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You may be correct, but i don't think it is always that simple
Other things can happen when a body is in warm water
It would not be the first body to go into the water and not surface, if in fact this happened at all
Amy is quoted as saying the water in Aruba was “freezing”... given the height from any deck, breaking her neck or the shock of falling into freezing water could have resulted in immediate drowning. Bodies in the ocean tend to not surface. Crabs can dismantle a body in an hour or two.
I have a blue water boat. Going overboard is a giant risk whether from a 30 foot boat or a cruise ship.