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LOL - @Amonet better be careful - you’re starting to sound a little like some of us alarmists!!![]()
Looks like the WHO are getting close as well....
WHO officials say coronavirus outbreak in Iran is 'very worrisome'
The small outbreak in Iran has been linked to a case in Canada and another infection of a 45-year-old woman in Lebanon after those patients traveled to the Middle East nation.
World health officials still have a chance to contain the virus, he said, but it’s getting less likely by the day.
World health officials have said the respiratory disease is capable of spreading through human-to-human contact, droplets carried through sneezing and coughing and germs left on inanimate objects.
Local authorities in China have been using remdesivir, which was tested as a possible treatment during the Ebola outbreak, to fight infections. Some authorities are also using antiviral drug Kaletra, a combination of lopinavir and ritonavir, on a compassionate basis.
I know that small amounts of person-to-person spread can be contained with good contact-tracing and ring-containment methods. The case in Seattle didn't spread to anyone. Two cases in York, UK didn't spread to anyone else. It can be done.
But every day there are increasing numbers of opportunities for little outbreaks to occur and not be caught soon enough. It's always been a 50/50 thing in my mind whether it could be stopped enough to stop it 'for now', even with the possibility it might re-emerge in the winter or in a year or two. But the more likely possibility now seems to be 'slowing down the spread' as opposed to complete containment and elimination.
As I've asked all along, how many countries can you put full travel bans on at the same time? How do you know that the person traveling to Canada from the UK wasn't on a plane last week with someone who'd flown out of Iran, which wasn't on the radar back then, and a case of the virus turns up in Canada and no one immediately suspects Covid-19, they have a mild case and spread it to 6 others who have mild cases (up to a rotten flu-like feeling for a couple of weeks) and they pass it onto 6 others each, and only then do you have someone who needs hospitalization who's assessed by medical staff who aren't masked and then put in a ward with other patients?
I'm not saying we should quit leaving the house at this point, or even that it's yet time for *everyone* to be wearing masks. I'm just feeling it seems more likely to get worse...