleague had given the taxi driver when he collected Adrian at the hotel. Due to the positioning of the phone and the wallet, it is believed that he may have sat down for a while on the road surface placing these items down, but inadvertently leaving them behind when he moved off.
Adrian was dropped off at around five minutes past midnight. The following is a chronology of movements of who we believe to be Adrian over the next two or so hours. Times in some cases are approximate based upon witnesses best recollection, and references to Adrian are based upon a belief that this is indeed Adrian from references to description.
00:15 and 00:35 a number of sightings of Adrian in the vicinity of the Carrefour Selous junction with La Grande Route de St Laurent. All are indicative of a state of intoxication ranging from unsteady walking to lying in the road.
01:00 a report of a male shouting and swearing in La Rue de la Golarde, and very shortly after a male fitting Adrians description walking east along this lane.
01:05 Adrian walks into a house in La Rue de la Golarde, occupants are still awake and in the lounge and question his presence before he leaves and is then seen walking west along Rue de la Golarde. Adrian is polite and appeared to have mud on his trousers.
01:40 01:45 a householder in Le Passage hears a voice at the front of his house and on checking sees Adrian sitting on his wall, there was no-one else around. The householder enquired as to what he was doing and if he was ok. Adrian apologises for disturbing him and leaves heading west along Le Passage. At around this time (believed very shortly afterwards) a taxi driver passes Adrian in the lane who is however now walking east towards the junction with La Grande Route de St Laurent.
02:00 Adrian is seen walking northwards on La Grande Route de St Laurent near to the junction with La Fraide Rue.
02:00 someone is heard shouting and swearing on the s-bend near Bon Air Stables, and a person believed to be Adrian is seen walking northwards.
02:09 CCTV at the Thistlegrove site captures Adrian walking north past the entrance, and then entering the yard at the front of Regal, before disappearing down the side of Regal. He re-emerges a few minutes later and is seen to walk south back past Thistlegrove at 02:17.
02:15 02:30 a resident whose house backs onto the vehicular track leading south from La Rue de la Golarde into the Cookes Roses Farm complex hears their young child crying seemingly as they have been disturbed from sleep by someone shouting. It is very possible Adrian was walking back towards the very area he had started from, perhaps searching for his phone and wallet.
Adrians belt
Adrians belt was located on the Saturday by a householder in his garden in Le Passage, near to the boundary with Cookes Roses Farm. It was loosely coiled. A friend of Adrian has said that Adrian occasionally removed his belt and carried it in a coiled fashion. It is believed that at some point Adrian had removed and was carrying his belt. It is possible that he dropped or placed this when either leaving or entering the garden near to the Cookes Roses Farm complex, possibly at around 02:30 if the last report of hearing shouting related to Adrian passing southwards through the site.
Saturday 5th to Monday 7th December 2015
Contact was made by the finder of Adrians wallet and phone with Adrians family on the Saturday morning, and the family started their own enquiries before reporting Adrian missing in the early afternoon. An early assessment of the circumstances prioritised Adrian as a high risk missing person and enquiries initiated. Searching was carried out well into the night.
A multi-agency meeting involving representatives from a number of agencies was held at 07:00 on the Sunday and searching continued throughout the day and into the night, under the coordination of a trained police search advisor. One of the challenges that searchers faced that weekend and in the days and weeks that followed was the relative brevity of daylight hours, although searching into the night continued when it was considered conceivable that Adrian may still be alive.
On the Monday a decision to set up a major investigation room was taken, and a command structure to support the multi-agency working established. Use of the UK HOLMES major investigation computer system for recording and tracking data and lines of enquiry was also established. Although a missing person enquiry, the investigation room, team structure and processes mirrored that used nationally for major enquiries, whether crime related or not. The investigation started with regard to all possibilities, and has remained as such.
This had been declared as a critical incident and a command structure put in place to ensure strategic and tactical requirements were recognised and responded to. A Gold / Silver / Bronze terminology is applied nationally across the emergency services to major incidents, and Detective Superintendent Stewart Gull assumed the role of the Gold Commander which he still retains. Detective Chief Inspector Lee Turner who had been involved since the Sunday morning was designated as the Senior Investigating Officer (SIO) over-seeing Detective Inspector Steve Langford as the Silver for investigation and Inspector Tim Barnes as the SoJP Silver for the multi-agency searching.
The search
From Sunday 6th to Tuesday 22nd December representatives from ten agencies were used daily in coordinated searching. They were spread across a total of 28 designated zones covering about 12 square kilometres in total, as seen on the map below. There were typically between 30 and 60 searchers deployed on any one day, the management and coordination of which required significant effort and monitoring. The search zones were designated according to the information picture that was developing as the enquiry progressed, and centred on those areas that featured in the reported sightings of Adrian as well as the potential directions he may have travelled in.
PANAMA4 Map
1 km radius (2 km diameter) circular zones of higher priority were established, centring on Adrians last known location (taxi drop off / belt recovery area) and the furthest believed movement indicated (Thistlegrove / Bon Air stables area). Such zones were also based on input from national search advice, and a National Search Advisor from the College of Policing worked in the island for a few days with search management in December.
The support of the public was and has been significant and careful ongoing consideration was given from the outset on Sunday 6th December and throughout the active search phases to using members of the public in support of coordinated searching, working alongside agency personnel. During this critical phase of the searching, it was assessed that there were sufficient resources for the task in hand. To involve the public in this coordinated way would have placed an unnecessary burden and additional risk on the overall coordinated search. This decision was strongly endorsed by a National Search Advisor from the College of Policing in the early stages.
There are a number of water sites in the general area ranging from garden ponds to the Handois and Dannemarche reservoirs. A number of these aspects could be and were covered by trained Fire and Rescue officers and divers from TTS. Other more challenging aspects were reviewed and where applicable covered by sonar specialists from Humberside Police.
Specialist victim recovery dogs were also utilised over two phases in December and January in areas assessed to require particular attention, or which presented significant challenges to other search methods. These dogs are trained to find deceased people, unlike the more general purpose police dogs which are used by SoJP who are trained to locate the living. As with any search assets, although highly trained these dogs are not infallible and require focus this is directed and monitored by trained handlers, and will on occasion be restricted by environmental conditions such as wind direction.
A drone used by trained Fire and Rescue personnel was also deployed and viewing of footage monitored and examined over a number of days in support of other methods. This covered a total of about 12 hours flying time and covering a total distance of some 80,000 metres.
With regard to the possibility that Adrian may have been involved in a road traffic collision (RTC), additional and focused search attention was also paid to road surfaces and boundaries (extending up to 10 metres either side of the road surface) inside and out of the 1 km higher priority zones, not only for Adrian but for any debris or item that may have been discarded or flung upon any impact (which is common). Unsurprisingly, debris from what are believed to be minor historic collisions was located, but nothing of apparent relevance to Adrians disappearance.
Several thousand personnel hours in total were used in searching the designated areas, both before and after Christmas. There was and remains no information on which to base extending such parameters other than simply extending outwards in all directions which would not only require an exponentially growing resourcing requirement, but would also depend upon the consent of private property owners in circumstances where there would be little or no rationale to request or expect this. In short, in the absence of any more specific information, further searching is simply considered unviable.
Further searching for example in the central Carrefour Selous area was conducted in January based on a hypothesis arising from the last indication of Adrians presence in the Cookes Roses Farm area at 02:15 02:30.
This position has been supplemented by repeated requests for land and property owners to check their own areas outside of these zones, to use employees to assist on commercial and agricultural sites and to call the police for assistance if for example; the infirm or restricted are unable to thoroughly check property and outbuildings.
Difficult decisions such as those involving the parameters of extended searches have to be made, but as with all aspects of major investigations the practical implications are such that parameters have to be applied based on rationale, and the Senior Investigating Officer making such decisions rightly remains accountable for these.
The northern boundary areas around St Johns Village were based on earlier indications of Adrians direction of travel from the taxi drop off and the direction of his home address. The absence of any sightings past these areas limited the extent of these zones; however, the north coast has featured in search activity, including the Channel Islands Air Search plane, and also by the States of Jersey Fire & Rescue Service and other assets based on reports of possible relevance. Other areas have also received search attention in response to other possibly related pieces of information that were received.
An internal review of all search documentation is being carried out in order to establish the necessity for any revisits.
Hypotheses and lines of enquiry
A number of hypotheses were established by the SIO in the early phase of the investigation, falling within the three main nationally recognised categories of missing people:
Lost person a person who is temporarily disorientated and would wish to be found;
Voluntary missing person a person who has control over their own action but has decided on a particular course of action eg wishes to leave home or self-harm;
Missing person under the influence of a third party relating to someone who has gone missing against their will eg abduction or murder victim.
The hypotheses established, form the basis of documented investigative strategies, which themselves drive principle lines of enquiry. The investigation has remained open-minded to all possibilities including criminal and third party involvement, but to date it remains that there is no credible information indicative of a crime. Such is Adrians apparent disorientation, intoxication and vulnerability that night, some form of misadventure is still considered the most probable eventuality, but other possibilities have never been ruled out.
Before clarification was obtained as to why Adrian might have taken off his belt, an explanation was considered that he might have been experiencing the onset of hypothermia. As bizarre as it might appear, undressing in some cases of hypothermia can occur although no further items of Adrians clothing have yet been discovered. Another reaction can be a form of hibernation-like activity in terms of deliberate and tight self-concealment, and this has not been ruled out. Although it was a relatively mild and dry night, Adrian was not dressed to remain outside overnight, and this combined with intoxication leading to increased cooling of skin surfaces could possibly have created physiological hypothermic reactions. This is only a possibility however and cannot be determined with any certainty such are the variables involved, but consultation with a Home Office pathologist has taken place in this regard and cannot be entirely ruled out. Contrary to what might be thought, it does not need to be bitterly cold for hypothermia to occur.
The structure of the investigation is such that any turn of events can be accommodated and catered for. Although this is a missing person investigation open to all possibilities, a murder investigation would follow a similar structure but its strategic direction would be influenced by those aspects indicative of a murder having taken place, eg discovery of a body in such circumstances or credible information that this was indeed the case. It is not a matter of switching from a missing person enquiry to a murder investigation simply because a period of time has elapsed without discovery.
Whether a missing person or a murder investigation, both seek to identify sources of intelligence, information and evidence in order to establish what has happened. This is why reference has been made to terminology such as witness strategy and house to house enquiries which would be expected in murder investigations, but have also been used in this investigation in order to identify and capitalise on information opportunities. As an example, witness strategy included written appeals in foreign languages placed in public areas and delivered to farms in the central parishes. A house to house zone was designated covering the routes Adrian is known to have taken, and may have proceeded to take, covering over 300 properties and over 500 residents, all of whom identified and spoken with.
A range of other lines of enquiry cover issues such as forensics, family liaison, passive data opportunities including CCTV from 18 sites, vehicle damage, and importantly the media.
Over 1,000 people have been spoken with during the investigation, over 250 witness statements recorded and over 560 investigative actions generated over and above the search activity described.
At the end of January a National Missing Persons Advisor and a National Senior Investigating Officer Advisor from the National Crime Agency visited and undertook a review of the structure, hypotheses and basis for the lines of enquiry being generated. As with any form of review in any field, a number of recommendations were made, gratefully received and duly considered and acted upon to varying degrees with regard to the local context and ongoing developments in the information picture. Support and further recommendations were also provided following this, by an NCA National Search Advisor in addition to those given before Christmas by the College of Policing.
The media
There have been over 30 media releases since the investigation began and a number of interviews with DCI Turner and D/Supt Gull. The outreach to an immensely supportive community wanting to help the police and Adrians family has been significant. There have for example been 14,122 YouTube hits on the Thistlegrove CCTV images.
A number of appeals for information have been made, including for a number of people who might have seen Adrian or something of possible relevance to come forward. Despite repeated appeals, a number of persons remain outstanding these are people who very possibly might simply have seen or heard something of interest, however insignificant or irrelevant this might appear to them to be.
The occupants of a silver car (possibly a VW or Citroen Saxo) parked outside David Hicks at about 23:00;
Two persons with a motorcycle at the junction of Le Neuf Chemin and St Lawrence main road (just north of the entrance to St Johns Manor) at about midnight;
A male with a dark pullover hitchhiking up Mont Felard at about half past midnight;
A male in a mustard coloured suit walking north past Regal at about 01:15-01:30;
A taxi moving south past Thistlegrove at 02:33;
A male with white hair hitchhiking south at about 03:00 in the Three Oaks area;
Two males hitchhiking north at about 03:00 in the area of Steven Cohu antiques
In addition to this, despite a number of requests and other enquiries, it cannot be confirmed that all persons either in, passing into or out of the area at the relevant time have been identified. The CCTV at Thistlegrove identifies a number of vehicles passing in both directions throughout the night but makes and models are not distinguishable we believe most have been identified but not all.
Current Position
The investigation will not be concluded until Adrian is found and the circumstances of his disappearance established as far as is possible. Maintaining a resourced investigation room and team however is only appropriate whilst there are feasible lines of enquiry to investigate, and these are not infinite. Adrian remains missing and SoJP will continue to consider any potential for fresh investigative leads and monitor any new intelligence or information, and remain ready and willing to resource and respond appropriately to any such developments.
This has been a unique and unprecedented missing person enquiry for Jersey. Whilst the States of Jersey Police will continue to keep an open mind as to any eventuality in respect of Adrians disappearance as set out as above, as difficult as it may be to comprehend on a small island, indications are that Adrian simply remains missing by misadventure. This has been an open and transparent investigation, and for as long as Adrian remains missing the Police remain committed to finding him.
Downloads
PANAMA map (1)
In this section:
http://www.jersey.police.uk/news-appeals/2016/may/adrian-lynch-answering-your-questions/
Adrian Lynch - Answering Your Questions
Introduction
A lot of information has circulated regarding Adrians disappearance and the investigation, both factual and false. A number of recurring themes of questioning have also appeared via traditional and social media forums and this overview is intended to publicly inform and consolidate on the current status. The States of Jersey Police (SoJP) have been open and transparent in the information they have provided to the public and recognise the benefit in providing a comprehensive update.
Adrians clothing and items
On the night of his disappearance, Adrian was wearing a blue River Island two piece suit, brown belt, white shirt, white t-shirt and black slip-on shoes. He was believed to be in possession of his passport for proof of age purposes, having recently lost his driving license and he would have had two keys on a single ring with no fob one a key to a Ford Fiesta, and the other an ordinary Yale door key. He also wore a white and yellow gold signet ring encrusted with a diamond.
Adrian Clothing
Adrians movements
Adrian had spent the evening of Friday 4th December 2015 at a combined electrical contractors Christmas function at the Merton Hotel. He had consumed a quantity of alcohol and was intoxicated. A colleague arranged for a taxi to collect and take him home, and Adrian left by taxi at about ten minutes to midnight. It is believed that a misunderstanding over the address however led to Adrian being dropped off at the junction of La Rue and La Ruette DAvranches (halfway between the Six Rues and Carrefour Selous junctions) with Adrian indicating he lived very close nearby. He was actually over a kilometre south of his home address.
He had his phone and wallet in his hand as he got out of the taxi, and these were located the following morning on the road surface in La Ruette just a few metres away from where he got out of the taxi. Although there was no cash in the wallet it is believed that Adrian had spent the cash he had earlier withdrawn from an ATM at the function, and used the remaining £3 to top up the amount his colleague had given the taxi driver when he collected Adrian at the hotel. Due to the positioning of the phone and the wallet, it is believed that he may have sat down for a while on the road surface placing these items down, but inadvertently leaving them behind when he moved off.
Adrian was dropped off at around five minutes past midnight. The following is a chronology of movements of who we believe to be Adrian over the next two or so hours. Times in some cases are approximate based upon witnesses best recollection, and references to Adrian are based upon a belief that this is indeed Adrian from references to description.
00:15 and 00:35 a number of sightings of Adrian in the vicinity of the Carrefour Selous junction with La Grande Route de St Laurent. All are indicative of a state of intoxication ranging from unsteady walking to lying in the road.
01:00 a report of a male shouting and swearing in La Rue de la Golarde, and very shortly after a male fitting Adrians description walking east along this lane.
01:05 Adrian walks into a house in La Rue de la Golarde, occupants are still awake and in the lounge and question his presence before he leaves and is then seen walking west along Rue de la Golarde. Adrian is polite and appeared to have mud on his trousers.
01:40 01:45 a householder in Le Passage hears a voice at the front of his house and on checking sees Adrian sitting on his wall, there was no-one else around. The householder enquired as to what he was doing and if he was ok. Adrian apologises for disturbing him and leaves heading west along Le Passage. At around this time (believed very shortly afterwards) a taxi driver passes Adrian in the lane who is however now walking east towards the junction with La Grande Route de St Laurent.
02:00 Adrian is seen walking northwards on La Grande Route de St Laurent near to the junction with La Fraide Rue.
02:00 someone is heard shouting and swearing on the s-bend near Bon Air Stables, and a person believed to be Adrian is seen walking northwards.
02:09 CCTV at the Thistlegrove site captures Adrian walking north past the entrance, and then entering the yard at the front of Regal, before disappearing down the side of Regal. He re-emerges a few minutes later and is seen to walk south back past Thistlegrove at 02:17.
02:15 02:30 a resident whose house backs onto the vehicular track leading south from La Rue de la Golarde into the Cookes Roses Farm complex hears their young child crying seemingly as they have been disturbed from sleep by someone shouting. It is very possible Adrian was walking back towards the very area he had started from, perhaps searching for his phone and wallet.
Adrians belt
Adrians belt was located on the Saturday by a householder in his garden in Le Passage, near to the boundary with Cookes Roses Farm. It was loosely coiled. A friend of Adrian has said that Adrian occasionally removed his belt and carried it in a coiled fashion. It is believed that at some point Adrian had removed and was carrying his belt. It is possible that he dropped or placed this when either leaving or entering the garden near to the Cookes Roses Farm complex, possibly at around 02:30 if the last report of hearing shouting related to Adrian passing southwards through the site.
Saturday 5th to Monday 7th December 2015
Contact was made by the finder of Adrians wallet and phone with Adrians family on the Saturday morning, and the family started their own enquiries before reporting Adrian missing in the early afternoon. An early assessment of the circumstances prioritised Adrian as a high risk missing person and enquiries initiated. Searching was carried out well into the night.
A multi-agency meeting involving representatives from a number of agencies was held at 07:00 on the Sunday and searching continued throughout the day and into the night, under the coordination of a trained police search advisor. One of the challenges that searchers faced that weekend and in the days and weeks that followed was the relative brevity of daylight hours, although searching into the night continued when it was considered conceivable that Adrian may still be alive.
On the Monday a decision to set up a major investigation room was taken, and a command structure to support the multi-agency working established. Use of the UK HOLMES major investigation computer system for recording and tracking data and lines of enquiry was also established. Although a missing person enquiry, the investigation room, team structure and processes mirrored that used nationally for major enquiries, whether crime related or not. The investigation started with regard to all possibilities, and has remained as such.
This had been declared as a critical incident and a command structure put in place to ensure strategic and tactical requirements were recognised and responded to. A Gold / Silver / Bronze terminology is applied nationally across the emergency services to major incidents, and Detective Superintendent Stewart Gull assumed the role of the Gold Commander which he still retains. Detective Chief Inspector Lee Turner who had been involved since the Sunday morning was designated as the Senior Investigating Officer (SIO) over-seeing Detective Inspector Steve Langford as the Silver for investigation and Inspector Tim Barnes as the SoJP Silver for the multi-agency searching.
The search
From Sunday 6th to Tuesday 22nd December representatives from ten agencies were used daily in coordinated searching. They were spread across a total of 28 designated zones covering about 12 square kilometres in total, as seen on the map below. There were typically between 30 and 60 searchers deployed on any one day, the management and coordination of which required significant effort and monitoring. The search zones were designated according to the information picture that was developing as the enquiry progressed, and centred on those areas that featured in the reported sightings of Adrian as well as the potential directions he may have travelled in.
PANAMA4 Map
1 km radius (2 km diameter) circular zones of higher priority were established, centring on Adrians last known location (taxi drop off / belt recovery area) and the furthest believed movement indicated (Thistlegrove / Bon Air stables area). Such zones were also based on input from national search advice, and a National Search Advisor from the College of Policing worked in the island for a few days with search management in December.
The support of the public was and has been significant and careful ongoing consideration was given from the outset on Sunday 6th December and throughout the active search phases to using members of the public in support of coordinated searching, working alongside agency personnel. During this critical phase of the searching, it was assessed that there were sufficient resources for the task in hand. To involve the public in this coordinated way would have placed an unnecessary burden and additional risk on the overall coordinated search. This decision was strongly endorsed by a National Search Advisor from the College of Policing in the early stages.
There are a number of water sites in the general area ranging from garden ponds to the Handois and Dannemarche reservoirs. A number of these aspects could be and were covered by trained Fire and Rescue officers and divers from TTS. Other more challenging aspects were reviewed and where applicable covered by sonar specialists from Humberside Police.
Specialist victim recovery dogs were also utilised over two phases in December and January in areas assessed to require particular attention, or which presented significant challenges to other search methods. These dogs are trained to find deceased people, unlike the more general purpose police dogs which are used by SoJP who are trained to locate the living. As with any search assets, although highly trained these dogs are not infallible and require focus this is directed and monitored by trained handlers, and will on occasion be restricted by environmental conditions such as wind direction.
A drone used by trained Fire and Rescue personnel was also deployed and viewing of footage monitored and examined over a number of days in support of other methods. This covered a total of about 12 hours flying time and covering a total distance of some 80,000 metres.
With regard to the possibility that Adrian may have been involved in a road traffic collision (RTC), additional and focused search attention was also paid to road surfaces and boundaries (extending up to 10 metres either side of the road surface) inside and out of the 1 km higher priority zones, not only for Adrian but for any debris or item that may have been discarded or flung upon any impact (which is common). Unsurprisingly, debris from what are believed to be minor historic collisions was located, but nothing of apparent relevance to Adrians disappearance.
Several thousand personnel hours in total were used in searching the designated areas, both before and after Christmas. There was and remains no information on which to base extending such parameters other than simply extending outwards in all directions which would not only require an exponentially growing resourcing requirement, but would also depend upon the consent of private property owners in circumstances where there would be little or no rationale to request or expect this. In short, in the absence of any more specific information, further searching is simply considered unviable.
Further searching for example in the central Carrefour Selous area was conducted in January based on a hypothesis arising from the last indication of Adrians presence in the Cookes Roses Farm area at 02:15 02:30.
This position has been supplemented by repeated requests for land and property owners to check their own areas outside of these zones, to use employees to assist on commercial and agricultural sites and to call the police for assistance if for example; the infirm or restricted are unable to thoroughly check property and outbuildings.
Difficult decisions such as those involving the parameters of extended searches have to be made, but as with all aspects of major investigations the practical implications are such that parameters have to be applied based on rationale, and the Senior Investigating Officer making such decisions rightly remains accountable for these.
The northern boundary areas around St Johns Village were based on earlier indications of Adrians direction of travel from the taxi drop off and the direction of his home address. The absence of any sightings past these areas limited the extent of these zones; however, the north coast has featured in search activity, including the Channel Islands Air Search plane, and also by the States of Jersey Fire & Rescue Service and other assets based on reports of possible relevance. Other areas have also received search attention in response to other possibly related pieces of information that were received.
An internal review of all search documentation is being carried out in order to establish the necessity for any revisits.
Hypotheses and lines of enquiry
A number of hypotheses were established by the SIO in the early phase of the investigation, falling within the three main nationally recognised categories of missing people:
Lost person a person who is temporarily disorientated and would wish to be found;
Voluntary missing person a person who has control over their own action but has decided on a particular course of action eg wishes to leave home or self-harm;
Missing person under the influence of a third party relating to someone who has gone missing against their will eg abduction or murder victim.
The hypotheses established, form the basis of documented investigative strategies, which themselves drive principle lines of enquiry. The investigation has remained open-minded to all possibilities including criminal and third party involvement, but to date it remains that there is no credible information indicative of a crime. Such is Adrians apparent disorientation, intoxication and vulnerability that night, some form of misadventure is still considered the most probable eventuality, but other possibilities have never been ruled out.
Before clarification was obtained as to why Adrian might have taken off his belt, an explanation was considered that he might have been experiencing the onset of hypothermia. As bizarre as it might appear, undressing in some cases of hypothermia can occur although no further items of Adrians clothing have yet been discovered. Another reaction can be a form of hibernation-like activity in terms of deliberate and tight self-concealment, and this has not been ruled out. Although it was a relatively mild and dry night, Adrian was not dressed to remain outside overnight, and this combined with intoxication leading to increased cooling of skin surfaces could possibly have created physiological hypothermic reactions. This is only a possibility however and cannot be determined with any certainty such are the variables involved, but consultation with a Home Office pathologist has taken place in this regard and cannot be entirely ruled out. Contrary to what might be thought, it does not need to be bitterly cold for hypothermia to occur.
The structure of the investigation is such that any turn of events can be accommodated and catered for. Although this is a missing person investigation open to all possibilities, a murder investigation would follow a similar structure but its strategic direction would be influenced by those aspects indicative of a murder having taken place, eg discovery of a body in such circumstances or credible information that this was indeed the case. It is not a matter of switching from a missing person enquiry to a murder investigation simply because a period of time has elapsed without discovery.
Whether a missing person or a murder investigation, both seek to identify sources of intelligence, information and evidence in order to establish what has happened. This is why reference has been made to terminology such as witness strategy and house to house enquiries which would be expected in murder investigations, but have also been used in this investigation in order to identify and capitalise on information opportunities. As an example, witness strategy included written appeals in foreign languages placed in public areas and delivered to farms in the central parishes. A house to house zone was designated covering the routes Adrian is known to have taken, and may have proceeded to take, covering over 300 properties and over 500 residents, all of whom identified and spoken with.
A range of other lines of enquiry cover issues such as forensics, family liaison, passive data opportunities including CCTV from 18 sites, vehicle damage, and importantly the media.
Over 1,000 people have been spoken with during the investigation, over 250 witness statements recorded and over 560 investigative actions generated over and above the search activity described.
At the end of January a National Missing Persons Advisor and a National Senior Investigating Officer Advisor from the National Crime Agency visited and undertook a review of the structure, hypotheses and basis for the lines of enquiry being generated. As with any form of review in any field, a number of recommendations were made, gratefully received and duly considered and acted upon to varying degrees with regard to the local context and ongoing developments in the information picture. Support and further recommendations were also provided following this, by an NCA National Search Advisor in addition to those given before Christmas by the College of Policing.
The media
There have been over 30 media releases since the investigation began and a number of interviews with DCI Turner and D/Supt Gull. The outreach to an immensely supportive community wanting to help the police and Adrians family has been significant. There have for example been 14,122 YouTube hits on the Thistlegrove CCTV images.
A number of appeals for information have been made, including for a number of people who might have seen Adrian or something of possible relevance to come forward. Despite repeated appeals, a number of persons remain outstanding these are people who very possibly might simply have seen or heard something of interest, however insignificant or irrelevant this might appear to them to be.
The occupants of a silver car (possibly a VW or Citroen Saxo) parked outside David Hicks at about 23:00;
Two persons with a motorcycle at the junction of Le Neuf Chemin and St Lawrence main road (just north of the entrance to St Johns Manor) at about midnight;
A male with a dark pullover hitchhiking up Mont Felard at about half past midnight;
A male in a mustard coloured suit walking north past Regal at about 01:15-01:30;
A taxi moving south past Thistlegrove at 02:33;
A male with white hair hitchhiking south at about 03:00 in the Three Oaks area;
Two males hitchhiking north at about 03:00 in the area of Steven Cohu antiques
In addition to this, despite a number of requests and other enquiries, it cannot be confirmed that all persons either in, passing into or out of the area at the relevant time have been identified. The CCTV at Thistlegrove identifies a number of vehicles passing in both directions throughout the night but makes and models are not distinguishable we believe most have been identified but not all.
Current Position
The investigation will not be concluded until Adrian is found and the circumstances of his disappearance established as far as is possible. Maintaining a resourced investigation room and team however is only appropriate whilst there are feasible lines of enquiry to investigate, and these are not infinite. Adrian remains missing and SoJP will continue to consider any potential for fresh investigative leads and monitor any new intelligence or information, and remain ready and willing to resource and respond appropriately to any such developments.
This has been a unique and unprecedented missing person enquiry for Jersey. Whilst the States of Jersey Police will continue to keep an open mind as to any eventuality in respect of Adrians disappearance as set out as above, as difficult as it may be to comprehend on a small island, indications are that Adrian simply remains missing by misadventure. This has been an open and transparent investigation, and for as long as Adrian remains missing the Police remain committed to finding him.
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Bethan
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Just had a horrible thought. Does the Cooke's Rose farm complex have a slurry pit?
I don't know if it is actually a working farm, with cattle. There may only be flower-growing farms in this area of Jersey. I have no idea.
Coming from rural North Yorkshire, we are brought up very aware of the hidden dangers on a farm, and our children have talks at school on the danger of slurry pits, corn silo's and farm machinery ( from a visiting team called Crucial Crew.)
I'm sure this possibility will have been thought of, if there are slurry pits in the area.
Checking out the area on Google Earth I see one structure I can't identify, but which could just possibility be a slurry pit, in the general vicinity of Cookes Rose Farm.
It is roughly kidney-shaped, and looks to have a white wall around it, and a green centre. A garden maybe??
I'll try and attach a screenshot, if I can work out how to do this.
As I said, it's a really horrible thought, and I very much hope this possibility was ruled out early in the investigation.
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I don't know if it is actually a working farm, with cattle. There may only be flower-growing farms in this area of Jersey. I have no idea.
Coming from rural North Yorkshire, we are brought up very aware of the hidden dangers on a farm, and our children have talks at school on the danger of slurry pits, corn silo's and farm machinery ( from a visiting team called Crucial Crew.)
I'm sure this possibility will have been thought of, if there are slurry pits in the area.
Checking out the area on Google Earth I see one structure I can't identify, but which could just possibility be a slurry pit, in the general vicinity of Cookes Rose Farm.
It is roughly kidney-shaped, and looks to have a white wall around it, and a green centre. A garden maybe??
I'll try and attach a screenshot, if I can work out how to do this.
As I said, it's a really horrible thought, and I very much hope this possibility was ruled out early in the investigation.
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CoverMeCagney
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- Nov 30, 2013
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Hi, I also grew up in rural N Yorks and remember having an assembly about this in the 80's - complete with one of those shock horror videos that went around at that time (train tracks, electricity cables etc).
I still can't fathom how Adrian hasn't been found. I just hope the residents have thoroughly checked their properties.
Just been watching the lunchtime Channel TV news and it said there are new developments in the case. No other information given yet but the police are currently holding a press conference. Fingers crossed this may mean his family will now finally have some answers.
REWARD: £10,000 Offered in search for missing Adrian Lynch http://www.itv.com/news/channel/2016-06-01/reward-10-000-offered-in-search-for-missing-adrian-lynch/
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