I am not adding anything new here, but I feel it helps me to thrash out all the thoughts in my head:
- I believe Chris disabled his Facebook due to the affair. He did not want to be tagged in photos with his wife that his mistress could see
- I believe Chris likely told his mistress the marraige was over and they were not sleeping together any more (such a common, common lie in affairs)
- I believe Shanann's pregnancy was a major complication for Chris and his mistress
- I believe that Chris told the mistress he would end his marriage
- I believe Chris wanted to kill Shanann to free himself up for the affair
- I believe Chris killed the children simply because he wanted to make Shanann disappear, and it would not be credible for her not to take the children if she left
- I believe Chris thought the bodies in oil would be impossible to find, and I believe his intention was to put Shanann there too but he failed in this part of the plan
- I believe Chris intended to stage the "disappearance" the next day, and this plan was disrupted by NUA
- I believe Chris genuinely thought that he would get away with everything as there would be no trace of the three
IMO the children were complications and were killed because without doing so, the entire scenario fell over. The alternative to this was that one of the girls witnessed the murder of her mother and it because necessary to kill them all, which may not have been part of the original plan.
I can not decide how it all played out after Shanann closed that door, and I am on the fence about when and who was killed first. I do think the whole disappearance scenario would have been impossible, as it would be natural of Shanann to go straight to her parents. But had the staging gone as planned, it may have been much harder to charge him without bodies.
I do not think it is plausible that:
- If it played out the way Chris has said in his confession, that he would have been composed enough to methodically and unemotionally conduct the disposal (especially so soon after the events) or that he would have been composed enough to give the interviews
- A husband and wife could kill in the same manner at the same time
- That Shanann was so unhinged that she could kill the girls, who she obviously adored
- Shanann would have killed the girls without evidence of ongoing instability/anger issues in the lead up to the event
On the other hand, based on what we know NOW I feel that Chris may be able to get off the murder of the girls on reasonable doubt. However, I feel like he is not very smart, so I am quite confident that he will not have outplayed investigators in this case. I think there is going to be a tsunami of evidence coming his away, 90% of it we have not heard so far.
I think all of his actions were horribly sick, twisted, evil and misguided and it would not surprise me if, eventually, the weight of what he has done eats him up completely with regret.
I keep falling back to Occam's Razor in this case: "Suppose there exist two explanations for an occurrence. In this case the one that requires the least speculation is usually better. Another way of saying it is that the more assumptions you have to make, the more unlikely an explanation." (
Occam's razor - Simple English Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia)