UK UK - Jack O'Sullivan, 22, left friends after night out, last seen Brunel Lock Road/Brunel Way, Bristol at 3.15am, 2 Mar 2024

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The sheer volume of vehicles (over 400) that went past him and the lack of any drivers noticing him, suggests that he was walking ok, and no one saw anything out of the ordinary- drivers may not have dashcam and may not have clear memories due to the amount of time that has passed- but no driver seems to have seen anything that alerted their attention, even fleetingly in retrospect. As a driver you are subconsciously aware not just of the road in front, but things in your peripheral vision and whilst you may not fully witness something, you tend to notice that’s a bit odd and then your brain moves on. I am curious if anyone knows the locations on his last route that are completely blind to all road users- it’s hard to tell from the video walkthrough as the roads are curving and raised at points.
 
2 September 2024,
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A map of the confirmed route Jack took (green) and the two possible sightings from CCTV (red).
'Jack, from North Somerset, was last seen in the early hours of Saturday 2 March after he attended a house party in the Hotwells area of Bristol.

'The last likely sighting of Jack was at 3.38am walking down Bennett Way slip road, heading back towards Bristol city centre.'
  • More than 100 hours of CCTV collated and reviewed multiple times by different officers
  • More than 200 hours of searches on the river and the surrounding banks by the police dive team
  • Mounted police searches from Bristol City Centre to Flax Bourton, including the Ashton Court estate and Long Ashton.
  • More than 40 land searches
  • Our drone unit has been deployed 16 times during the searches carried out to date.
  • Almost 100 calls from the public with possible sightings
  • Eight media appeals issued''
  • ''FAQs
    Following our renewed appeal above, we have received a few questions from the public. Please see some question and answers below which we hope provide some clarity:''
 
2 September 2024,
View attachment 529045

View attachment 529047
View attachment 529046
A map of the confirmed route Jack took (green) and the two possible sightings from CCTV (red).
'Jack, from North Somerset, was last seen in the early hours of Saturday 2 March after he attended a house party in the Hotwells area of Bristol.

'The last likely sighting of Jack was at 3.38am walking down Bennett Way slip road, heading back towards Bristol city centre.'
  • More than 100 hours of CCTV collated and reviewed multiple times by different officers
  • More than 200 hours of searches on the river and the surrounding banks by the police dive team
  • Mounted police searches from Bristol City Centre to Flax Bourton, including the Ashton Court estate and Long Ashton.
  • More than 40 land searches
  • Our drone unit has been deployed 16 times during the searches carried out to date.
  • Almost 100 calls from the public with possible sightings
  • Eight media appeals issued''
  • ''FAQs
    Following our renewed appeal above, we have received a few questions from the public. Please see some question and answers below which we hope provide some clarity:''
Thanks for your detailed post. Regarding the route that Jack took, does it look like he was aiming to get back home or is heading in different direction? It looks like he looped back near the basin area? Sorry not familiar with Bristol at all! Thanks
 
It’s such a shame this is now reaching the media more as the family could have done with this coverage months and months ago. I really hope something comes up because it really does baffle me that in this day and age that there are no further sightings of him. Especially from CCTV, doorbells etc.

What are everyone’s theories?
 
What are everyone’s theories?
This is a classic "Missing on a Night Out" case - a recognised phenomenon involving young men, booze/drugs and water.

I'd say 50/50 he went into the water or he wandered out beyond CCTV coverage and came to grief on his way home.

There's been a tendency in recent years to see: young man on a night out + booze/drugs + water = pusher. There have been a very small number of substantiated "pusher" cases in the UK (mostly on the Tube) but nowhere near enough to suggest that this is a widespread phenomenon or a common factor in young men dying or disappearing on a night out. Frankly, tanked up young men are perfectly capable of getting themselves into dangerous situations without third party involvement but the "pusher"/third party idea is a popular one because it helps to absolve the young man concerned of making stupid decisions - something which is particularly attractive to their families.

Somebody up-thread commented that the route he took alongside Cumberland Basin looked dangerous, dodgy or whatever. However, statistically it's not.

Look at these local crime stats for March 2024 when Jack went missing: https://www.police.uk/pu/your-area/avon-somerset-constabulary/harbourside-and-hotwells/

They show that March was the quietest month for crime in the area in the past 12 months. Let's home in on the area around Cumberland Basin for March:


Let's exclude vehicle crime which is not relevant in this case. This leaves us with a handful of:

- public order offences, ie drunk/drugged and disorderly - people under the influence shouting things at or harassing passers by;
- criminal damage, eg someone chucking a brick through a pub window;
- a few thefts (not necessarily street thefts); and
- violence and sexual offences.

Sexual offences in this context covering all sexual offences, not only sexual assault. It also covers possession of child sexual abuse or other images, sending unwanted d*ck pics and flashing amongst other offences.

Violence would cover actual assault or threatening behaviour, but also someone with mental health difficulties pushing someone else off their bike.

As such, the stats show that this is not the risky area some have assumed. Jack would have been extremely unlucky to have been subject to a violent attack in this area, even at 3.15am.
 
As such, the stats show that this is not the risky area some have assumed. Jack would have been extremely unlucky to have been subject to a violent attack in this area, even at 3.15am.
Yes, and also if he had been the victim of such an assault, there would have been more chance of someone hearing or seeing something. There were cars driving along the roads Jack walked along. And then the attacker would have had to conceal his body somewhere. All that is possible but it's far more likely that he just went in the water. If he'd been drinking a lot he might have needed to empty his bladder at some point, decided to do that near the water's edge somewhere and in the dark fallen in.

The iphone locator apps are not always pinpoint accurate and depend on a number of factors including how many other iphones there are in the vicinity to triangulate it, wifi connections, and so on.

I hope he is found soon, it must be unbearable for his poor family. Heartbreaking case.
 
There was an interview with Jack's mum in the Daily Mail on Saturday. Now the Mail are making a lot of articles online payable, it's getting difficult to read. This is one.


I have the physical copy. Hope you can read at least some of it.

That poor family. My heart bleeds for them. The stuff of nightmares.

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Looking at that map and of his movements, he seems to have been on a circuitous route - lost? bit drink? both? Was he trying to find a taxi on street? Gone in wrong direction? His last sighting places him backtracking from where he had just come, yet must have AGAIN turned around as seen from his phone last pinged.

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It’s an interesting read if u can read this article. Interesting that’s Jack fall down stairs and ‘words were spoken’ but police say not a confrontation. He also left the party without saying bye, which was particularly out of character he didn’t say it to the female who invited him to the party. It mentioned his friends were outside smoking, I take it friends were smoking round the back and Jack left through the front door?
Link worked for me to read on fb unfortunately fb link hasn’t copied well to share.
 
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Interesting that’s Jack fall down stairs and ‘words were spoken’
I wonder is this the same incident that his brother mentioned Jack may have banged his head before leaving the house party.

I think the best solution at this stage is for his family to really push for information from his phone. Not only from Apple but also other apps, some of which may have been gathering data in the background and may be easier to pressure into releasing information compared to Apple. Maybe a health app which might measure speed (ie. running from someone), a dating app which could have GPS. The phone remaining on for so long is the key to cracking this case IMO.
 

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