This is quite a large post so apologies in advance.
The Christmas holiday period is upon us and as I thought, Corrie sadly hasn't appeared. It's around four months now since the 'Horseshoe' incident and my 'looking after a married quarter whilst the occupant was on tour' scenario seems not to have born fruit. The next important moment would be the six month point which is round about 26th March 2017 for my hypotheses to stand credibility for AWOL. I think I'm beginning to accept fowl play involved or misadventure. More about the legalities of AWOL later.
As we all know, very little evidence has been presented so far that would hold up in a court of law as being credible. What we do know is Corrie went out that night, ha was separated from his drinking friends, went to the Kebab shop, went to Hughes for a few hours to rest, walked to the 'Horseshoe' and disappeared.
No matter how much we speculate or suggest, these are the hard standing facts we have. The reasons behind his intentions that night can be inferred by his movements and visible actions. These are the only titbits we have to build a case.
Meeting?
I think we have established that Corrie 'made good' his night when he was 'ejected' from the nightclub by walking to the Kebab shop and then 'walking with purpose' towards the 'Horseshoe' area. He clearly is biding his time whether it's a 0130 meet at Hughes to match the 'walking with purpose' statement...or the 0330 meet in the 'Horseshoe', married with the 0308 phone image and 'jog' shortly after which was caught on CCTV. This for me shows a clear intention of meeting someone regardless. I think it's highly unlikely to be his drinking buddies from work as his mobile phone (and presumably him also) went in the opposite direction to Hon. The only scenario I can think of that would incorporate his work mates is if Corrie had failed in a particular discipline that week such as a fitness or weapons test for example. They could have dropped him off at McDonalds at the Barton Mills roundabout to teach him a lesson (let's call it military humour and character building?). Corrie would then have to have found his own way back but would presumably have been seen on route UNLESS he went cross country through Kings Wood. This is a major challenge but doable. The majority of tracks head in a NE-SW or NW-SE alignment making navigation difficult unless a bearing from the stars was made. Corrie would possibly have known star navigation as a basic infantry requirement. I can't see him waiting in any early morning restaurant as he would have been seen. Nor can I see him standing or waiting outside for a few hours as this would have been obvious too.
Conclusion? He was definitely meeting someone who didn't really respect Corrie's welfare or safety...otherwise they would have turned up on time and not allowed him to wait.
Incidentally, information on his phone '"....can only be acquired by public authorities under the Regulation of Investigatory Powers Act 2000 on a case by case basis, and where it is necessary and proportionate to do so....".
“The acquisition of communications data under RIPA is subject to stringent safeguards in existing legislation and is independently overseen by the Interception of Communications Commissioner.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...ords-like-cash-machine-ripa-three-ee-vodafone
Battery life?
During the evening prior to his disappearance, it's been noted by his brother that he used his phone on several occasions. One of his first calls was made during the morning to his brother. He spoke at length that day as well as sent texts to his brother during his work breaks. We know also that he spoke at length in the car at Robert Roby Way for possibly an hour. These conversations do not include other texts, photos and social media updates. We know he sent a picture image at 0308, adding to the battery life's pressure.
If we accept (as I'm sure we have by now) that Corrie had arranged to meet someone, then the meet presumably would have to have been via his mobile phone unless he had arranged it in person that night. The disappearance of it and the police interest into it suggests that it has valuable information on it and an important item in the ongoing case. I don't buy the 'phone could have left Barton Mills/Mildenhall area' or 'switched off' or 'destroyed' theory spouted by the family (respectfully). With all the action it had that night I would say the battery more that likely just faded away and died.
Conclusions with this one? We're looking like the phone is in the BM/M area in my mind.
Known person?
We've established that Corrie left the 'Horseshoe' area albeit by vehicle or on foot part of the way. If Corrie had arranged by a phone app such as Grindr, Whatsapp or other, this adds to my battery life theory. It would eat away at it as presumably it would operate with a mobile location device? The ambiguous 0130 or upto 0330 suggests to me that the person was slight.y indifferent as to Corrie's welfare and safety. Someone who didn't really care for an exact pick up or couldn't get there on time.
If it were his work mates I'm sure they would have come forward. The 0330 closing time of the club fits the bills but still a wall of silence from his mates. His unit is a tight knit community regardless of disagreements or grievances. I rule them out. Besides, as far as we know none of them have come forward.
If it's a car it has to be someone over the age of 17 to have driven in to the 'Horseshoe'. I can't see it being anyone younger. I would have thought someone the same age or older though. Unless they've borrowed their parents car it would have to be a small one too otherwise the insurance premiums would be restrictive. Even if the car was borrowed, another person would be involved and so complicit. So three people involved in a potential cover up. I don't subscribe to this theory. That leads us to another issue of cloned car/plates...but then, is there any need to go to such lengths if there are innocent intentions?
Conclusion with this one? Dishonourable intentions and an intent to deceive.
Why Shortbrackland?
Shortbrackland seems to be an easy route into and out of BSE central. It's the only place with none or limited CCTV. A vehicle can be picked up on camera but way out of town just before the roundabout which leads to the A1101.
In my mind there is either an innocent intention to collect Corrie in which case the driver would have presumably have come forward unless they have something to hide?
OR a clear decision to evade CCTV with total disregard for the legal system with regard to licence plates. That suggests an intent to do wrong and the driver has something to hide. OR false plates and a cloned car operated that night to pick up Corrie and if so, the driver most definitely has something to hide. In any of the cases, the driver is complicit in the disappearance of Corrie.
Conclusion? Unanimous decision to get in and out of the 'Horseshoe' as quickly as possible (with or without being seen).
Disappearance.
Corrie may as well have been wearing a high visibility suit that evening. Pink shirt and white jeans do not exactly blend in to every day life. We've discussed at great length the style of clothes and what type of person it attracts. It was light at half five and daylight broke around 0600 that morning. The 'Horseshoe' had a steady flow of footfall providing ample opportunity for witnesses but alas nothing. I would imagine that the roads were beginning to fill up too with cars going to start their shifts at 0600, HGV's going to the ports or distribution hubs, LGVs doing early morning shop deliveries before the inner ring and town centre wagon curfews.
In my mind he has to have been under cover (vehicle, house, shed, building) BEFORE it got light at 0600 or hidden during the hours of darkness (before 0530) that morning OR moved and hidden the following night (2200 onwards) which is unlikely for me.
So the conclusion for me for this one is in a house before 0600 Saturday or body hidden before 0530 or after 2200 on Saturday.
AWOL:
The term AWOL brings together the Armed Forces Act and the relevant single service regulations.
Usually, four hours is given before an internal report is filed. If it is deemed appropriate, it is then passed up the chain of command. All means possible are explored to make contact with the individual.
On the eighth day, the CO raises another document and it is flagged up to his administration system. Pay is then suspended. In military terms AWOL is effectively the same as Missing Person by definition. Thereafter the military system will notify the civilian police force. In this case, Suffolk Constabulary, although if Corrie is outside of this jurisdiction then any United Kingdom constabulary will take over.
The next of kin will then be notified if they have not been already this will be done in an official capacity.
After 21 days the CO will initiate relevant casualty procedures if necessary unless Corrie is categorised as missing by the police. A judge advocate will authorise a warrant for arrest so that Corrie can be transferred to Service custody as soon as possible via the relevant police force. He can be arrested however without a warrant if there is reasonable suspicion of him being AWOL. The AWOL status ends when Corrie either rejoins his unit, surrenders to the police or is discharged from the military.
Remember, this is Military Law and NOT English Law. Although the latter has primacy, the former has to play out first.
Total conclusion:
1. He was definitely meeting someone who didn't really respect Corrie's welfare or safety...otherwise they would have turned up on time and not allowed him to wait.
2. It's looking like the phone is in the BM/M area in my mind.
3. Perpetrator has dishonourable intentions and an intent to deceive.
4. Unanimous decision to get in and out of the 'Horseshoe' as quickly as possible (with or without being seen by both parties).
5. Regrettably if Corrie isn't AWOL, then I see no reason why he shouldn't have been in a house/building/car before 0600 Saturday or his body hidden before 0530 or after 2200 on that Saturday.
Given the above considerations, I find it unlikely that the perp was a lone female unless Corrie was dropped off somewhere, tried to walk back and she hasn't come forward. A lone female would hardly be likely to physically manhandle an 80kg body around so that leaves a male or males.
A quick route in and out of BSE using the 'Horseshoe' and its location as a pick up point suggests to me a desire NOT to be seen by a male perpetrator...and someone who is savvy at that. If it's male, it could only mean someone on his contact list (he would need to have arranged it remember) and/or someone NOT UK military. Additionally, I find it hard to believe (although NOT impossible) that it could be a US Serviceman. If the police are delaying or having difficulty then I can only think that they are finding it difficult from a legal point of view to gain access to his mobile phone information and encrypted data such as Whatsapp etc. Remember the Snooper's Charter problems currently going on in the UK and Europe? If it were currently legal, we'd have solved it by now!
JMO
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