Coronavirus COVID-19 - Global Health Pandemic #51

[BUF]

I've kept my journal going although sometimes I miss two or three days and am forced to try to remember what we did when. My journal is pretty dull because I write about what I cooked for dinner, what food we purchased, where one or both of us went (e.g. grocery store food pickup, local farmers market), what the weather is like, what my spouse is doing that's annoying me, etc.!

Sounds like our life and just about everyone I know.

 

[katydid23]

Speaking of masks, I was thinking yesterday about masks for everyone ages 2 and up. I literally have no clue how my daughter could keep a mask on her 2 year old. Jmo

That would be like herding cats.
My 4 yr old granddaughter has to wear one to go 'visit' her other grandmother, who is receiving cancer treatments now. She doesn't really visit, just goes into the back patio and they wave to each other through the sliding glass doors. But my DIL only got her girl to wear the mask because it is sewn from 'frozen' designer fabric, like from the movie. Otherwise she probably wouldn't keep it on her face the whole time. lol

 

[firebird]

Wouldn't you think the LE officers knew better? Intentionally violating the order doesn't seem very professional.

Houston LE doesn’t think much of the lock down, in general

 

[FrostOwl]

I've kept my journal going although sometimes I miss two or three days and am forced to try to remember what we did when. My journal is pretty dull because I write about what I cooked for dinner, what food we purchased, where one or both of us went (e.g. grocery store food pickup, local farmers market), what the weather is like, what my spouse is doing that's annoying me, etc.!

Instead of writing about what you have done each day, try to write about your feelings, what you think about, what your hopes and dreams are, and about family traditions, from where you have gotten them. Here's some journaling prompts for May: 53 May Day Writing Prompt Ideas
That way you can make your journal into something you can hand over to your children and grandchildren, so that further generations can learn to know you, and also your family's past. Write what you remember of your parents, grandparents, and other relatives, as you are the memory link between your past and your childrens and grandchildrens future.

 

[Henry2326]

NEXTSTRAIN

Thanks to #opendata sharing by @nyulangone on @GISAID, auspice is updated with 116 new #COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #hCoV19 sequences! (in red with some subsampled out)
- NY (109)
- NJ (6)
- CT (1)
Nextstrain on Twitter

Most can be seen at auspice . The new seqs (in red) are found mostly within N.American clusters among sequences previously sampled in within the US with a scattered few found among European seqs. Nextstrain on Twitter

 

[otto]

The question of immunity and antibodies

"Some governments have suggested that the detection of antibodies to the SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, could serve as the basis for an “immunity passport” or “risk-free certificate” that would enable individuals to travel or to return to work assuming that they are protected against re-infection. There is currently no evidence that people who have recovered from COVID-19 and have antibodies are protected from a second infection."​

"Immunity passports" in the context of COVID-19

"In a scientific brief issued on Friday, the UN health agency said there was no proof that one-time infection could lead to immunity, and “laboratory tests that detect antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 [the virus that causes COVID-19] in people...need further validation to determine their accuracy and reliability.”

“Some governments have suggested that the detection of antibodies to the SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, could serve as the basis for an 'immunity passport' or 'risk-free certificate' that would enable individuals to travel or to return to work assuming that they are protected against re-infection,” said WHO, adding: “There is currently no evidence that people who have recovered from COVID-19 and have antibodies are protected from a second infection.”​

‘No evidence’ that recovered COVID-19 patients cannot be reinfected, says WHO

 

[katydid23]

Although, the way I'm understanding what the infectious disease specialists are saying, we need to get the incidence of CoVid way, way lower. Then, getting CoVid will be about as likely as getting struck by lightening. If the first new case is a dum-dum and runs off to an NBA game, then it's a big flare-up.

But if we can get the new cases down to, say, 10 per week in the US, while there's still a risk, the risk becomes more like driving a lot of highway miles or working in construction.

We had over 39,000 new cases in the U.S., yesterday.

How long do we suppose that it will take to get down to 10 cases a week in the US?

18 months or so?

 

[tresir2012]

Houston LE doesn’t think much of the lock down, in general
View attachment 244575

Nor do they think much of the County Judge. Wow. Is that from the Governor or are counties deciding themselves?

 

[tresir2012]

City's Nightingale hospital 'has no patients'

Birmingham's Nightingale hospital is "not being used at all" 10 days after it was opened by the Duke of Cambridge.

Set up inside the National Exhibition Centre (NEC), the site is intended to take up to 500 coronavirus patients at a time from 23 Midlands hospitals.

The chief executive of University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust said it was a "good thing" the hospital had not received patients.

It showed the NHS had "absorbed" the extra pressure Dr David Rosser said.

Image copyrightPA MEDIA
Image captionPrince William officially opened the NHS Nightingale hospital in Birmingham on 16 April
"It was never going to be a great thing to have to open this extra capacity because it didn't come with new staff," he said. "And of course the more beds you open the more you need to stretch."

University Hospitals Birmingham, which runs the temporary hospital, is the biggest NHS trust in England and last week had recorded more deaths than any other in the country.

There are now more than 148,000 confirmed coronavirus cases in the UK and more than 20,000 people with the virus have now died.

Along with London, the Midlands has seen the highest number of deaths linked to coronavirus

Continued at link.

 

[katydid23]

I agree, but IMO it would be good to hear from 'trusted' economists (an oxymoron maybe), rather than from people with their own agenda. Politicians of every stripe think short term, rather than long term. Will the economy really recover because people can get haircuts and tattoos, which will potentially put continued strain on healthcare systems that would otherwise create much more wealth by treating non-covid patients, just for eg.

The IMF is focussed on 3rd world countries, which will be devastated. But will rich countries really collapse?

For example, this site says the US "GDP will fall about 7.5% (30% divided by 4) in the second quarter."
No, GDP Isn’t Really Going to Shrink 30%

It's not the robust growth we've all been used to, allowing us to buy $800 cellphones, etc., but less than 10% can hardly be collapse.

But can hair salons and tattoo artists find ways to prevent the virus from spreading, so they can continue their work? Many say that they can.

The most problematic businesses involve large crowds. Bars and restaurants, sports venues, casinos. Those businesses will be in big trouble because there is so much potential danger in reopening them now.

JMO MOO

 

[tresir2012]

How long do we suppose that it will take to get down to 10 cases a week in the US?

18 months or so?

Chart: See the day-by-day size of the coronavirus outbreak

Here's a link with a graph showing the daily cases for U.S. and there seems to be no fall in daily cases at all so far.

 

[firebird]

Nor do they think much of the County Judge. Wow. Is that from the Governor or are counties deciding themselves?

As I understand it, the Gov. did not make masks mandatory, and the Houston County Judge took it upon herself to do so for people over the age 0f 10.

 

[firebird]

But can hair salons and tattoo artists find ways to prevent the virus from spreading, so they can continue their work? Many say that they can.

The most problematic businesses involve large crowds. Bars and restaurants, sports venues, casinos. Those businesses will be in big trouble because there is so much potential danger in reopening them now.

JMO MOO

The person who last did mine is in a self-contained "salon" in a larger commercial space shared by other similar professionsals. She has what amounts to a separate glassed-in room along a hall of more of the same. She has one chair, sink, etc. There would only ever be two people in the room. I have a tentative appointment for May 1 lol :::fingerscrossed:::

 

[anneg]

Instead of writing about what you have done each day, try to write about your feelings, what you think about, what your hopes and dreams are, and about family traditions, from where you have gotten them. Here's some journaling prompts for May: 53 May Day Writing Prompt Ideas
That way you can make your journal into something you can hand over to your children and grandchildren, so that further generations can learn to know you, and also your family's past. Write what you remember of your parents, grandparents, and other relatives, as you are the memory link between your past and your childrens and grandchildrens future.

Thanks for your thoughts. I do write about my feelings, worries, and hopes for the future. Since we are staying home except for going out to buy food, medicine, etc., it feels like normal life is on hold for an indefinite, potentially VERY LONG period. I know most of you feel the same.

However, I do not intend my journals to be passed along to my son and grandchildren. Too much in there I'd rather keep private. I'd rather my husband not read them either. I guess I'll eventually need to burn the journals written on paper, although if I told my son to just toss them in the trash, I expect he would do that. Honestly I don't think he would bother to try reading them!

I do have a lot of family history material to pass on--letters, photos, genealogical information, and other documents like the original copies of my father's writings about his WWII experiences.

 

[Henry2326]

Chart: See the day-by-day size of the coronavirus outbreak

Here's a link with a graph showing the daily cases for U.S. and there seems to be no fall in daily cases at all so far.

Same for reproduction rates....11 states estimated below 1.....but continues to shift every day.

rt.live

 

[Bravo]

Stronger Together has started

Stronger Together: Star-studded lineup performs in support of front-line workers fighting COVID-19 across Canada

 

[cass523]

60 Minutes Tonight CBS 7pm

The financial impact of the pandemic on automakers Ford and GM

Mapping technologists driven by artificial intelligence helping airlines

Health officials and governments to fight the pandemic, the effect of COVID-19 on the U.S. military

When the coronavirus hit, California turned to artificial intelligence to help map the spread

 

[CSIDreamer]

Houston LE doesn’t think much of the lock down, in general
View attachment 244575

So, the FD busts them. I'm not sure that was their best moment. Jmo

 

[dixiegirl1035]

Dr. Mike Hansen is doing a you tube LIVE with real time Q&A

 

[Satchie]

In the long term, how long would it be reasonable to:

1. Keep "non essential" people unemployed,
2. Expect the government to pay their wages,
3. And where is the money coming from?

Jmo

The money will come from the government, which comes from taxes, just like where the money comes from for other programs. They'll be future taxes, just like existing debt (which most nations have).

I think countries can view debt the same way individuals are advised to: there's good debt and bad debt. Taking out student loans to become a doctor or similar is good debt, because you'll have decades of guaranteed high income, and will easily pay the debt off. Similarly, a mortgage is good debt if you have enough income to pay off a small amount each month, and end up with a paid-off home instead of being a renter.

Then there's credit card debt for frivolous purchases, which can undermine your ability to survive financially, especially if you have an emergency such as a need for dental work, but you can't afford it because you've used all your credit on a lexus and shoes to match.

What governments spend money on, what they'e willing to go into debt for, IMO reflects their values and priorities, just as personal finances do.