Coronavirus COVID-19 - Global Health Emergency #5

[margarita25]

What a Party in Japan May Tell Us About the Coronavirus’s Spread

“Will the virus spiral beyond China? Public health experts are closely studying cluster cases in other Asian countries.”
Feb. 20, 2020

“Rain was falling on the night of Jan. 18, so the windows of the Tokyo party boat were shut. Inside were about 90 guests of a local taxi association who were celebrating the new year as the vessel floated down the Sumida River. Also on board, unbeknown to them, was a coronavirus capable of spreading ferociously.

It did just that. A driver in his 70s soon fell ill with fever; he later tested positive. The same day as his diagnosis, his mother-in-law died; she also was infected. Officials then discovered that 10 others from the boat were, too, including an employee who had served passengers from Wuhan, China. Still more who did not attend the party caught the virus after coming into contact with those who did.

As public health officials look for clues to one of the biggest uncertainties about the new coronavirus epidemic — whether it will eventually expand rapidly beyond its center in China — they are closely studying clusters of cases that have emerged recently in Japan.

The issue has taken on more urgency as passengers have begun walking off a contaminated cruise ship in Yokohama where 621 people have tested positive for the virus and two later died. Experts fear that some who were cleared to leave an onboard quarantine could later test positive, spreading infections on land in the same way that the party boat has done.

[...]

“Katsunobu Kato, Japan’s health minister, said the country had entered “another phase” in its fight against the coronavirus.

“Doctors at the medical institutes share the recognition that the numbers of infection cases will increase in the future and that it’s necessary to take firm measures,” he said at a news conference on Sunday. The government announced a $139 million package of urgent measures to contain the outbreak, including strengthening its testing and quarantining capacity.”

 

[dixiegirl1035]

This is an EXTREMELY important post, dixiegirl

The total number of people having this virus in their system is being hugely under reported by the numbers coming from China.

So the actual death rate would decrease, but the pool of people that may be capable of transmitting the virus is very much underreported

AND let’s not forget that the current testing is reported to have up to a 40% False Negative rate

Thanks to Henry who prompted me to look into it and find that chart last night and put it together. If you have the time and history to retrieve, can you give a link to where the test was 40% false negative as I'd like to view. TIA so very much.

 

[margarita25]

Coronavirus may spread fastest on cruise ships and in hospitals where workers re-use gear contaminated with feces to try to conserve supplies, expert says

Coronavirus may be spreading so quickly due to fecal transmission, researchers suggest | Daily Mail Online

Nice.

 

[JerseyGirl]

FBI has ordered $40,000 in hand sanitizer and face masks 'in case the coronavirus becomes a pandemic in the United States'

The bureau’s “pandemic preparedness” supply order includes face masks from manufacturer 3M and disinfectants, including hand sanitizer, from PDI Healthcare. In its purchase order, the FBI said it needs to have those items on hand if the coronavirus, or COVID-19, spreads widely throughout the U.S.

The masks and disinfectants “are to be stored throughout the country for distribution in the event of a declared pandemic,” according to the document, which was signed Friday and gave the companies a week to fulfill the order. The document said the “supplies are for the FBI strategic stockpile for Pandemic Preparedness.”

 

[Hatfield]

**Warning Distressing Content & images at link**

Chinese officials 'round up and execute villagers' pets to stop the spread of coronavirus' despite WHO experts saying the disease cannot be spread to animals

Chinese officials continue to beat dogs to death in the name of fighting coronavirus | Daily Mail Online

I couldnt get myself to view or "like" this post but thanks for sharing the news as it really shows how inhumane and desparate they are getting. I think its safe to say that here in the US we would never beat dogs to death. If pets and animals were found to be a carrier then more humane steps would be taken like quarantines of pets, voluntary euthanism if it came to that, etc. But I have to believe here in the US we as a society would never allow what they are doing. Heck the people doing it would be thrown in jail.

Gosh, it really makes you realize how backwards some of these places can be at times. They claim advancements but then do something like this. Grrrrrrrr

 

[margarita25]

I would say that the odds of all of them self quarantining are 0.
Lots of people are stupid or ignorant.

And selfish.

 

[dixiegirl1035]

What a Party in Japan May Tell Us About the Coronavirus’s Spread

“Will the virus spiral beyond China? Public health experts are closely studying cluster cases in other Asian countries.”
Feb. 20, 2020

“Rain was falling on the night of Jan. 18, so the windows of the Tokyo party boat were shut. Inside were about 90 guests of a local taxi association who were celebrating the new year as the vessel floated down the Sumida River. Also on board, unbeknown to them, was a coronavirus capable of spreading ferociously.

It did just that. A driver in his 70s soon fell ill with fever; he later tested positive. The same day as his diagnosis, his mother-in-law died; she also was infected. Officials then discovered that 10 others from the boat were, too, including an employee who had served passengers from Wuhan, China. Still more who did not attend the party caught the virus after coming into contact with those who did.

As public health officials look for clues to one of the biggest uncertainties about the new coronavirus epidemic — whether it will eventually expand rapidly beyond its center in China — they are closely studying clusters of cases that have emerged recently in Japan.

The issue has taken on more urgency as passengers have begun walking off a contaminated cruise ship in Yokohama where 621 people have tested positive for the virus and two later died. Experts fear that some who were cleared to leave an onboard quarantine could later test positive, spreading infections on land in the same way that the party boat has done.

[...]

“Katsunobu Kato, Japan’s health minister, said the country had entered “another phase” in its fight against the coronavirus.

“Doctors at the medical institutes share the recognition that the numbers of infection cases will increase in the future and that it’s necessary to take firm measures,” he said at a news conference on Sunday. The government announced a $139 million package of urgent measures to contain the outbreak, including strengthening its testing and quarantining capacity.”

Thank you so very much for giving updates on previous articles, and all others that are doing so on the thread. Seems we are settling into our niches for the future as to thread expertise. @JerseyGirl - such a fabulous mod to have on this thread and thanks for your contributions as to so many updates for us all.

That said, to the military expert on thread..... today is the last day of the US article (military code was ?????) that was issued for the military in case of an epidemic. Was it reissued?

 

[dixiegirl1035]

FBI has ordered $40,000 in hand sanitizer and face masks 'in case the coronavirus becomes a pandemic in the United States'

The bureau’s “pandemic preparedness” supply order includes face masks from manufacturer 3M and disinfectants, including hand sanitizer, from PDI Healthcare. In its purchase order, the FBI said it needs to have those items on hand if the coronavirus, or COVID-19, spreads widely throughout the U.S.

The masks and disinfectants “are to be stored throughout the country for distribution in the event of a declared pandemic,” according to the document, which was signed Friday and gave the companies a week to fulfill the order. The document said the “supplies are for the FBI strategic stockpile for Pandemic Preparedness.”

So many examples shown here what governments being prepared means. And planning. And logistics. They don't have at hand, but when the bat call is made, they have protocols in place to follow. God speed to all countries.

 

[margarita25]

Coronavirus Live Updates: Clusters in Japan May Hint at How Virus Spreads

• ‘Clusters’ in Japan may offer clues on how coronavirus spreads.
• China tries to balance fighting the virus and protecting the economy.
• Russians patrol a Chinatown, and Ukraine’s leader tries to quell fears.
• China changes criteria for counting coronavirus cases — again.
• Amazon works to avoid disruptions from the coronavirus.

[...]

“The authorities have said they are releasing only people who have tested negative for the virus — though testing has been unreliable — and are showing no symptoms. But experts on infectious diseases have pointed to deficiencies in the quarantine protocols on the shipand questioned the decision to let them go free.”

[...]

“A group of Russian Cossacks is sending patrols into a Chinatown in the Ural Mountains in search of people who they fear may be spreading the coronavirus, Russian news outlets reported on Thursday.”

[...]

“Health officials have run into problems with the viral tests, which can be difficult to conduct and often turn up false negatives. It also takes at least two days to process the results.

But lung scans are also an imperfect means to diagnose patients, leading to the possibility of an overcount. Even patients with ordinary seasonal flu may develop pneumonia visible on a lung scan.”

 

[margarita25]

“Amazon, which typically stocks more than 100 million items and relies heavily on Chinese manufacturing, is becoming a case study in how a giant retailer grapples with the fallout from the coronavirus.

As the outbreak shuts or slows factories in China, Amazon has responded by making larger and more frequent orders of Chinese-made products that had already been shipped to the U.S., trying to keep up its inventory. Some sellers have also reduced their advertising and promotions on the site so they don’t run out of products.

The company — which is likely to feel potential shortages of goods earlier than its peers because it usually keeps fewer items on hand — also sent an urgent email to brands about Prime Day, its large midsummer sale, indicating that it has begun worrying about inventory for the event.

Some of the potential supply problem may be hidden, since even products made in America can rely on Chinese suppliers.

AMAZON’S SUPPLY CHAINS
What if the “Everything Store” couldn’t sell everything because of disruptions from the coronavirus?“


Coronavirus Live Updates: Clusters in Japan May Hint at How Virus Spreads

—-

China: coronavirus appears to be stabilizing in amid fears of new outbreak in Japan - CNN

“The Chinese Center for Disease Control (CCDC) previously estimated that the virus peaked in late January, according to data from lab tests. However, the number of clinically diagnosed cases -- patients with symptoms who could not be tested or were believed to have falsely tested negative -- continued to rise well into February.
While the data from the epicenter of the outbreak appears to be positive, the crisis may not be over yet, either inside China or worldwide. Experts have warned there could be a renewed increase in cases once China properly returns to work late this week or next -- hundreds of millions of people around the country have been on lockdown for weeks now.
The number of cases is also continuing to grow alarmingly in several places outside of the mainland, though still far short of the figures seen in China. On Thursday, South Korea recorded an additional 31 confirmed cases, bringing the country's total to 82. That came after an increase of 20 on Wednesday, previously the largest single-day jump in Korea.
In Singapore the infection rate continues to climb, with 84 confirmed cases. Similarly, in Hong Kong, there are 63 confirmed cases, and two deaths.
In Japan, where global attention has been focused on the Diamond Princess cruise liner, the worst outbreak outside of mainland China, there have been 68 cases confirmed with no connection to the ship, raising concerns of a self-sustaining outbreak in the country.”

 

[JerseyGirl]

Coronavirus Live Updates: Clusters in Japan May Hint at How Virus Spreads
“A group of Russian Cossacks is sending patrols into a Chinatown in the Ural Mountains in search of people who they fear may be spreading the coronavirus, Russian news outlets reported on Thursday.”

Members of the “Urals Cossacks” volunteer association started roving the streets of northwestern Yekaterinburg twice a week beginning Feb. 2. Those found to be coughing or sneezing are advised to visit the hospital. Others are given face masks.

Similar coronavirus patrols are active in at least two towns south of Moscow.

Cossacks Patrol Central Russian ‘Chinatown’ for Coronavirus - The Moscow Times

 

[dixiegirl1035]

My opinion from reading and listening to him and SIL on this MSM link...

MSM video starts out by he and his wife outside on balcony without masks leaning into next door balcony joking about the virus. Then, RW was flown back to Travis and told his SIL that he had heard positive folks were on board. He was pizzed, and told that to family. So SIL in this video on Tuesday slams how angry she is that she heard that 7 folks on the flight were positive.. only to find.................

Wednesday, RW finds out he was one of the positive ones and slams CDC of how "they" handled it, "I don't have any symptoms, I think the CDC should should be embarrassed how they are handling this whole situation" yet states that his positive test was from JAPAN!

I guess he's siding with how China is reporting as posted upthread? If you test positive, but have no symptoms, you don't have the disease? Huh?

I definitely noted how MSM put that report together to make it obvious that he's benefited from what he was complaining about, and how his SIL was slamming govm't re potential of getting infected inflight and "folks were taking off masks" before she knew he was one of the positives, and that media had pics of them on the ship not wearing the masks. Oh the irony. But just like MJ/JJ and JG, they are now complaining again about something else.

Please help me understand as this is like MJ/JJ and JG and her hubby lashing out as same scenario pretty much with them. Are the media purposefully shaming these folks that were doing social media slams to see how they react to "they are the very ones they were *itchig about". Sure seems so.

Where is the logic of these folks, truly, that have been bashing, when he himself and the others above who had the fortune to come back when positive vs. left behind? Oh yeah, and then as some others that found out they were one of the positives, throws shade and proceeds to tell the camera he learned of the result (on Wednesday) and it's been two hours and he still is awaiting to be transferred. Will be interesting to follow him.

*steps off soapbox*

An MSM update on one of the couples mentioned above.

Santa Clarita Resident Battles Coronavirus After Diamond Princess Cruise: Part 8

My biocontainment unit is one of three in the country. The other two are in New York and Atlanta. The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) set these up during the Anthrax attacks in 2001. It was not used.

My wife, Jeri, is quarantined in another building on the Nebraska Medicine campus. She is in good health. She continues to test negative for the novel corona virus, COVID-19. Facetime is our way to connect.

On Monday, six of us were flown from Travis Air Force base outside Sacramento to Omaha. We never left our cargo 747 after leaving Japan and landing at Travis.

I did not know I had the virus when we left Japan. My fever hit a couple of hours into our flight.

When I realized I had a fever, I was quarantined with eight other passengers. Three of us continued our quarantine during the Travis-to-Omaha leg of our flight. The other six remained in California.

Also, to be totally clear, I did not know I had the virus until a couple of hours into our plane ride from Japan when I woke up to a high fever. On the day our friend, Jerri Jorgensen, tested positive, my wife and I had saliva swabs taken aboard the Diamond Princess. It was a precautionary measure because of our proximity to Jerri throughout our quarantine. Those samples were sent to a Tokyo lab. We never received the results, having already left the ship.

... much more at link

(e.d. this was the couple that opened their door daily between connecting cabins and nightly to spend time with other couple next door to share dinner and movies and did not wear masks... MSM link to such with videos, didn't save so MOO)

 

[JerseyGirl]

Some African countries at risk for the new coronavirus aren’t prepared

Egypt, Algeria, and South Africa are most likely to import the virus into Africa. However, all three have a fairly strong ability to respond to infectious threats, and the demographic, social, and political environments offer the population some protection against epidemics.

Nigeria and Ethiopia had a slightly lower risk of importing the virus, but they would be more vulnerable if they did based on their demographic, social, and political environments. Both countries also have larger populations, which increases the impact the virus might have.

Morocco, Sudan, Angola, Tanzania, Ghana, and Kenya were also at moderate risk and would be vulnerable in an epidemic.

Early in the month, only two African countries — Senegal and South Africa — had the laboratory capability to test people for the new coronavirus.

 

[asyousay]

How barbaric to beat dogs to death

It seems they treat their pets just like their humans in countries like this. It’s absolutely revolting and they have guns so if push comes to shove that’s a lot kinder than beating a dog to death.

 

[margarita25]

“In South Korea, cases soared by nearly two-thirds, mostly in the southern part of the peninsula, national authorities said. The mayor of Daegu, the city where 10 South Koreans contracted the disease from a church service, asked residents to stay indoors.

Many international experts say the disease will continue to spread globally even as the Chinese government seeks to present the image that it is coming to grips with the epidemic. New cases inside China dropped again Wednesday, officials reported Thursday, after national authorities changed for the second time in a week the criteria for how cases are diagnosed and counted.”

[...]

“In Ukraine, police clashed with protesters angered by plans to allow more than 70 people evacuated from China’s Hubei province to enter the country.”


Live updates: First coronavirus deaths among Diamond Princess passengers and in South Korea; health experts warn of mounting case
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/coronavirus-china-live-updates/2020/02/20/3159df72-535c-11ea-b119-4faabac6674f_story.html

 

[JerseyGirl]

North Korea Claims Zero Coronavirus Cases, But Experts Are Skeptical

"Not one novel coronavirus patient has emerged," North Korea's flagship Rodong Sinmun newspaper recently quoted Song In Bom, an official with an emergency health committee, as saying.

Observers believe fears of the virus may also have led North Korean leader Kim Jong Un to reduce his public appearances and scale back or cancel military parades and exercises. He was not seen in public between Jan. 25 and Feb. 16.

Despite Pyongyang's claim that North Korea has no cases, Dr. John Linton, head of the International Health Care Center at Severance Hospital in Seoul says North Koreans have reached out to him through back channels to ask for supplies. "Through private sources, they're asking for disposable gowns, gloves and hazmat suits, which are undoubtedly lacking," he says. "So something is going on, otherwise they wouldn't be asking for this."

Linton wants to deliver supplies, but international sanctions against North Korea complicate things. He warns that if COVID-19 becomes a pandemic and spreads there, "it's not just their health issue. It's our health issue."

 

[dixiegirl1035]

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Coronavirus (COVID-19) update 22 with Dr. Seheult of https://www.MedCram.com. A staggering 626 novel coronavirus infections (and 2 deaths) have been confirmed on the Diamond Princess cruise ship. Dr. Seheult discusses the quarantine and the CDC's response. Two recent publications in the New England Journal of Medicine on the viral load of SARS-CoV-2 in COVID-19 infections (including viral shedding in an asymptomatic patient) and the epidemiology of coronavirus spread and projections are also reviewed.

 

[margarita25]

11:30 a.m.
‘No time for complacency,’ WHO warns

“The World Health Organization (WHO) said Thursday that China’s reduction in new reported coronavirus infections was “encouraging,” but warned against complacency.

“This is the time to attack the virus while it is manageable,” the WHO’s director general, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, said at a daily news briefing in Geneva. “You will get sick of me saying that the window of opportunity remains open for us to contain this covid-19 outbreak.”

In his remarks, Tedros has sought to both praise China’s response to the outbreak and push the international community to react with urgent measures of its own, branding the virus “public enemy No. 1.”

He warned Thursday that while covid-19 cases have remained limited outside of China, countries still needed to act, as “that may not stay the same for very long.”

A WHO-led mission of international experts, including the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), is in China reviewing available research and data on the virus and China’s responses to it. On Thursday, Tedros provided further details on the team’s makeup, listing Singapore, Nigeria, South Korea, the United Kingdom, Germany and Russia as some of the other participants.

Last week, Tedros declined to provide details on who would be part of the mission after Larry Kudlow, the director of the U.S. National Economic Council, said China was preventing U.S. experts from entering, which WHO and China denied.

Tedros also announced Thursday that WHO would begin coordinating meetings weekly with diplomatic missions in Geneva about coronavirus. In addition, he said he expected preliminary results in three weeks from WHO’s initial clinical trials of two anti-viral drugs that scientists hope could combat covid-19.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/worl...59df72-535c-11ea-b119-4faabac6674f_story.html

 

[dixiegirl1035]

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[tabitha111]

A news article we should all be paying attention to-best to read the whole thing....
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/20/fbi-orders-40000-in-hand-sanitizer-and-face-masks-in-case-of-a-coronavirus-pandemic-in-us.html

The FBI has ordered $40,000 of hand sanitizer and face masks “in case the coronavirus becomes a pandemic in the United States,” according to the acquisition document.

The bureau’s “pandemic preparedness” supply order includes face masks from manufacturer [URL='https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/?symbol=MMM']3M and disinfectants, including hand sanitizer, from PDI Healthcare, the document said. In its purchase order, the FBI said it needs to have those items on hand if the coronavirus, or COVID-19, spreads widely throughout the U.S. The Trump administration last month declared the virus a public health emergency, but it’s not yet met world health officials’ designation of a global pandemic that spreads widely throughout the world.......
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