- Joined
- Aug 9, 2012
- Messages
- 33,238
- Reaction score
- 218,134
As in all things, follow the money. jmo
https://nypost.com/2020/04/22/sorry-contact-tracing-isnt-the-answer-to-ending-lockdowns/
Many governors are claiming they can’t relax limits on business and recreation until their states have an extensive system of “contact tracing.” It’s a worthy aspiration. But they should listen to the scientists who warn that contact tracing won’t work against the novel coronavirus.
* * *
Gov. Cuomo says he envisions hiring an “army” of thousands of “tracers” to call people or go to their homes, notify them that they have been exposed to an infected person and explain that they must get tested and quarantine, if positive.
* * *
On Tuesday, the National Governors’ Association told Congress that states need federal money for contact tracing. By some estimates, it would cost $3.6 billion to hire 100,000 tracers nationwide, and others are suggesting we need triple that number.
* * *
Lancet Global Health scientists conclude that contact tracing will work when “less than 1 percent of transmission occurred before the onset of symptoms.” That’s the opposite of the coronavirus: Victims are most contagious before or just as their symptoms begin, research indicates. By the time they are diagnosed and asked for contacts, those contacts are already infecting others. Oxford University scientists also caution that the coronavirus spreads by too many mechanisms “to be contained by manual contact tracing.”
Our contact tracing app became available last night and after several hours over 1,000,000 people had downloaded it.
The app records other phone numbers within your close vicinity (via bluetooth).
If a person contracts the virus and is then trying to recall who they have been in contact with, the app data will be of assistance.
Our authorities say that at least 40% of our population need to take up use of the app, then we can consider further easing of restrictions.
It may not be anywhere near a perfect solution, but I think that at the moment we have to throw everything possible at this pandemic. Australia's focus is on identification (testing, testing, testing) and suppression of the virus, until a pro-active vaccine comes about.
COVIDSafe app downloaded 1 million times