In reviewing early reports, I noticed that they used statements like " her bike was found at..." and "a bike believed to be hers was located...". That makes me believe it was her bicycle that was found.
In addition, I was surprised to read that Lily was not described wearing a coat. After checking the weather, it was about 40 degrees on Sunday evening in Chippewa Falls. That is quite chilly to only be wearing a 3/4 sleeve shirt, leggings, and shoes.
What that says to me is that Lily would have wanted to get home and be inside - I don't believe she would have gotten off that bicycle willingly - even for a ruse. I could absolutely be off-base here, but I am thinking it was a blitz attack to grab her.
I just can't get this girl out of my mind - so young and in a community that is supposed to be safe! I want to see the person responsible caught, like, NOW!
She was definately under-dressed to be out for an extended time in the evening and was probably extremely cold with the additional wind riding her bicycle. So I doubt she was riding around the neighborhood maybe making a stop at the Kwik Trip for a snack or something as opposed to going straight home. As someone that lives just across the border in the Twin Cities, there's some points to be made.
First, we don't know what time she actually left, and in the spring and fall there are typically wild temperature swings between the day and night. She probably rode down doing the day when it was warmer and maybe didn't think ahead about how it would be colder in the evening.
Second, it's common to deliberately under-dress a bit if you know you're not going to be out in the cold long and are going to someplace warm. When it's below freezing out, yes I put on thermal underwear, parka, gloves, and hat if I'm going ice skating. If I'm going to the store I'll just put on a light weather jacket rather than deal with the time and discomfort of being all bundled up. Just a hoody for a 10 minute bicycle ride home doesn't seem that odd of a choice to me.