Combined homicides in Hampton and Newport News 1970-2017:
http://www.trbas.com/media/media/acrobat/2018-03/96070531-02170907.pdf
Ok, there were roughly 20-30 murders a year in Hampton and Newport News for the years in question. If you count the surrounding communities of Poquoson, Williamsburg, James City County, and York County, then you are talking roughly another 5-15 murders. These years were a bit of an anomaly as 1990 and 1992 had over 50 just in the two major cities on the VA Peninsula. According to your mathematical formulation, how were the Texarkana Moonlight Murders even possible when the annual murders in the 1940s in that area ran from 1-5?
Texarkana Moonlight Murders - Wikipedia
Another issue is that I am convinced there were many more actual murders on the VA Peninsula at the time especially 1970-1990, but they were hidden by being classified as “suicides,” “drownings,” “boating accidents,” and “missing persons.” People showed up on the shores absolutely filleted, and they were written off as “swept out by the tide” or motorboat accident, when the last time they were seen was in their apartment or in a motel room late at night alone.
I hate to say it, but the 4 part series had some real problems with the presentation. There are at least 6 other murders that could be part of the pattern. The Williams and Winans murders in the Shenandoah NP in 1996.
The unsolved Williams and Winans camping murders in Shenandoah National Park — StrangeOutdoors.com
Brian Craig Pettinger disappeared in 1987.
“″We’re hoping maybe somebody else out there won’t end up like our family members,″ said Robert E. Fanton, father-in-law of Brian C. Pettinger, whose bound body was found in the James River in February 1988.”
Families Seek Solutions to Murders
This specific case was where the series really fell down on laying out the possibility of a serial killer. He was last seen roughly a few blocks where the 2nd couple Edwards and Knobling were last seen in public. In the series, the brother states that they were going to see a movie Dragnet (I think), but they didn’t go, since it was sold out. They then went to the arcade for awhile before going home. There were three major arcades on the southern Peninsula back then. Putt-Putt in central NN, Time-Out at the Coliseum Mall in central Hampton, and the Nautilus at Newmarket North which is in Newport News right on the Hampton border. The dance studio that Pettinger was last seen is on the Hampton side of that border. All three bodies were found in or on the water’s edge of the James River. The couple were found on the south side of the James River Bridge which is also route 17. The next time that road goes over water, it goes over the Chuckatuck River, and Brian’s body was found on the South side of it in the water.
Brian missing - Newspapers.com
The other three possibly linked murders are the Hall and Margaret murders in 1984 in the Richmond area that were very similar to the 4th couple in the series, and the Laurie Ann Powell murder in 1988 the month before the 3rd couple in the series.
Colonial Parkway Murders Remain Unsolved | Historic Mysteries
I don’t know if the show is scripted or the investigators had much input in what they could express, but the questions that were asked were not of much probative value. My wife’s commented the same thing. They never laid down a timeline of any of the murders for the viewer. The may have had a dateline, but not a timeline of what were the victims doing the last 24 hours or days before their death. When the blonde investigator asked Knobling’s brother about the last night, they wasted precious time on her comforting him and talking about the last moments, but not about what was the name of the arcade, time you got there and time left, was Robin or the cousin dropped off first before you went back home, etc. They did a good job in showing how out of the way the third couple car was from Cassandra’s house, but gave no indication how far off the Isle of Wight discovery was from the 2nd couples respective homes.
Then when she interviewed Knobling’s “fiancée” or pregnant girlfriend she stated that they did go to that Ragged Island area, but the investigator didn’t nail down if they went to the area where David’s truck was staged or where the body was found. It was about the emotional exploitation and not really trying to figure out pertinent facts. That is one, because the theory of the murders being linked is the cars and bodies being staged. Where they were found was not the kill site. I assume that was so that male investigator, who was an executive producer could dazzle us with his knowledge. They also wanted to play up the lover’s lane aspect, but part of the serial killer angle is that the killer made the death’s look like a lover’s lane scenerios in at least some of the stagings.
They could have spent less time with crane or drone shots of the “HQ” in Richmond and the Boxwood Inn in NN where most of the interviews were done and done a much better job in describing facts about the van that was seen or mentioned in 3 of the 4 double homicides. The letter in the 4th case that specified a rendezvous with a blue van that mysteriously disappeared for 2 decades. There were multiple eyewitness accounts of a white van in the first case. As well, there were multiple witnesses accounts of the first couple originally being spotted at the College Creek side of the CP a day or two before it was spotted in York County. The brother mentioned a white van in the 3rd case. None of that was mentioned.
The original investigations were really botched. My theory is that they could be unrelated, or they could all be related. I am bit torn between those two extremes.
However, if I had to choose the most likely scenario I think it is highly likely that the 1984 Hall-Margaret murders and 1989 Lauer-Phelps murders are connected. I am moderately confident that the 1986 Dowski-Thomas murder is connected to those two. I would put the odds a bit under 50%. The Williams-Winans, I am less confident they are connected to this cluster of one serial killer, but I think there is 20-25% chance.
Then I think there might have been another killer that targeted Edwards-Knobling, Pettinger, and Powell. He might have targeted Call and Hailey as well, but I am less sure about that one. That one seems like a copycat killing. In addition, you have the brother and father claiming to see the car. There are too many red flags with that one either through family involvement contamination or LE contamination and misconduct.
I watched the series last weekend and I apologize if I got any of the names wrong or mixed up information from this program with the ones I binge watched on YouTube the past few days.
I don’t mean for this to sound too critical to the families involved with this series, especially Bill Thomas that posts here. I am sure they had to weigh a myriad of variables and compromises with the cooperation of family members and witnesses willing to talk; then balancing that with what the Oxygen network wanted out of the series and what was best for helping solve the cases. I just wish the program and had been more serious in trying to find clues and solutions. The families have been constantly failed by the local LE and media for almost 3 and a 1/2 decades.