If you were on the jury, what would your opinion be of the evidence presented so far? To be clear: I do think he is guilty based what I've heard so far, but it's interesting to step back and weigh things up individually:
I think it's good circumstantial evidence but would hope for something stronger tomorrow via dna links
( my gut feeling same as yours, guilty )
Texts/Calls to TM and RM for drugs - Suspect also messaged other dealers which supports his claim he went out for drugs.
Did he, I missed that bit - wonder if they have statements from them re missed texts/calls
TM's Testimony - I believe that they may have had a sexual past, but that doesn't sway me either way. The tidbit about other people messaging her all morning that the suspect could be behind the kidnapping is stunning to me, though. I wonder if the prosecution has not been allowed to mention previous history? Or if that is still to come? Will wait to hear more before ruling on this.
It would be interesting to know if those texts / messages have been saved and viewed by the police
Handprint on Chair rail - I had to look up 'chair rail'. It's wooden moulding/trim on the wall. As the suspect did drug deals with RM it can be explained away, IMO.
Ha - me too, never heard that term before
Mum's CCTV footage - The most damning for me so far, particularly the shower/clothing swaps.
CCTV of 'figure' carrying child - It doesn't sound like the figure's face or clothing is identifiable so by itself this is not particularly damning to the suspect, IMO.
At that distance I wouldn't expect anything to be clear, other than a figure - if they can actually see a face and identify a person then I would like to know what cctv package those people are using, so I can get the same one
Testimony from friends - Nothing any of them said indicates guilt IMO, even the so-called confession. Teens can be vicious and thoughtless in their jokes.
I agree
Testimony from drug dealer who denied selling him drugs on the night - Damning. Suspect has been caught in an outright lie about where he was.
Clothing/Knife found on beach - The connection seems clear when paired with the CCTV evidence, and mum confirming the items look familiar, but I would want to hear the DNA evidence before I rule on this.
I thought the knife was found on the beach outside the McPhail house and the clothing found much further along the beach ? I agree re the dna evidence. The police did say they often find items of clothing on that beach.