I feel it is finally time to post, having read every post from the beginning .... As my profile says, my background is 25 years in Science, analytical, problem solving ... systems .. procedures .... and the rule i lived by ... Assumption is the Mother of all F&&&Ups ..and believe you me, many an assumption by someone was the root of a problem...,, so as boring as it may seem, emotion and belief do not come into my thought process.
I will add that as a member of the public, I hope that Corrie is still alive, hope that he may have just run away from the life he had ...... but for now I will keep to the facts (as I have seen them). One comment i would add is the continual reference to the Horseshoe being a culdesac, a one way in, one way out location. So a detailed study of the Street View/Google Maps has shown that the Horseshoe is Not a 'owiowo' culdesac, but the bin area off of the Horseshoe is. There are actually multiple ways out of the Horseshoe itself.
Facts :
Corrie entered the Horseshoe - picked up on camera FACT
Corrie was not picked up on camera leaving the Horseshoe. FACT
Corrie's phone was tracked beyond the Horseshoe for over 4 hours after his last confirmed sighting. FACT
For Corrie not to be in the Horseshoe now, he must have left the HS. FACT
Corrie left the HS on foot OR in a vehicle OR carried. FACT
So what do those facts tell us :
The only real facts we have are that i) we know when he entered the HS voluntarily
ii) his phone left the HS
iii) Corrie was not picked up on camera leaving the HS
So what don't we know :
We don't know if the phone left the HS with Corrie
We do not know if he is missing voluntarily or involuntarily
We do not know how he left the HS
If he left the HS by vehicle it has to be one of the vehicles that left the HS .. FACT (when the vehicle left the
HS with Corrie is not known FACT)
If he left the HS on foot there are two options : he left the HS in the small window of opportunity that
exists to avoid the cameras, or 2) he left the HS at a later time having hidden away. Note : this would be after
the last time the police viewed on the cameras.
If he was carried away this would have to be done in the small window of opportunity as per above, or
conceiled and carried away at a later time.
As 'unhelpful' in solving this case as all this is, it does lay out the facts. The cyclist, old man, dog, door men and so on, may all have their places in this, but they would all be guesses and guessing is something i have never done.
Perhaps the police have made assumptions (should NEVER ever make assumptions), have excluded various people, have excluded scenarios, have assumed that the 1 or 2% chance of leaving the HS without being seen makes it impossible (wrong assumption) ... but reality is Corrie is Missing ... Is that voluntary or not, we do not know.
The reality is, a young man on a night out disappeared ...
