Honestly tho...if the situation was reversed and we found her body and not his... We'd feel 100% that he murdered her and was on the run. Has anyone considered that the opposite happened? Admittedly there is nothing to suggest this...but I just wanted to mention the perhaps double standard. IMO we are certainly looking at a murder suicide. Hope they find her soon. She seemed like a great person.
I would not be 100% that he murdered her, I'd still have a Bad Actor theory on my list.
However, statistically and in terms of how LE allocates resources or develops investigative theories, men do more murdering than women do. When men are murdered, it's usually NOT a woman who does it - it's more likely to be male-on-male. Do you not think probabilities and past social experience should be factored in?
It's not a double standard if one sex commits far more murders than the other. Double standard means apply two different standards regardless of the facts in front of a person. This would not be a double standard if I were to say, JRF is dead (and, btw, I do consider the fact that it's POSSIBLE that Fang could have harmed him - but, wouldn't you agree, highly unlikely? I mean, he's dead. There's no proof that she, too, is not alive - so sure, she COULD have killed him.
But the probabilities are quite low. And the facts of the case also start to form a pattern. Her phone goes dark first. His continues to go about (in the very area where he is found). Her stuff (including all her money) is still as his home.
However, if it is a stranger who harmed both of them (POSSIBLE), do you think it's more likely to be men/a man or do you think women/a woman are as likely to have killed two people out in the desert? Do you think that by me using probabilities from more than 150 years of gathering modern crime stats...that it's wrong to use what we know about the history of crime?
Women who are murdered are mostly murdered by men. Men who are murdered are mostly murdered by men. These are the facts - I am using those facts, and not any kind of moral judgment. In fact, I think we need to address the systemic reasons why these are the facts - including knowledge of biology.
IMO.
BTW, murder-suicide is also my best guess. But I"m not just guessing. I am using the above-stated algorithms. It's simply most likely. Further, the two were trying to cohabitate in an international relationship; they met by online sources; they did not know each other well; they were in the first WEEK of their relationship, and he has a long record of being reported to police for a variety of assaults and his last wife took out a restraining order. He may not have a lot of convictions, but the police reports and the injuries of his alleged victims are still there. And he pleaded GUILTY to the beating of the man to whom he delivered food, even though the plea and the charges were dropped.
OTOH, if her body had been found and he was no where in evidence, there's another distinction. He's a US Citizen and a local. How could he lose track of her and not be knowledgeable about how she disappeared? She was not a local - how would she manage to stay below LE radar as a Chinese national without her cash? And not using her credit cards, according to our VI?
Why do you think those of us who analyze the case in this way are somehow guilty of sexism and a double standard?
If her body was found, statistically, he'd be the most likely suspect. But is Fang actually the person who last saw JRF alive? Wasn't he likely in Thermal? If instead, someone else was driving his truck - then that person would be my next new subject. But JRF's phone travels in the same direction and pings off of Julian. So did this Bad Actor continue to use JRF's phone for a couple of days? Possible.
But if she had been found deceased, I would have Bad Actor and JRF on my radar. Statistically, it's more likely to be JRF.
He's found deceased (and skeletonized, so dead for a while). In a remote area that it's unlikely a Chinese visitor would even know about. So either a Bad Actor killed both of them, or he is somehow involved in getting himself to that location. He was with his truck. To think that JF would murder him in that remote location and take off without the truck prior to the hurricane is bizarre. She would be navigating several miles of desert and then what? Why didn't she take the truck? Where could she even hide without money, credit cards or cash?
Think about the actual facts. We are not discussing JRF as a potential bad actor for no reason. He's clearly the one person most associated with her in the US. If she killed him...then maybe she did commit suicide. It's possible. Very unlikely. And those who organize resources for crime investigation do use probabilities - not because of bias, but because of history.
IMO.
