FergusMcDuck
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It might seem hard to fathom, but that really is where the evidence takes us. For their first appearance before a judge on Nov 9th, a judge gave these reasons in addition to the coerced statements:Was Guede likely to move her, stage her, cover her, and lock the door? Are we to believe that initial investigators got every fact wrong? That's very hard to fathom.
* That Amanda and Raffaele had lied about calling the Carabinieri before the Postal Police arrived, since the PP claimed they arrived at 12:35 and the 112 calls were logged at 12:51 and 12:54
* That shoeprints on the scene showed a clear compatability ("perfect match") with Raffaele's shoes
* Raffaele carried a flick knife that was the right size for and could be the murder weapon
* Patrick said he had opened his pub at 17-18, while the first receipt that night was made 22:29
* A witness who was a regular at Patrick's said the bar was closed at 19:00 when he passed it
* That Amanda's final text ("ci vediamo dopo") was the logical phrasing of someone having an arranged meeting later that night
* Patrick changed his mobile phone somewhere between the murder and his arrest, and refused to admit to it
* Raffaele had written in his diary a few weeks before about a desire to experience "strong sensations"
Every single one of these turned out to be false!
* During the first trial, it was clearly shown that the postal police didn't arrive until just before 13:00, with the aid of CCTV and the subsequent arrival of the Carabinieri, correlated with their simultaneous phone call. Even Massei, who convicted Amanda and Raffaele had to agree this one was wrong.
* The shoeprints were not compatible at all, but were compatible with a pair owned by Rudy Guede. Raffaele's family were the ones who actually disproved the police's claim, and after that the police and Mignini never spoke of the "perfect match" again.
* Of course, the flick knife was tested and turned out to not be the murder weapon. And while they were right that it matched the size of the wound, that turned out to be ironic when the prosecution were forced to argue a much larger kitchen knife (incompatible with the wounds) was the actual murder weapon.
* This one isn't really false, but Patrick provided an explanation - he only printed receipts after a customer's final purchase of the night. 22:29 was the earliest time one of his customers left. Mignini and the court just refused to believe this very true fact and insisted the bar had to have been closed before 22:29.
* Multiple witnesses came forward to say Patrick's bar had been open. It's unclear how or why that particular witness came to the attention of the police, but he was obviously wrong. Of course, the witnesses who did come forward later to support Patrick were subject to phone surveillance, interrogations and even blatantly false accusations of criminality.
* "Ci vediamo dopo" can indeed have the meaning the judge assigned it - an arrangement to meet up later - but it's not what Amanda wrote. Mignini falsified the text, which actually said "Ci vediamo piu tardi", a clumsy direct translation of the English phrase "see you later", unlikely to be mistaken for anything but an indeterminate future meeting.
* When the police seized Patrick's phone, they checked his IMEI - a unique designation of each physical mobile phone, as opposed to their SIM cards - and found it differed from the one in his phone records from the night of the murder. However, the sole difference was the final digit,which was a "7" on the phone and a "0" in the log. But this is because the final digit is a checksum, a digit to ensure the IMEI is a valid number. And in logs, that checksum is always given as "0". The police got a report telling them that months after Lumumba had been released, but they could have found that out by looking at any of the other phone logs and comparing them.
* Raffaele had indeed written about wanting to experience "new sensations" - but that was not a few weeks before, but over a year earlier. Mignini had just put the date in, not the year, and the judge assumed the year was 2007.